fishstick Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 I would be exstatic if Weisz bumped KK but lets not get ahead of ourselves. critics taste defers from AMPAS more often than not, especially when it comes to such who-saw-it-coming wins. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 riczhang you were right except the wrong group!!! , still think she'll take NBR. It seems like a Tilda Swinton type of win and out of left field thing they like to do. NYFCC shocked me though. I was anticipating Riva, Chastain, or Lawrence. No beasts and no master so far. Well both their chances were killed the moment Beasts lost first feature, and Master lost cinematography. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JackO Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 I would be exstatic if Weisz bumped KK but lets not get ahead of ourselves. critics taste defers from AMPAS more often than not, especially when it comes to such who-saw-it-coming wins.I don't keira has a chance at oscar, maybe gg Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Riva's best chance is with LAFCC. They always love to honor foreign films in various categories there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 I would be exstatic if Weisz bumped KK but lets not get ahead of ourselves. critics taste defers from AMPAS more often than not, especially when it comes to such who-saw-it-coming wins.Statistically the last person to miss was Sally Hawkins and then before that Hope Davis, and then Cameron Diaz. So a win is pretty good for her chances, however with a movie that went no where about 9 months ago in limited her chances aren't really as good as it looks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Riva's best chance is with LAFCC. They always love to honor foreign films in various categories there.Yup. LAFCC and NSFC. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JackO Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Sidney Falco @Sidney_Falco Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln #NYFCC 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JackO Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 At least they did not try and troll that pick. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 (edited) Well at least this one was expected. I was preparing for something unexpected again like Denis Lavant in Holy Motors. (Which is infinitely more deserving IMO) Edited December 3, 2012 by riczhang Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted December 3, 2012 Author Share Posted December 3, 2012 Wish they'd gone really ballsy and gone for someone like Denis Lavant, but whatever. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Wish they'd gone really ballsy and gone for someone like Denis Lavant, but whatever.You and I were on the exact same train of thought. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 I guess after oddball picks for Supporting Actor and Lead Actress they had to rein the free-spiritedness in a bit Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 (edited) I guess after oddball picks for Supporting Actor and Lead Actress they had to rein the free-spiritedness in a bitI think it was more of a matter of the fact that they probably couldn't get a consensus around the main contenders are they're too many of them this year so they've coalesced around an out of left field choice as a consensus. Critics value Consensus more than Passion which is more of the guild's thing. Edited December 3, 2012 by riczhang Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Well, RW and MM certainly brought some life into their category race which has already bene exciding.wasn`t Tilda swinthon last year`s winner who missed out at Oscars? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Well, RW and MM certainly brought some life into their category race which has already bene exciding.wasn`t Tilda swinthon last year`s winner who missed out at Oscars?No, that was NBR. And, Swinton's snub was just shameful, there's never been a contender who's hit that many major precursors and lost out on a nom. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLK Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Screenplay : Lincoln. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JackO Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Screenplay : Lincoln.Damn. Crown it. Maybe Spielberg will win his first after all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 (edited) Lincoln appears to have the inside edge for Director and Picture for NY now with 3 wins. Edited December 3, 2012 by 4815162342 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Damn. Crown it. Maybe Spielberg will win his first after all.Or maybe not. Last time they matched was NCFOM, and then before that Gosford Park. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JackO Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Or maybe not. Last time they matched was NCFOM, and then before that Gosford Park.yeah true, i had it reversed in my gold derby predicts. i went with Lincoln in BD and BP and went moonrise in screenplay. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
