China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[abra]

MONDAY	JW2	JW2 M$	LAST HOUR	FROM SUNDAY	LAST HOUR SUNDAY
8AM
9AM			-		-
10AM			-		-
11AM			-		-
12PM	58,79	9,13	-		-
1PM	74,45	11,57	15,66	-21,89%	-
2PM	95,45	14,83	21,00	-18,60%	21,94

[abra]

MONDAY	JW2	JW2 M$	LAST HOUR	FROM SUNDAY	LAST HOUR SUNDAY
8AM
9AM			-		-
10AM			-		-
11AM			-		-
12PM	58,79	9,13	-		-
1PM	74,45	11,57	15,66	-21,89%	-
2PM	95,45	14,83	21,00	-18,60%	21,94
3PM	115,64	17,96	20,19	-16,26%	20,83

[a2k]

Monday is looking good! Has a shot at 921 4-day ($143.1)

[POTUS 2020]

23 minutes ago, a2k said:

Monday is looking good! Has a shot at 921 4-day ($143.1)

yup, I think 200m+ is happening, needs to average 13m p/h, for 931m total $145m.  That locks $200m.

PotC5 dropped 66% the day after DBF but that was earlier in the month when college was still in session. If JW2 can drop -60% to 80m tomorrow it'll reach $220m with a shot at matching JW's $230m

Edited June 18, 2018 by POTUS

[abra]

MONDAY	JW2	JW2 M$	LAST HOUR	FROM SUNDAY	LAST HOUR SUNDAY
8AM
9AM			-		-
10AM			-		-
11AM			-		-
12PM	58,79	9,13	-		-
1PM	74,45	11,57	15,66	-21,89%	-
2PM	95,45	14,83	21,00	-18,60%	21,94
3PM	115,64	17,96	20,19	-16,26%	20,83
4PM	131,97	20,50	16,33	-15,10%	17,35

 

[abra]

MONDAY	JW2	JW2 M$	LAST HOUR	FROM SUNDAY	LAST HOUR SUNDAY
8AM
9AM			-		-
10AM			-		-
11AM			-		-
12PM	58,79	9,13	-		-
1PM	74,45	11,57	15,66	-21,89%	-
2PM	95,45	14,83	21,00	-18,60%	21,94
3PM	115,64	17,96	20,19	-16,26%	20,83
4PM	131,97	20,50	16,33	-15,10%	17,35
5PM	145,33	22,58	13,36	-15,01%	15,56

 

[abra]

MONDAY	JW2	JW2 M$	LAST HOUR	FROM SUNDAY	LAST HOUR SUNDAY
8AM
9AM			-		-
10AM			-		-
11AM			-		-
12PM	58,79	9,13	-		-
1PM	74,45	11,57	15,66	-21,89%	-
2PM	95,45	14,83	21,00	-18,60%	21,94
3PM	115,64	17,96	20,19	-16,26%	20,83
4PM	131,97	20,50	16,33	-15,10%	17,35
5PM	145,33	22,58	13,36	-15,01%	15,56
6PM	157,12	24,41	11,79	-15,74%	15,47

 

[abra]

MONDAY	JW2	JW2 M$	LAST HOUR	FROM SUNDAY	LAST HOUR SUNDAY
8AM
9AM			-		-
10AM			-		-
11AM			-		-
12PM	58,79	9,13	-		-
1PM	74,45	11,57	15,66	-21,89%	-
2PM	95,45	14,83	21,00	-18,60%	21,94
3PM	115,64	17,96	20,19	-16,26%	20,83
4PM	131,97	20,50	16,33	-15,10%	17,35
5PM	145,33	22,58	13,36	-15,01%	15,56
6PM	157,12	24,41	11,79	-15,74%	15,47
7PM	170,01	26,41	12,89	-17,00%	18,36

 

[a2k]

Want to take a moment to recognize how epic RPO's $222 was. JW2 is trying to target that! RPO was a very creative movie, more nuanced than the trailers indicated, and a tough one to sell. It deserved a break-out and thankfully got it from China.

