BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[miketheavenger]

I can only speak for my theater, but Honig im Kopf has been marketed relentlessly here. They even showed like 3-4 complete scenes from the movie and one trailer in front of my Hobbit 3 screening. While that may have oversaturated the audience, it could also lead to a huge opening IMO.

[IndustriousAngel]

I can only speak for my theater, but Honig im Kopf has been marketed relentlessly here. They even showed like 3-4 complete scenes from the movie and one trailer in front of my Hobbit 3 screening. While that may have oversaturated the audience, it could also lead to a huge opening IMO.

Here in Austria, Til Schweiger is not that much of a draw so I can't say much here but an additional big opening would be nice since Austria had the fewest admissions since god-knows-when in 2014.

[IndustriousAngel]

First weekend trend for Germany:

 

#1: Hobbit3 - 875k admissions (-10%), new nr.1 for Germany 2014 with more than 4,2mil total, but a bit below my 900k estimate.

#2: Honig im Kopf - 750k admissions!! I was counting on more than 500k and hoping for 600 but 750 is incredible!

#3: Exodus - 350k, I was counting on 300k so that's also better than expected!

#4: NatM2 - 240k, flat or even up from last week! Good after the lukewarm opening.

#5: Paddington - 200k (-5%)

#6: Bibi%Tina2 - 225k (incl. previews, weekend-only will probably be behind Paddington), that's exactly within expectations and a bit better than B&T1 (which, btw, is still playing in a few theaters)

#7: MJ1 - 110k (-35%, something had to lose screens with all those openers, still respectable)

#8: Penguins - 100k (-20%)

#9 will probably be "The Theory of Everything" which manages a good PTA in its select theaters.

 

Overall, a very very very strong weekend for theaters!

[miketheavenger]

My feeling for Honig im Kopf wasn't off, anyway. I knew this would be one of Schweigers more successful movies. The marketing really seemed to spark interest with audiences. 

Hopefully Hobbit can still get to 6mil admissions even with a slight drop from last weekend.

[IndustriousAngel]

Yep, will be close for H3 - if this number holds, it will be about 200k behind H1 and 100k ahead of H2 after Sunday. Of course, H1 had much less competition in its 3rd weekend (only big opener was Life of Pi with 500k); there were only 3 releases over 200k admissions (here's the 2012 link); but the same weekend last year was even stronger than this year (link to 2013)

[James]

Yep, will be close for H3 - if this number holds, it will be about 200k behind H1 and 100k ahead of H2 after Sunday. Of course, H1 had much less competition in its 3rd weekend (only big opener was Life of Pi with 500k); there were only 3 releases over 200k admissions (here's the 2012 link); but the same weekend last year was even stronger than this year (link to 2013)

Well, the final weekend trend was off 75K admissions last week. So maybe TH will be over 900.000 adm after all.

[IndustriousAngel]

Yep, would be nice if it did go up a bit, there's definitely room in those theaters.

 

btw, Bibi&Tina2's success establishes a new domestic low-budget franchise with reliable numbers, very similar to the Enid Blyton adaptions.

[Mockingjay Raphael]

What's the last total numbers in ADM for MJ1? It is already higher than CF?

[Poseidon]

Of course, on the biggest weekend of the year, there will be the first snow all over Germany and it will be a lot of snow, followed by freezing cold. AMAZING!

It can only get better in 2015.

[IndustriousAngel]

What's the last total numbers in ADM for MJ1? It is already higher than CF?

If you compare corresponding weekends, MJ1 is roughly 5% ahead of CF. MJ1 should be at 3,6mil admissions today, 3,7 on Sunday. Would be nr.1 in Germany, only H3 is just overtaking it and be at 4,2 on Sunday ...

[IndustriousAngel]

Saturday trend on insidekino - heavy snow in southern Germany dampens the numbers a bit, everything except kids stuff is dropping a few percent from the first trend.

[Hernan Gonzalez]

Saturday trend on insidekino - heavy snow in southern Germany dampens the numbers a bit, everything except kids stuff is dropping a few percent from the first trend.

 

Don't worry I was in Munich last night to take a plane back to Barcelona and it was just 1 cm snow it was snowing all over Bayern but it was pretty light. 

[Leyla]

^ Do you plan to see Honig im Kopf IndustriousAngel?

I love Til & would be good to hear your opinion?

Edited December 27, 2014 by Lady of Lorien

[IndustriousAngel]

Maybe, but if I do, it's more because of Hallervorden ... last year's "Sein letztes Rennen" was really great, funny and touching, on of the best 2013 releases and 9/10 on my IMDB list.

