a2k Posted June 18, 2018 Share Posted June 18, 2018 After 936.5 4-day, JW2 is 351.36 away from 1287.86 / $200 415.75 away from 1352.25 / $210 480.15 away from 1416.65 / $220 544.54 away from 1481.04 / $230 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 18, 2018 Share Posted June 18, 2018 (edited) Small toon openers. Zoo is not Pixar but I threw it in to show what a High rating can do to a small opener. I think I2 will need a 9.4 if it is going to do 600-800m/$90-120m Mao Rating OW Total IO 9.0 52m 97m/$15m Cars 8.8 72m 137m/$20m FD 8.5 120m 254m/$40m Coco 9.6 119m 1212m/$185m Zoo 9.5 115m 1528m/$233m I2 ?? DM3 had a big fan base and big minion market push, opened up at 444m/$70m, 1038m/$156m total, 8.8 rating Dangal opened with 86m finished with 1299m/$198m with a 9.8 rating Edited June 19, 2018 by POTUS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted June 19, 2018 Author Share Posted June 19, 2018 11 hours ago, POTUS said: Just going off of PS which shows the anticipation is not there. Only 1.1m going up just 25% today with 18k shows listed. PS looking to finish at 3.5m for a 14m/$2.2m OD with 40k shows. So unless it gets a high rating like Coco(13m/$2mOD) and blows up Saturday, its likely to fall in the Pixar range of 100-260m/$15-40m- IO, Cars 3, FD. A lot of shows will be lost the following Friday and it will not regain them on Sat-Sun unless it has a high PTA Animation presale is often useless. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted June 19, 2018 Author Share Posted June 19, 2018 It's been more than one month that no film has a higher rating than Love You (Maoyan 8.6). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted June 19, 2018 Author Share Posted June 19, 2018 6 hours ago, a2k said: After 936.5 4-day, JW2 is 351.36 away from 1287.86 / $200 415.75 away from 1352.25 / $210 480.15 away from 1416.65 / $220 544.54 away from 1481.04 / $230 all shall happen 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted June 19, 2018 Share Posted June 19, 2018 10 hours ago, POTUS said: Small toon openers. Zoo is not Pixar but I threw it in to show what a High rating can do to a small opener. I think I2 will need a 9.4 if it is going to do 600-800m/$90-120m My Rating OW Total IO 9.0 52m 97m/$15m Cars 8.8 72m 137m/$20m FD 8.5 120m 254m/$40m Coco 9.6 119m 1212m/$185m Zoo 9.5 115m 1528m/$233m I2 ?? DM3 had a big fan base and big minion market push, opened up at 444m/$70m, 1038m/$156m total, 8.8 rating Dangal opened with 86m finished with 1299m/$198m with a 9.8 rating Do you know FD's Maoyan rating? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 19, 2018 Share Posted June 19, 2018 1 hour ago, UserHN said: Do you know FD's Maoyan rating? My=Maoyan. I changed it to Mao. FD is 8.5 JW tracking high 60s. 66% DoD drop PotC dropped 65% 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted June 19, 2018 Author Share Posted June 19, 2018 Animal World will have super wide (like 50k+ shows wide) previews this Saturday, which will hurt FK and I2's performance. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jiangsen Posted June 19, 2018 Share Posted June 19, 2018 10 hours ago, firedeep said: It's been more than one month that no film has a higher rating than Love You (Maoyan 8.6). 4 hours ago, firedeep said: Animal World will have super wide (like 50k+ shows wide) previews this Saturday, which will hurt FK and I2's performance. Smart move to take advantage of slow weekend and weak slate overall in theaters now... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted June 19, 2018 Share Posted June 19, 2018 (edited) Tuesday Est - June 19th Jurassic World FK : 65.1M/1003M, -68% The Way of the Bug: 14.4m/108.4M. -49%The Leaker : 4.95M/51.2M, -58%How Long Will I Love U : 2.4M/886M -55%Infinity War: 1.3M/2381 M -60% Toilet Hero: 0.65m/92.1M -52% Edited June 19, 2018 by Olive 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted June 19, 2018 Share Posted June 19, 2018 (edited) nice, was hoping for under-70% for JW2. 