lab276 Posted November 10, 2012 Share Posted November 10, 2012 Not when you consider the Friday rush factor.And QOS din't have any rush factor? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted November 10, 2012 Share Posted November 10, 2012 My projection is Saturday will stay flat or slightly increase with Friday excluding previews. Normal Sunday around 35~40%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted November 10, 2012 Share Posted November 10, 2012 And that's why only "A+" asures great legs.What? TBL didn't get an A+ and yet had close to a 3x multiplier. A 3x multiplier for this means a 230 M - 240 M finish. Not great huh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burgess Posted November 10, 2012 Share Posted November 10, 2012 (edited) $80M+ is still in play. The Deadline Hollywood article points out that for Quantum Of Solace only had a -4% Friday to Saturday drop. QOS had a steep drop of 43% on Sunday, but I think negative WOM is to blame. If Skyfall grossed $33M Friday then a -4% gross would put Saturday's number around 31M. Assuming that Skyfall's Saturday to Sunday drop is 25%, then Sunday's gross would be about $23M.$33M+$31M+$23M=$87MSkyfall could have a 10% drop from Friday to Saturday and a 20% drop from Saturday to Sunday and still make $85M Edited November 10, 2012 by Burgess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted November 10, 2012 Share Posted November 10, 2012 Many solid members long joined the 80M+ club:http://forums.boxoff...dline-1027-9am/Which is exactly where it might land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted November 10, 2012 Share Posted November 10, 2012 1. Skyfall (Eon/MGM/Sony) NEW [Runs 3,505] PG13 Friday $33.0M, Weekend $88.0M 2. Wreck-It Ralph (Disney) Week 2 [Runs 3,752] PG Friday $7.8M (-42%), Weekend $30.0M (-39%), Cume $90.6M 3. Flight (Paramount) Week 2 [Runs 2,047] R Friday $4.3M (-47%), Weekend $13.0M (-42%), Cume $46.0M 4. Argo (Warner Bros) Week 5 [Runs 2,763] R Friday $1.8M, Weekend $6.0M, Cume $85.0M 5. Taken 2 (Fox) Week 6 [Runs 2,487] PG13 Friday $1.2M, Weekend $3.9M, Cume $131.3M 6. The Man With The Iron Fist (Universal) Week 2 [Runs 1,872] R Friday $825K, Weekend $2.4M (-69%), Cume $12.7 7. Pitch Perfect (Universal) Week 7 [Runs 1,391] PG13 Friday $727K, Weekend $2.3M, Cume $58.8M 8. Cloud Atlas (Warner Bros) Week 3 [Runs 2,023] R Friday $710K, Weekend $2.4M, Cume $22.7M 9. Here Comes The Boom (Sony) Week 5 [Runs 2,044] PG Friday $707K, Friday $2.4M, Cume $39.0M 10. Paranormal Activity 4 [Paramount] Week 4 [Runs 2,348] R Friday $653K, Weekend $1.9M, Cume $52.6M About $144m for the top 10 (assuming Skyfall is 80 and not 88), up 18% on last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted November 10, 2012 Share Posted November 10, 2012 Nah, there was even expectation as high as 110M.And that's ONE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted November 10, 2012 Share Posted November 10, 2012 And QOS din't have any rush factor?Again, not with OS box office smashing for two weeks before DOM debut and fascinating reviews for one month before release. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted November 10, 2012 Share Posted November 10, 2012 (edited) My projection is Saturday will stay flat or slightly increase with Friday excluding previews. Normal Sunday around 35~40%. It won't go as low as 40%, the most comparable movie would be American Gangster and that dropped 35%, but it was in its second weekend. Still, I'd say 35% is the lowest it will go. Edited November 10, 2012 by lab276 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted November 10, 2012 Share Posted November 10, 2012 What? TBL didn't get an A+ and yet had close to a 3x multiplier. A 3x multiplier for this means a 230 M - 240 M finish. Not great huh. All I said is "Only "A+" asures great legs.", which doesnot mean movies didnt get "A+" cs cannot have good legs. Plus, 3x multiplier is not that impressive at all for a 30M opener imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted November 10, 2012 Share Posted November 10, 2012 Argo got hit along with everything else. $100-110m is still on the table, though, which is great.If that number for Ralph holds, it just lost all hope of reaching $200m. Considering the history of animated November openers, though, it'll be just fine as long as it reaches around 165 (and, coincidentally, makes its money back domestically).Flight looks headed for at least $75m, Taken 2 will get within $10m of Taken, Cloud Atlas won't reach 30, and I can't believe someone would downplay the Skyfall number. It tied with Fast Five for the record OD for a straight action film while being in 150 fewer theaters, will improve on QoS by 20% on OD and OW and will almost certainly cross The Bourne Ultimatum to become the highest grossing spy action film domestically. Anybody expected more from it, it's their problem, not the movie's. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted November 10, 2012 Share Posted November 10, 2012 Again, not with OS box office smashing for two weeks before DOM debut and fascinating reviews for one month before release.It's the biggest Bond OW by far, it's smashing box office in the US as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted November 10, 2012 Share Posted November 10, 2012 Anyway, if Skyfall OW turns out to be below 80M, it means it kinda fails to meet its hype. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 10, 2012 Share Posted November 10, 2012 As long as it passes 80M, it's great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted November 10, 2012 Share Posted November 10, 2012 Even adjusted it's the biggest Bond opening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted November 10, 2012 Share Posted November 10, 2012 Anyway, if Skyfall OW turns out to be below 80M, it means it kinda fails to meet its hype.The hype you've created in your mind over the last 12 hours? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted November 10, 2012 Share Posted November 10, 2012 Guess we will have to blame Sony, for they cleaned just 3500 theaters for Skyfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted November 10, 2012 Share Posted November 10, 2012 The hype you've created in your mind over the last 12 hours?The long exsited 80M club since May says all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted November 10, 2012 Share Posted November 10, 2012 80M is still more than likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forg Posted November 10, 2012 Share Posted November 10, 2012 Good hold for Wreck-it Ralph!Pitch Perfect's performance is really good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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