China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[xieh tie]

 

[Issac Newton]

WK: Feb 4-6, 2022 (Fri-Sun)

Rankings are based on Revenue.

1. Water Gate Bridge : ¥980.2M / ¥2529.5M

2. Too Cool To Kil : ¥711.4M / ¥1388.7M 

3. Nice View : ¥291.5M / ¥667.9M 

4. Boonie Bear: Back To Earth : ¥248.6M / ¥568.9M

5. Sniper : ¥145.4M / ¥262.9M

6. Only Fools Rush In : ¥78.3M / ¥473.5M

 

Variety Quoted Entgroup for Water Gate Bridge (CNY in USD) : $422M

 

Artisan Gateway Numbers (USD)

1. Water Gate Bridge : $152M / $395M

2. Too Cool To Kil : $111M / $217M 

3. Nice View : $45.4M / $104M 

4. Boonie Bear: Back To Earth : $38.8M / $88.8M

5. Sniper : $22.7M / $41.1M

 

IMAX Numbers for Water Gate Bridge

FSS : $23.3M (729 screens)

WK : $8.6M

3rd in History behind DC3 & Wandering Earth.

[porginchina]

Overall Spring Festival box office (Feb. 1-6) at 6.035 billion RMB (~$950 million), down ~24% from 2021, although slightly up compared to 2019 (way off of projections in the 7-8 billion RMB range). Attendance of 114 million is lower than 2018, 2019, and 2021 despite this year's Spring Festival boasting a record number of showtimes (over 3 million). Average ticket price is up ~1 RMB compared to 2021. Overall 2022 Chinese box office to date is 9.1 billion RMB (~$1.45 billion).

 

Looking at Maoyan projections, Battle at Lake Changjin II is heading towards somewhere in the vicinity of 4 billion RMB, down approx. 30% from part one, although still enough to make the all-time top ten for the Chinese box office. Looks like it'll close with a lower Chinese gross than Avengers: Endgame, which I find intriguing.

 

Too Cool to Kill is on track for somewhere in the vicinity of 2.5 billion RMB, good enough for the all-time top 20.

 

Nice View has recovered nicely from its day two plummet and should hit 1.3ish billion RMB (good to see since it's a genuinely well-crafted movie). Snipers is on track to cross 500 million RMB and overtake Only Fools Rush In, which will have an opening day to final gross multiplier of under 3.0 (having seen the movie, not surprised… outside of a bland lead performance from Liu Haoran, I had a great time, but the movie is single-mindedly dedicated to subverting audience expectations). This year's Boonie Bears is doing quite well for the franchise and now has the Spring Festival record for an animated movie over Spring Festival, which to be fair isn't saying all that much; the other animations aren't especially noteworthy.

 

Variety's story on Spring Festival box office noted that year-on-year, the box office is approximately double, although they note that the timing of Spring Festival can explain much of that. Between the massive drop for the Spring Festival holiday period and the fact that January was also off ~25% of 2021 (China's lowest-grossing full January since 2015, with the exception of COVID-interrupted 2020), things are not looking promising for 2022. As far as politically significant figures, China's leading the US/Canda by about $1 billion so far in 2022; probably fair to expect the lead to grow over the next few weeks, but the second The Batman opens in the US… I struggle to see China maintaining its global box office crown in 2022.

[Issac Newton]

3 minutes ago, porginchina said:

As far as politically significant figures, China's leading the US/Canda by about $1 billion so far in 2022; probably fair to expect the lead to grow over the next few weeks, but the second The Batman opens in the US… I struggle to see China maintaining its global box office crown in 2022.

[xieh tie]

 

[porginchina]

With Watergate Bridge now at 2.97 billion RMB after nine days in theaters, The Battle at Lake Changjin duology has now accumulated 8.74 billion RMB ($1.4 billion), overtaking Detective Chinatown as the most successful domestic franchise/series at the Chinese box office. Which is simultaneously impressive and speaks to the fact that China is really, really bad at creating big, sustainable domestic franchises, given that Monster Hunt and Detective Chinatown both suffered massively from sequels with poor word-of-mouth and Wolf Warrior ran straight into complicated geopolitical tensions.

 

Watergate Bridge should cross 3 billion RMB tomorrow; Maoyan predictions have been hovering around 3.9 billion for the final… if it gets close enough to 4 billion, wouldn't be too unfeasible for the Chinese to help it over the finish line.

[porginchina]

Feb. 10 mid-day: The Battle at Lake Changjin II has passed 3 billion RMB (it still has a chance at eventually making it past 4 billion by the end of its run). In other box office milestones Only Fools Rush In has sputtered past 500 million RMB and is pretty much done.