[abra]

MONDAY	JW2	JW2 M$	LAST HOUR	FROM SUNDAY	LAST HOUR SUNDAY
8AM
9AM			-		-
10AM			-		-
11AM			-		-
12PM	58,79	9,13	-		-
1PM	74,45	11,57	15,66	-21,89%	-
2PM	95,45	14,83	21,00	-18,60%	21,94
3PM	115,64	17,96	20,19	-16,26%	20,83
4PM	131,97	20,50	16,33	-15,10%	17,35
5PM	145,33	22,58	13,36	-15,01%	15,56
6PM	157,12	24,41	11,79	-15,74%	15,47
7PM	170,01	26,41	12,89	-17,00%	18,36
8PM	184,19	28,61	14,18	-18,54%	21,29

 

[A Marvel Fanboy]

why so pessimistic predictions for I2? Deep down it is a superhero flick. shouldnt it fall the typical 600-800m range. 

 

Baymax already accomplished about 600m three years ago.

[baumer]

I don't get why this is being seen as a disappointment.  The last one didn't hit 100 mill opening weekend.  This one exceeded that by more than 20%.  So why the "disappointment"?

[peludo]

11 minutes ago, baumer said:

I don't get why this is being seen as a disappointment.  The last one didn't hit 100 mill opening weekend.  This one exceeded that by more than 20%.  So why the "disappointment"?

Because although it started slower (the $99m OW figure is for 5-day opening), it had great legs. The total for JW2 is likely to be lower than for JW. Today, films are more frontloaded than 3 years ago.

[John Marston]

based on what some people were saying Friday I thought this was going sub 100m opening. Glad it seemed to have recovered

[baumer]

9 minutes ago, peludo said:

Because although it started slower (the $99m OW figure is for 5-day opening), it had great legs. The total for JW2 is likely to be lower than for JW. Today, films are more frontloaded than 3 years ago.

 

Sure, I get that.  But facts are it opened higher and will still finish over 200 million.  I'm not a China box office expert but that seems pretty good to me.  

[peludo]

8 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

Sure, I get that.  But facts are it opened higher and will still finish over 200 million.  I'm not a China box office expert but that seems pretty good to me.  

Sure, but being a good result, taking into account the very good reception of the first part, one could have expected a higher opening/total. That's all.

[Thrylos 7]

13 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

Sure, I get that.  But facts are it opened higher and will still finish over 200 million.  I'm not a China box office expert but that seems pretty good to me.  

Because “it would explode in China” according to many posts a few months ago  and there was even a recent club that it would more than IW and even though nobody believed that , many believed in 300 million.

[POTUS 2020]

6 hours ago, firedeep said:

why so pessimistic predictions for I2? Deep down it is a superhero flick. shouldnt it fall the typical 600-800m range. 

 

Baymax already accomplished about 600m three years ago.

Just going off of PS which shows the anticipation is not there. Only 1.1m going up just 25% today with 18k shows listed.  PS looking to finish at 3.5m for a 14m/$2.2m OD with 40k shows.  So unless it gets a high rating like Coco(13m/$2mOD) and blows up Saturday, its likely to fall in the Pixar range of 100-260m/$15-40m- IO, Cars 3, FD.  A lot of shows will be lost the following Friday and it will not regain them on Sat-Sun unless it has a high PTA

Edited June 18, 2018 by POTUS

[POTUS 2020]

3 hours ago, Thrylos 7 said:

Because “it would explode in China” according to many posts a few months ago  and there was even a recent club that it would more than IW and even though nobody believed that , many believed in 300 million.

And it might have hit $300m if it didn't have a quiet 3rd act.  Once we heard of the third act, the low douban rating from neighboring countries and PS not popping, those expectations were toned down a week out. That's why we track

Edited June 18, 2018 by POTUS

[Olive]

Monday Est - Holiday
Jurassic World FK : 205M/936.5M, -21.5% 
The Way of the Bug: 27m/92.5M. +5%
The Leaker : 11.8M/46M,  -8%
How Long Will I Love U : 5.3M/883M -11%
Infinity War: 3.22M/2379,4 M +3.5%
FK is first imported movie to have 4 days grossing more than 200M yuan

Edited June 18, 2018 by Olive