#ED Posted July 22, 2013 Share Posted July 22, 2013 (edited) To quote Ed: Edited July 22, 2013 by #ED Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted July 22, 2013 Share Posted July 22, 2013 So did anyone get Bonus 3 correct? nope NNNY - Cmasterclay, druv10, baumer, 24Lost, Telemachos, Goffe NYNN - ChD, Dexter, Ice Minions, MovieMan89 YNNN - CJohn The correct answers were: NNYY 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted July 22, 2013 Founder / Operator Share Posted July 22, 2013 Thanks, kitik! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted July 22, 2013 Founder / Operator Share Posted July 22, 2013 Looks like Filmovie and I were the only ones to say over $40m for Bonus #1. He was only ~$200k shy of the actual. Nice job, Filmovie! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 22, 2013 Author Share Posted July 22, 2013 I will work on standings tonight's and they will be done later on tonight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted July 22, 2013 Founder / Operator Share Posted July 22, 2013 I'm kicking myself for misreading that RIPD question. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 Okay, I see tons of people have posted their top 15 lists over the past day or two. As with most folks, mine had some good guesses, and some terrible ones. (I think I guessed 215 for Lone Ranger!!!!!) But my first question is, what will the actual top 15 be? Right now, here is my guess: (locks for the top 15 are in bold) 1. Iron Man 3 - 409 2. DM2 - 350 (or thereabouts) 3. MOS - 297 4. Monsters U - 270 5. F&F6 - 239 6. STID - 229 7. WWZ - 205-210 8. The Heat - 155 9. Wolverine - 100-180???? 10. Gatsby - 144 11. Grown Ups 2 - 120??? 12. NYSM - 119 13. Smurfs 2 - 100-140???? 14. PacRim - 110-115??? 15. Hangover 3 - 111 16. Epic - 105 17. TITE - 98 18. Lone Ranger - 97 19. WHD - 80 20. Turbo/The Conjuring/RIPD/Red2/Elysium/2 Guns/Percy Jackson/etc. - ??????????? Obviously I'm just guessing for stuff like PacRim, GU2, Smurfs, and Wolverine. WHD (and After Earth and anything lower) is definitely out of the top 15. There is a 0% chance for WHD. Even if Wolverine and Smurfs and everything else flops. TITE or Lone Ranger could still sneak in, but they're going to need horrible legs for PacRim and flops for just about everything else. (Not that $90 million for stuff like 2 Guns/Red2/Conjuring would be a "flop", but you get the point.) On the other hand, I don't think Hangover 3 is a lock for the top 15 either, it could join Epic in the $100M-but-on-the-outside-looking-in club. If Wolverine, Smurfs, GU2, and PacRim all beat it, all we need is one of the other films from Elysium/2Guns/Turbo etc to beat 111, and Hangover will be out of the top 15. I don't even have NYSM as a lock for the top 15 yet (though I think the odds are pretty good). If Smurfs/Wolverine/GU2/PacRim can all beat it (which I'll admit is more unlikely than likely), then all you'd need would be 2 from the Turbo/Elysium/etc group to beat it, and we'd have a situation where 120M would not be enough to get you into the top 15 for the summer. okay, updating my projections for the top 15, let's go with: 1. Iron Man 3 - 409 2. DM2 - 350 3. MOS - 293 4. Monsters U - 270 5. F&F6 - 239 6. STID - 228 7. WWZ - 207 8. The Heat - 160 9. Wolverine - 100-170???? 10. Gatsby - 144 11. Grown Ups 2 - 125 12. NYSM - 118 13. Smurfs 2 - 100-130???? 14. The Conjuring - 115??? 15. Hangover 3 - 112 16. Epic - 106 17. PacRim - 104? 18. TITE - 98 19. Lone Ranger - 94 20. Turbo/Planes/Elysium/2 Guns/Percy Jackson/etc. - ??????????? Please note that these are just my guesses right now. -I wouldn't completely remove Turbo from contention just yet. It could have a very good hold this weekend. A total in the 90's is still very much a possibility, and 100 could happen with some good animated legs. -Red 2 and RIPD are joining WHD and the others in the discard pile though. -It remains to be seen what type of legs The Conjuring will have. I listed it at 115 above, but being a horror movie, it's not even a lock for 100. But if it has really good legs like I hope it will, it could end up closer to 140. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted July 23, 2013 Founder / Operator Share Posted July 23, 2013 I don't think anyone had TC in the top 15 did they? It could screw my chances at TITE landing in top 15. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Punishment Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 I don't think anyone had TC in the top 15 did they? It could screw my chances at TITE landing in top 15. Yep, two people did - LAguy just updated the standings 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laguy03 Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 I don't think anyone had TC in the top 15 did they? It could screw my chances at TITE landing in top 15. Yep, two people did - LAguy just updated the standings RichWS - $165M acsc1312 - $95M 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 It could screw my chances at TITE landing in top 15. Very slim chances for TITE anyway. It needs both PacRim and Conjuring to fall apart and finish below it, and then nothing else to break out. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 RichWS - $165M acsc1312 - $95M 165M? Was Rich trolling? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 Bonus 1: 41,855,326 - Filmovie (41.678) 5000 points Bonus 2: 93,907,778 - druv10 (93.871) 0 points (points negated due to bonus 3) Bull crap. Risk taking bites back, again. This game can be very cruel at times. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 Just a bit of fun to pass the time.. If later the evening Baumer went insane and demanded we predict our top 12 for BSG 2015 right now, what do you think your list would look like at this firstest of first impressions stage? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 23, 2013 Author Share Posted July 23, 2013 Sorry guys i got busy last night. Theyll be done today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cedarpoint1111 Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 Sorry guys i got busy last night. Theyll be done today. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 How many points will we lose on SOTM 10? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 different folks will lose different amounts Some will lose 30,000, some will lose 10,000, some will lose 5,000, and some will make 2,500. Of course the bonus points could change that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 30'000 for me then. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 NOOOOOOOOO So uh, hey baumer, how bout 20,000 point bonus to anyone who bought the book, what do you say my friend? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...