China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Is there a Top 10 listing of the current movies playing in China with their accumulative earnings?

 check below

Edited May 21, 2013 by firedeep

[A Marvel Fanboy]

[druv10]

firedeep, where do you think IM3 will finish at? Can it hit 120M?

[Sam]

Could IM3 remain in the Top 10 at the end of 2013? The local movies seem very strong, with more to come.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

firedeep, where do you think IM3 will finish at? Can it hit 120M?

Very hard. Thinking $117M.

 

 

Could IM3 remain in the Top 10 at the end of 2013? The local movies seem very strong, with more to come.

It will be in top 10 of yearly 2013, probably the only foreign movie in top 10, but not in top 5.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

American Dream in China

Is a beast.  Its Sunday only dropped 6% from Saturday. It only dropped sub 30% on Monday. The best Monday hold I have seen for years. Word of mouth is terrific. It is a much bigger beast than FMR/SY.

 

So how much it can do in total ?

 

Possible projection:

[*]week ONE 104m (24 + 41 + 39) done [*]week TWO 251M (27 + 30 + 27 + 25 + 35 + 57 + 50) Giant 2nd week powered by terrific WOM +141% [*]week THREE 240M (25 + 28 + 26 + 22 + 30 + 60 + 50) Strong WOM continues + Children's Day boost -5% [*]week FOUR 157M (22 + 25 + 23 + 20 + 22 + 25 + 20)  full working week -35% [*]week FIVE  215M (40 + 38 + 35 + 16 + 21 + 35 + 30) Dragon Boat Festival + weak competitors +37% [*]week SIX 101M (13 + 15 + 13 + 10 + 14 + 20 + 16) back to normal -53% [*]week SEVEN 56M (6 + 8 + 7 + 5.5 + 7.5 + 12 + 10) back to normal -45% [*]Rest 35M

Total 1160M     

 

Maybe it is a little too bold. But if it does pull 250M this week (we will know soon in a few days), then my projection will not be too off I think.

 

Anyway this is the best received local film since Let the Bullet Fly in December 2010. That is for sure.

Edited May 21, 2013 by firedeep

[POLYLOVE]

[POLYLOVE]

 

2013 Top Grossing Films in China [Over CNY 10M]

RANK

TITTLE

DISTRIBUTOR

TOTAL GROSS (￥)

TOTAL GROSS ($)

OPEN

1

Journey to the West: Conquering the Demons

Huayi Bro.

￥1,245,340,000

$199,894,061

Feb 10

2

Iron Man 3

DMG

￥685,000,000

$109,951,846

May 01

3

So Young

Enlight Pic.

￥678,000,000

$108,828,250

Apr 26            

The entgroup number for IM3 is ￥688.26M, $110.86M by Sunday.

[alee7915]

According to http://e.weibo.com/dianyingpiaofangba ,  at the end of 21/05, IM3 has now grossed around $114m so it is possible for IM3 to reached $120m at the end of this week.

Edited May 22, 2013 by alee7915

[alee7915]

Could IM3 remain in the Top 10 at the end of 2013? The local movies seem very strong, with more to come.

According to http://e.weibo.com/dianyingpiaofangba ,  at the end of 21/05, IM3 has now grossed around $114m so it is possible for IM3 to reached $120m at the end of this week.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Revised projections for ADIC (May 17):

 

[*]Week ONE 5.17~5.19 105M (24 + 41 + 40) [done] [*]Week TWO 5.20~5.26 229M (30 + 27 + 25 + 22 + 30 + 50 + 45) Giant 2nd week powered by terrific WOM [+118%] [*]Week THREE 5.27~6.2 179M (19 + 21 + 20 + 18 + 24 + 40 + 37) Strong WOM continues despite STID opens [-22%] [*]Week FOUR 6.3~6.9 96M (14 + 15 + 14 + 12 + 11 + 12 + 18)  full working week [-46%] [*]Week FIVE  6.10~6.16 159M (36 + 34 + 28 + 10 + 13 + 21 + 17) Dragon Boat Festival + weak competitors [+65%] [*]Week SIX 55M 6.17~6.23 (6.5 + 7 + 6.5 + 5.5 + 7.5 + 12 + 10) back to normal week + FF6 opening [-65%] [*]Week SEVEN 6.24~30 31M (4 + 4.5 + 4 + 3.5 + 4 + 6 + 5) back to normal [-44%] [*]Rest 20M

 

Total 874M

[POLYLOVE]

According to http://e.weibo.com/dianyingpiaofangba ,  at the end of 21/05, IM3 has now grossed around $114m so it is possible for IM3 to reached $120m at the end of this week.

I'm also thinking $120M finish.

[POLYLOVE]

I hope ADIC could surpass SY.

[Ay72998]

Firedeep, so is American Dreams in China going to be bigger than Tiny Times?  Because that prediction is huge!

[POLYLOVE]

Firedeep, so is American Dreams in China going to be bigger than Tiny Times?  Because that prediction is huge!

I think ￥500M tops for Tiny Times. Its audiences will be more female targeted, and much younger.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

I hope ADIC could surpass SY.

Pretty much a lock. ADIC > IM3 > SY

 

 

Firedeep, so is American Dreams in China going to be bigger than Tiny Times?  Because that prediction is huge!

 

 

I think ￥500M tops for Tiny Times. Its audiences will be more female targeted, and much younger.

Maybe, maybe not. Tiny Times could still be bigger than ADIC even the latter is heading to 800M+ range.

 

The guy has older fans.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Predicted Top 10 of yearly 2013:

 

1. Journey to the West (2.10) 1245M

2. Si Ren Ding Zhi (12.18 ?) 1150M

3. Young Detective Dee: Rise of the Sea Dragon (12.19 ?) 1050M

4. American Dream in China (5.17) 870M

5. Tiny Times (6.27) 850M

6. Iron Man 3 (5.1) 740M

7. So Young (4.26) 730M

8. Police Story 2013 (9.26 ?) 710M

9. Man of Tai Chi (7.5) 600M

10. Finding Mr. Right (3.21) 520M

 

This December probably wont do much more than last one. 2014/2013 probably like 2011/2010.

However biggest movie of 2014 will be in December again.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

After Earth sets for June 13 release.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

After Earth is opening after FF6 in North America and most international markets but it is releasing before FF6 in China. It somehow again shows Sony is stronger than Universal in China. Disney (5 quotas per year) > Fox (5) > Sony (4) > Paramount (4) > Uniiversal (4) > WB (4)

 

Btw, Universal's Jurrasic Park (3D) was pulled from June 2. A new date has not been settled yet but probably middle/late July now.

Edited May 23, 2013 by firedeep

[Ay72998]

I thought the Detective Dee prequel was going to be released in October?

 

Also, when is Star Trek Into Darkness going to get released in China, and how well do you think its going to do?