China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[LegendaryBen]

1 hour ago, Issac Newton said:

Saturday Estimates:

🇺🇲 Moonfall : ¥26.4M (~$4.15M) / ¥43.7M (~$6.86M)

🇺🇲 The Batman : ¥9.4M (~$1.48M) / ¥107.3M (~$16.85M) 

🇺🇲 Uncharted : ¥4.9M (~$770K) / ¥82.3M (~$12.93M) 

🇨🇳 Water Gate Bridge : ¥2.7M (~$420K) / ¥4038M (~$634.28M) 

🇨🇳 Too Cool To Kill : ¥2.1M (~$330K) / ¥2611M (~$410.13M) ↗️

 

Moonfall targeting ¥65M+ OW. The Batman breaks ¥100M, the only Hollywood Film, since No Time To Die. Uncharted struggling, will close-pass ¥85M after Sunday. ¥100M benchmark is at risk (?)

Thanks for these numbers. Will Moonfall pass ¥100M total and how is its WOM?

[Issac Newton]

.

Edited March 26, 2022 by Issac Newton

[Issac Newton]

21 minutes ago, LegendaryBen said:

Thanks for these numbers. Will Moonfall pass ¥100M total and how is its WOM?

Sorry, I didn't notice the drop in review today.

 

5.5 in Douban

 

8.4 in Tiapiaopiao

 

8.3 in Maoyan

Edited March 26, 2022 by Issac Newton

[LegendaryBen]

2 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Sorry, I didn't notice the drop in review today.

 

5.5 in Douban

 

8.4 in Tiapiaopiao

Thanks so much! Are these signs for mediocre WOM?

[Issac Newton]

Just now, LegendaryBen said:

Thanks so much! Are these signs for mediocre WOM?

The change in Ratings

D1 → D2 : Sites

8.6 → 8.4 : Taopiaopiao

8.6 → 8.3 : Maoyan

5.6 → 5.5 : Douban

 

We need to clear out weekend, before knowing the results.

 

For comparison (Unfair)

At 2nd Weekend, Batman dropped from 9.0 (OW Ratings) to 8.0 &8.1 in Taopiaopiao and Maoyan and at Douban it stands at 7.6

[Issac Newton]

Sunday Estimates:

🇺🇲 Moonfall : ¥18.1M (~$2.84M) / ¥62M (~$9.74M)

🇺🇲 The Batman : ¥6.5M (~$1.02M) / ¥113.6M (~$17.84M) 

🇺🇲 Uncharted : ¥4.3M (~$680K) / ¥86.5M (~$13.59M) 

🇨🇳 Water Gate Bridge : ¥2.1M (~$330K) / ¥4039M (~$634.43M) 

🇨🇳 Too Cool To Kill : ¥1.8M (~$280K) / ¥2612M (~$410.29M) 

 

Moonfall OW was closed to ¥65M. Let's see what Monday actuals for Weekend speaks! Batman had a hard drop Uncharted still smashing some numbers... (¥100M ?)

 

Overall, TOP 3 are from Hollywood!!

[Issac Newton]

WK: March 25-27, 2022 (Fri-Sun)

Ranking based on WK Revenue

1️⃣ Moonfall : ¥61.87M (~$9.71M) 🆕

2️⃣ The Batman : ¥19.77M (~$3.10M) / ¥113.47M (~$17.82M) (-73%) ↘️

3️⃣ Uncharted : ¥11.06M (~$1.74M) / ¥86.45M (~$13.57M) (-57%) ↘️

4️⃣ Water Gate Bridge : ¥6.51M (~$1.02M) / ¥4038.69M (~$634.13M) (-34%) ↘️

5️⃣ Too Cool To Kill : ¥4.61M (~$720K) / ¥2612.12M (~$410.14M) (-30%) ↘️

6️⃣ Boonie Bear: Back To Earth : ¥2.99M (~$470K) / ¥960.89M (~$150.87M) (-26%) ↘️

7️⃣ The Brothers Nice View : ¥2.95M (~$460K) 🆕

8️⃣ Nice View : ¥1.84M (~$290K) / ¥1371.65M (~$215.37M) (-40%) ↘️ 

9️⃣ We Made A Beautiful Bouquet : ¥1.26M (~$200K) / ¥86.02M (~$13.51M) (-30%) ↘️

🔟 Why Are The Flowers So Red : ¥960K (~$150K) / ¥2.14M (~$340K) (previews) ↗️

 

Applying C.E.R : USD 1 = CNY 0.157

 

[Issac Newton]

Tuesday Estimates

Moonfall : ¥4.85M /¥72.65M

The Batman : ¥1.58M /¥116.93M

Uncharted : ¥1.56M /¥89.70M

Watergate Bridge : ¥1.46M /¥4041.7M

Too Cool To Kill : ¥0.81M /¥2613.8M

[dax33]

Can Moonfall outgross Batman?

[Noctis]

What are projections for Beasts?

[xieh tie]

 

[Issac Newton]

1 hour ago, dax33 said:

Can Moonfall outgross Batman?

Target is to cross ¥100M //There is chance of out-gross Uncharted. But, The Batman is too far...

 

1 hour ago, Noctis said:

What are projections for Beasts?

Let's pre-sales start. Projection later

[Issac Newton]

Drive My Car is scheduled for Chinese Release!!! Date yet to be announced!

[Issac Newton]

Maoyan Prediction:

The Batman : ¥139M // Maoyan Score : 7.9

Moonfall : ¥129M // Maoyan Score : 8.1

Uncharted : ¥118M // Maoyan Score : 8.6

 

Maoyan Prediction went lower as earlier, The Batman and Uncharted was forecasted for ¥160M &¥140M finals respectively.

[BruiseCruise]

The real question is how much would Moonfall do in non COVID times?

[poweranimals]

5 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

Maoyan Prediction:

The Batman : ¥139M // Maoyan Score : 7.9

Moonfall : ¥129M // Maoyan Score : 8.1

Uncharted : ¥118M // Maoyan Score : 8.6

 

Maoyan Prediction went lower as earlier, The Batman and Uncharted was forecasted for ¥160M &¥140M finals respectively.

How does Moonfall have a higher score than the Batman? 

[Issac Newton]

10 hours ago, poweranimals said:

How does Moonfall have a higher score than the Batman? 

Because they liked Moonfall. Asian likes doesn't match with American. It's a simple answer. Indeed, it will defeat Uncharted though, at domestic it was far behind it.

[Issac Newton]

Escape Room 2 OD looks like ¥2M+

 

Pre-sales for Sunday and later days exceeded ¥1M.

 

Though, Maoyan "Want To See" Score was ~40K, behind TF4's ~140K. Fantastic Beast 3 stands at ~277K (~6K /hr)

Edited April 2, 2022 by Issac Newton

[Issac Newton]

Saturday Estimates

Moonfall : ¥9.6M /¥91M

Escape Room 2 : ¥4.2M 🆕

Batman : ¥3.9M /¥124M

Uncharted : ¥3.9M /¥97.3M

Man On The Edge : ¥3.3M (previews)

[TigerPaw]

30 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Saturday Estimates

Moonfall : ¥9.6M /¥91M

Escape Room 2 : ¥4.2M 🆕

Batman : ¥3.9M /¥124M

Uncharted : ¥3.9M /¥97.3M

Man On The Edge : ¥3.3M (previews)

I see 
Yuan2.3M for The Batman and Y2.1m for Uncharted on Maoyan. Think there is a disconnect of data here.