20% drop each on Wed and Thu gives 1003+52+42 = 1097 week 1 (~$170). Then 29 (-30%) +58 (+100%) + 38 (-35%) = 125 weekend 2 followed by 125 in rest of the run gives 1347 total ($208). Something tells me I am being conservative. Edited June 20, 2018 by a2k MON IS 65 NOT 55 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted June 19, 2018 Share Posted June 19, 2018 (edited) 1 hour ago, Olive said: Tuesday Est - June 19th Jurassic World FK : 55.1M/1003M, -68% The Way of the Bug: 14.4m/108.4M. -49%The Leaker : 4.95M/51.2M, -58%How Long Will I Love U : 2.4M/886M -55%Infinity War: 1.3M/2381 M -60% Toilet Hero: 0.65m/92.1M -52% I think u mean 65.1m... no?? Should cross 1.1B on Thursday. 1.5B seems within reach. Edited June 19, 2018 by Olive Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted June 19, 2018 Share Posted June 19, 2018 51 minutes ago, Olive said: Tuesday Est - June 19th Jurassic World FK : 55.1M/1003M, -68% The Way of the Bug: 14.4m/108.4M. -49%The Leaker : 4.95M/51.2M, -58%How Long Will I Love U : 2.4M/886M -55%Infinity War: 1.3M/2381 M -60% Toilet Hero: 0.65m/92.1M -52% there should be 65.1 for JW2 ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted June 19, 2018 Share Posted June 19, 2018 23 minutes ago, Fake said: I think u mean 65.1m... no?? Should cross 1.1B on Thursday. 1.5B seems within reach. 21 minutes ago, abra said: there should be 65.1 for JW2 ? You guys are right Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted June 20, 2018 Author Share Posted June 20, 2018 12 hours ago, jiangsen said: Smart move to take advantage of slow weekend and weak slate overall in theaters now... And to create more hype. It looks most of the major July releases will have previews the weekend before opening as they are confident in WOM. July will be the strongest month ever. Animal World should score anywhere between 8.6 and 9.0 on Maoyan, and very good legs regardless of exact score. Then, Dying to Survive and Hidden Man each 9.4 on Maoyan. Dee 3 and Hello Mr. Billionaire will pull big numbers none the less. Incredibles2 faces the most challenging schedule, if it was to breakout. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted June 20, 2018 Author Share Posted June 20, 2018 (edited) 10 hours ago, a2k said: nice, was hoping for under-70% for JW2. 20% drop each on Wed and Thu gives 1003+44+35 = 1082 week 1 (~$167). Then 25 (-29%) +50 (+100%) + 35 (-30%) = 110 weekend 2 followed by 110 in rest of the run gives 1302 total ($201). Something tells me I am being conservative. 1.3B too low. 1.5 should happen 9 hours ago, Fake said: I think u mean 65.1m... no?? Should cross 1.1B on Thursday. 1.5B seems within reach. Edited June 20, 2018 by firedeep 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted June 20, 2018 Share Posted June 20, 2018 Wednesday Est - June 20th Jurassic World FK : 52M/1054M, -19.5% The Way of the Bug: 14.7m/123.3M. +0.5%The Leaker : 4.55M/55.8M, -8%How Long Will I Love U : 2.3M/888M -1%Infinity War: 1.2M/2382 M -7% Toilet Hero: 0.63m/92.76M -3% 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 Thursday Est - June 21th Jurassic World FK : 47.4M/1102M, -9% The Way of the Bug: 13m/136.4M. -11.3%The Leaker : 4.05M/59.86M, -11%How Long Will I Love U : 2.3M/890.3M -3%Infinity War: 1.21M/2382 M -0%Toilet Hero: 0.6m/93.4M -5% Incredibles2 MN about 0.4M 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 (edited) On 6/17/2018 at 12:26 PM, POTUS said: With it bumping small today, it boosts the rest of the run, Im thinking Mn 14 Fr 201 Sa 254 Su 260 Mo 185 Tu 65 We 54 Th 44 Fr 52 Sa 82 Su 60 M-Th 70m Rest of run70m Final 1411m $219m Maoyan is forecasting 1627m, I'm sure that will lower after tuesdays number JW2 following my projection closely. It made 20m/$3m more on Sunday. Today was stronger at 47.4m, tomorrow may not bump, it'll be 47-52m. JW bumped 90% on its Saturdays but there is a large preview this Saturday, perhaps a 60% bump and a tight hold on sunday incoming F 50 S 80 S 70 with both Sundays stronger than I thought, $230m+ is likely now, beating JW Edited June 21, 2018 by POTUS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 PS of I2 at 7.2m already. My guess would be: 7.75m PS x 4.6 Fri: 35.62m Sat: 71.6m (+101%) Sun: 66m (-8%) OW: 173.22m = $26.67m If WoM is mixed or just decent 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
