BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend

[takerowns]

Yes.

then why did dos make 88 million dollars in germany but 76 million dolllars for bofta? since u said bofta is going to beat dos

[IndustriousAngel]

then why did dos make 88 million dollars in germany but 76 million dolllars for bofta? since u said bofta is going to beat dos

The Euro has fallen by that much.

(Since BotFA is about half an hour shorter it may also be that in some theaters, ticket prices are 50c cheaper than they were for DoS, but that should be countered by an overall slight rise in ticket prices)

[IndustriousAngel]

First weekend trend:

 

#1: HiK - 475k (-20%, already over 4mil total)

#2: BH6 - 400-600k (incl. previews) better opening than I expected, maybe even a lot better!

#3: FMmw - 140k (+20%, nice)

#4/5/6 Taken3, Ouija and Mortdecai with 125k each (both openers below my expectations, Taken -50%)

#7: ImitationGame - 115k (good for the only 165 theaters it's in)

[peludo]

First weekend trend:

 

#1: HiK - 475k (-20%, already over 4mil total)

#2: BH6 - 400-600k (incl. previews) better opening than I expected, maybe even a lot better!

#3: FMmw - 140k (+20%, nice)

#4/5/6 Taken3, Ouija and Mortdecai with 125k each (both openers below my expectations, Taken -50%)

#7: ImitationGame - 115k (good for the only 165 theaters it's in)

Where can HiK land in terms of admissions? With those drops I think it should reach 6 million. Amazing.

[peludo]

then why did dos make 88 million dollars in germany but 76 million dolllars for bofta? since u said bofta is going to beat dos

With today euro/dollar exchange rate, DOS would have done about $74m, so yes, BOFA wins.

[IndustriousAngel]

Where can HiK land in terms of admissions? With those drops I think it should reach 6 million. Amazing.

I see it overtaking Hobbit3 for #1 of 2014 - which would mean about 6,2mil - but how much higher can it go? There's a real possibility for it to hit 7mil. If the estimate holds, it will be the highest-grossing 5th weekend ever for a german movie, so there's really no telling where it may stop. And this against 5 semi-to-wide openers and an expanding comedy (Frau Müller muss weg) which targets exactly the same demo. This is really an extraordinary number!

[peludo]

I see it overtaking Hobbit3 for #1 of 2014 - which would mean about 6,2mil - but how much higher can it go? There's a real possibility for it to hit 7mil. If the estimate holds, it will be the highest-grossing 5th weekend ever for a german movie, so there's really no telling where it may stop. And this against 5 semi-to-wide openers and an expanding comedy (Frau Müller muss weg) which targets exactly the same demo. This is really an extraordinary number!

That is what it is great to see about runs like this: how unpredictable it is

[IndustriousAngel]

That is what it is great to see about runs like this: how unpredictable it is

Exactly. If you look back at MarkG2 2014 prognosis, you'll see that he bullseyed Hobbit3 and MJ1 - it's always easier with franchises - but he completely missed "Honig im Kopf" which will probably be #1 with about 6,5mil admissions (he had it pegged at 1,8mil, see his predictions for 4th quarter down that page) and also 2014's nr.4, "Qu'est-ce qu'on a fait au Bon Dieu" which he didn't have in his list at all, meaning <1mil admissions, where in reality it made more than 3,7mil (and is still in some theaters).

[miketheavenger]

HiK seems to be the German equivalent of American Sniper in terms of box office.

[IndustriousAngel]

HiK seems to be the German equivalent of American Sniper in terms of box office.

Not really, no - the opening was good but in no way exceptional. It's the holds that wow. Maybe a good comparison in the US would be the run of "Gone Girl", which went from a sub-40mil opening to nearly 170mil total.

[Fullbuster]

Big Hero 6 being a success in Germany? Ich liebe das!

[IndustriousAngel]

yep, BH6 does better than I expected; still hard to estimate because there are so little presales for family movies, it's walk-in or nothing. With holidays coming, expect a good multiplier - 2mil total or more are very possible with this kind of opening.

[IndustriousAngel]

final weekend trend:

#1: HiK - 450k admissions

#2: BH6 - 450k

#3: Taken3 - 140k

#4: FMmw - 125k

#5/6: Ouija / Mortdecai, 125k each

#7: ImitationGame - 110k

#8: LbC - 90k

[Elessar]

How close to breaking 6m admissions is BOFA?

[IndustriousAngel]

Should be at about 5,93mil admissions with Sunday. Hobbit2 after week 7 was at 5,83, so still 100k ahead. It might hit the 6mil next weekend with a good hold but I think rather the weekend after.