 

As of now, the likely final ranking for Spring Festival releases—

 

长津湖之水门桥 The Battle at Lake Changjin II, 4ish billion RMB (currently at 3.03 billion)

这杀手不太冷静 Too Cool to Kill, somewhere in the vicinity of 2.5 billion RMB (currently 1.77 billion)

奇迹·笨小孩 Nice View, 1.2-1.3ish billion RMB (currently 875 million)

熊出没·重返地球 Boonie Bears: Back to Earth, just under 1 billion RMB (currently 718 million)

狙击手 Snipers, 500-550ish million RMB (currently 361 million; still has some life left in it)

四海 Only Fools Rush In, not much more than 500 million RMB (currently 500 million)

喜羊羊与黑太狼之筐出未来 Dunk for Future, approx. 170 million RMB (currently 125 million)

小虎墩大英雄 Run, Tiger, Run, 20ish million RMB (currently 19 million)

 

In raw grosses, The Battle at Lake Changjin II currently ranks 14th all-time in China, ahead of every Hollywood release except for Avengers: Endgame; it's on pace to finish in eighth place all-time, between Operation Red Sea (3.65 billion) and Avengers: Endgame (4.25 billion). Too Cool to Kill currently ranks 29th all-time and has a chance of breaking into the top 20 by the end of its run.

[xieh tie]

ok, here we go, teaser trailer for Tony Leung Chiu-Wai Chinese-Propaganda Blockbuster

 

 

[Issac Newton]

What is Wu Jing doing next? 🥺

[xieh tie]

45 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

What is Wu Jing doing next? 🥺

meg 2 (latest rumour)

[Issac Newton]

9 minutes ago, xieh tie said:

meg 2 (latest rumour)

Hollywood Film. I think the director know how to pass CFA Approval. Excellent &Wise Decision (if the rumour is true). Thanks for the update, Xieh!!

[Legion Again]

21 hours ago, porginchina said:

With Watergate Bridge now at 2.97 billion RMB after nine days in theaters, The Battle at Lake Changjin duology has now accumulated 8.74 billion RMB ($1.4 billion), overtaking Detective Chinatown as the most successful domestic franchise/series at the Chinese box office. Which is simultaneously impressive and speaks to the fact that China is really, really bad at creating big, sustainable domestic franchises, given that Monster Hunt and Detective Chinatown both suffered massively from sequels with poor word-of-mouth and Wolf Warrior ran straight into complicated geopolitical tensions.

 

Watergate Bridge should cross 3 billion RMB tomorrow; Maoyan predictions have been hovering around 3.9 billion for the final… if it gets close enough to 4 billion, wouldn't be too unfeasible for the Chinese to help it over the finish line.

The elusive 10B franchise mark.   
 

Do you know Infinity Saga total franchise gross?

[Issac Newton]

27 minutes ago, Product Driven Legion said:

Do you know Infinity Saga total franchise gross?

Isn't that a time-line? 

[XXR vs XXR]

22 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Isn't that a time-line? 

That’s the MCU from Iron Man to Endgame.

[XXR vs XXR]

55 minutes ago, Product Driven Legion said:

The elusive 10B franchise mark.   
 

Do you know Infinity Saga total franchise gross?

MCU gross to date in China is approximately $3.08B USD. Don’t know the exact yuan figure but it’s roughly ¥20B.

Edited February 10, 2022 by PenguinXXR

[peludo]

54 minutes ago, Product Driven Legion said:

Do you know Infinity Saga total franchise gross?

I have data from all MCU films released in China (last one was Far from home) excepting first Thor. The gross cume is 20.3b Yuan ($3.19b with today ERs)

 

Edit: taking out FFH, the cume is 18.89b ($2.97b).

Edited February 10, 2022 by peludo

[Issac Newton]

2 minutes ago, PenguinXXR said:

MCU gross to date in China is approximately $3.03B USD. Don’t know the exact yuan figure but it’s roughly ¥19B.

That's cheating. Then, War Epic Saga grossed ¥22.133B+ (missing a lots of prequels /medium size)

 

A little bit breakdown:

TBALC : ¥5776M

Wolf Warrior 2 : ¥5694M

TBALC II : ¥3900M*

Operation Red Sea : ¥3652M

Eight Hundred : ¥3111M

[XXR vs XXR]

11 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

That's cheating. Then, War Epic Saga grossed ¥22.133B+ (missing a lots of prequels /medium size)

 

A little bit breakdown:

TBALC : ¥5776M

Wolf Warrior 2 : ¥5694M

TBALC II : ¥3900M*

Operation Red Sea : ¥3652M

Eight Hundred : ¥3111M

How is it cheating? That’s what it’s called. Your shilling for China is weird.

[Issac Newton]

2 minutes ago, PenguinXXR said:

How is it cheating? That’s what it’s called. Your shilling for China is weird.

I mean some of them never appeared on all films. Let's keep it separated. Like Iron Man, Iron Man 2, Iron Man 3 as Iron Man Franchise, because RDJ never appeared on GOG Films or Thor Trilogy. It simply just mixed up. Comparing profits in Universe is different because everyone of us know that MCU has the most films in a row, but making comparison with other franchise unfair if we aligned all of them as one. 

[XXR vs XXR]

3 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

I mean some of them never appeared on all films. Let's keep it separated. Like Iron Man, Iron Man 2, Iron Man 3 as Iron Man Franchise, because RDJ never appeared on GOG Films or Thor Trilogy. It simply just mixed up. Comparing profits in Universe is different because everyone of us know that MCU has the most films in a row, but making comparison with other franchise unfair if we aligned all of them as one. 

Except Iron Man has appeared in films with the Guardians and Thor. Who from Wolf Warrior 2 is in TBALC?