[IndustriousAngel]

Don't worry I was in Munich last night to take a plane back to Barcelona and it was just 1 cm snow it was snowing all over Bayern but it was pretty light. 

There's maybe a misunterdtanding here - the problem with snow is not that it's making it difficult to reach the theater. The problem with snow is that, as soon as it drops, people are thinking of outdoors activities - skiing, sled-driving, building a snowman ... watching a movie, in Germany, is always only 2nd choice. It's the same thing during the year with sunny weekends - everyone's outdoors, BBQing or wandering or biking or sitting in a beer garden - theaters are emtpy.

[Hernan Gonzalez]

There's maybe a misunterdtanding here - the problem with snow is not that it's making it difficult to reach the theater. The problem with snow is that, as soon as it drops, people are thinking of outdoors activities - skiing, sled-driving, building a snowman ... watching a movie, in Germany, is always only 2nd choice. It's the same thing during the year with sunny weekends - everyone's outdoors, BBQing or wandering or biking or sitting in a beer garden - theaters are emtpy.

Sorry! It was my fault. I always spend Christmas at my aunt's place near Nürnberg. This Christmas Day we were watching Frozen, wishing for snow

Edited December 27, 2014 by Henry II of Arendelle

[Poseidon]

In Germany it's more about newspapers spreading panic and people staying at hjome, thinkinking death himself is waiting for them on the streets.

[IndustriousAngel]

ugh, Sunday trend even worse - everything went down another few percent

 

#1: Hobbit3 - 825k admissions

#2: Honig im Kopf - 650k (still above my expectations)

#3: Exodus - 240k

#4: Bibi%Tina2 - 210k

#5: NatM2 - 190k

#6: Paddington - 175k

#7: MJ1 - 125k (the only movie that went up compared to earlier estamate)

#8: Penguins - 90k

#9: Kokosnuss - 80k

#10: The Theory of Everything - 75k

Edited December 28, 2014 by IndustriousAngel

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total	drop	week
1	The Hobbit 3	845.065	930	909	4.239.101	-13	3
2	Honig im Kopf	678.354	611	1.110	678.354	-	1
3	Exodus	246.493	486	507	246.493	-	1
4	Night at the Museum 3	199.745	589	339	550.505	-14	2
5	Bibi & Tina 2	188.950	609	310	221.848	-	1
6	Paddington	186.734	757	247	1.174.567	-12	4
7	Mockingjay 1	125.035	484	258	3.606.729	-26	6
8	Penguins from Madagascar	92.625	647	143	1.248.085	-26	5
9	Der kleine Drache Kokosnuss	89.262	458	195	286.788	-18	2
10	The Theory of Everything	79.876	248	322	91.512	-	1
11	Alles ist Liebe	31.608	396	80	411.409	-59	4
12	Interstellar	30.840	178	173	1.584.751	-14	8
13	The Loft	26.304	98	268	105.846	+19	3
14	Kill the Boss 2	22.075	181	122	343.501	-37	5
15	Hadi Insallah	18.318	40	458	38.653	+53	2
16	Magic in the Moonlight	16.161	117	138	151.590	-22	4
17	Qu'est-ce qu'on a fait au Bon Dieu?	14.762	143	103	3.660.881	+19	23
18	Clouds of Sils Maria	12.226	54	226	36.181	-12	2
19	A Walk Among the Tombstones	11.426	159	72	417.706	-11	7
20	The Homesman	10.706	74	145	35.853	-19	2

 

Good to excellent numbers for the openers (except Exodus which was still "ok"), soft drops, and a new nr.1 for Germany! The top 3 are still in release, and after the strong opening, "Honig im Kopf" is a new contender for #2 of 2014 behind Hobbit3.

btw, QecqoafaBD went up a bit from last weekend and is still nr.2 for 2014, 50k admissions ahead of MJ1.

 

In Austria, "Streif" - a docu-drama about the Kitzbühel downhill race event - was nr.2 for the weekend behind Hobbit3, really excellent start!

 

Next weekend: Only one wide opener - "Fury" - with mixed reviews, so the question is: Who will win the first 2015 weekend - "Honig im Kopf" with a super hold, or Hobbit3 again? Fury should make it to nr.3.

[IndustriousAngel]

presales for the weekend see Hobbit3 in front of HiK but I suspect that, as a 3D movie, H3 gets more presales while HiK might attract more walk-in business. In US$, H3 will come out nr.1 anyway. As to "Fury" - well, it's not flopping but atm I would give it 250k admissions max (going by my theater, 150k), another really mediocre opening.

Edited January 1, 2015 by IndustriousAngel