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total	drop	week
1	Honig im Kopf	455.614	791	576	4.105.147	-24	5
2	Big Hero 6	373.726	580	644	429.812	-	1
3	Taken 3	134.577	506	266	933.481	-44	3
4	Mortdecai	125.035	487	257	128.672	-	1
5	Ouija	122.166	259	472	129.552	-	1
6	Frau Müller muss weg	119.107	223	534	291.508	+2	2
7	The Imitation Game	96.556	170	568	112.016	-	1
8	Let's Be Cops	92.000	413	223	535.765	-42	3
9	Bibi & Tina 2	69.227	686	101	1.007.795	-33	5
10	The Hobbit 3	64.347	421	153	5.942.206	-51	7
11	3 Türken & ein Baby	50.701	188	270	60.969	-	1
12	Paddington	42.606	594	72	1.811.158	-39	8
13	Wild	36.208	120	302	102.956	-21	2
14	Annie	35.995	401	90	115.129	-43	2
15	Der kleine Drache Kokosnuss	31.838	504	63	678.866	-34	6
16	Ask Sana Benzer	25.516	39	654	25.516	-	1
17	The Theory of Everything	24.889	237	105	416.111	-36	5
18	Unbroken	22.646	327	69	104.317	-64	2
19	Penguins from Madagascar	19.597	340	58	1.574.747	-46	9
20	Mucize - Wunder	19.422	70	277	196.332	-44	4

 

Good opening for BH6, should enjoy a healthy run! Mortedai weak but not as complete a flop as in the USA. Ouija with a good PTA, might have a good hold next weekend. Imitation Game with a fine PTA but won't expand much.

The big story atm is still "Honig im Kopf", again nr.1 with a fine hold and already over 4mil admissions total.

Last week's "Unbroken" and "Annie" are dropping like stones, I guess none will remain in the charts next weekend. "Frau Müller muss weg" otoh should see another slight expansion; I don't believe it will manage another increase but the drop should be slight.

 

Next weekend:

"Birdman", "John Wick", domestic comedy "Da muss Mann durch", "The Pyramid" - I see no breakouts among openers, "Honig im Kopf" is a safe bet as nr.1. For families: "Fünf Freunde 4", already the fourth entry in this very reliable franchise, will have the usual opening and set its sights to 1mil total once more; B&T2 has already crossed that treshold this weekend.

 

A word on "Penguins from Madagascar": I don't know what went wrong here, I thought this was a candidate for 3mil admissions and now it has barely crossed 1,5. In Austria, it is near 300k admissions - that's ok (and much better than Paddington), so why didn't it work inGermany?!

[IndustriousAngel]

First weekend trend for Germany:

 

#1: HiK - 350k admissions (-25%)

#2: BH6 - 275k (-25%)

#3/4: openers "John Wick" and "Fünf Freunde 4" with 215k each

#5: FMmw - 125k (+5%, sleeper hit - a million, here we come!)

 

That's not bad for "John Wick" - no hit but decent for a basically no-name production.

[IndustriousAngel]

Final weekend trend:

#1: HiK - 350k admissions (-25%)

#2: BH6 - 300k (-20%)

#3: FF4 - 175k

#4: JW - 170k

#5: FMmw - 105k (-10%)

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total	drop	week
1	Honig im Kopf	357.789	790	453	4.625.016	-22	6
2	Big Hero 6	289.463	606	478	774.575	-23	2
3	Fünf Freunde 4	173.706	560	310	175.006	-	1
4	John Wick	141.537	304	466	169.938	-	1
5	Frau Müller muss weg	112.157	308	364	447.754	-6	3
6	The Imitation Game	93.307	218	428	243.769	-3	2
7	Ouija	84.946	310	274	236.024	-31	2
8	Taken 3	74.085	531	140	1.035.486	-45	4
9	Mortdecai	69.024	485	142	230.560	-45	2
10	Birdman	66.234	116	571	83.811	-	1
11	Let's Be Cops	59.861	389	154	610.761	-35	4
12	Bibi & Tina 2	50.996	641	80	1.066.870	-26	6
13	Da muss Mann durch	47.304	329	144	64.728	-	1
14	3 Türken & ein Baby	43.800	198	221	118.306	-14	2
15	The Hobbit 3	36.813	300	123	5.994.865	-43	8
16	Paddington	32.334	491	66	1.848.649	-24	9
17	Wild	25.714	130	198	143.128	-29	3
18	Der kleine Drache Kokosnuss	25.355	443	57	708.015	-20	7
19	Annie	23.806	382	62	144.012	-34	3
20	Ask Sana Benzer (AFM)	21.991	58	379	53.952	-14	2

 

Overall not a very good weekend (not unusual for the season), but "Honig im Kopf" scored the highest 6th weekend ever for a german production! "The Hobbit 3" was only 5.000 admissions away from 6mil by Sunday and must have passed the mark by now - congratulations! "Frau Müller muss weg" with its first drop but still good PTA, a million total is still possible. "The Imitation Game" also with a nice hold, but won't reach a million, which "Taken 3" crossed this weekend.

 

The openers: "John Wick" ok but lower than estimates, won't expand much I guess. "FF4" a bit lower than usual for the franchise but 1mil total should still be doable. "Birdman" had the highest PTA and should get a slight expansion bext weekend, with Oscar buzz and good wom (at least in my show everybody was impressed) I think a million might be in play, but in no way sure.

 

Next weekend: A bunch of interesting releases, even if none of them goes really wide. Opening are, among others: Jupiter Ascending, The Interview, Blackhat, Foxcatcher, and german/turkish comedy "300 Worte Deutsch". That's a lot of new and interesting stuff on screen and accordingly there'll be many victims, except among family stuff for which there's nothing new. "Honig im Kopf" however should stay on top even if it falls below 300k, I see none of the openers crossing 200k (well, there's a, say, 30% chance for JA, colourful SF works sometimes but I just don't feel any buzz for it)

[Dingdong123]

Are those BH6 numbers good or bad? Like, can it reach $20M based on current trends?