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firedeep

China Box Office: General Discussion Thread

30,933 posts in this topic

5 minutes ago, Mrstickball said:

One caveat is screens... how many screens will F8 have this weekend? Seems like it should still bully competition out in terms of TC.

Sent from my SM-N910T3 using Tapatalk
 

Around 100k for F8

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17 hours ago, POTUS said:

If it's 75m on Thursday then FSS might be 108/173/129   -69% from real FSS OW

 

My best guess today is 70-75. Its down around 22% atm compared to yesterday

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2 hours ago, fmpro said:

 

My best guess today is 70-75. Its down around 22% atm compared to yesterday

It's headed for another heavy drop. At 51M, I've same range as you. Another 20%+ drop, it's going to need 50% jump on Friday or drop will be around

75%+ for the weekend. 

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Posted (edited)

The weekend now looking like 95/152/110     357m -72%  2135m total.

2300m going into may day weekend after a 520m week. Should hold -40% for may day week for another 300m, 2600m total when GotG opens.2700-2800m. $392-405m.

Removing service charge FF8  will be up 10% in yuan. Not bad considering FF7 was a phenom that more than doubled expectations, and the market is flat since then with no other HLWD movie clearing 1.5b.

I thought it was going to drop 20% before PS started.  It's going to drop 30%+ in dom

Edited by POTUS
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THU Estimates
 
before service charges
Fate of the Furious  -  70.6m / 1,686m(highest gross of 2017, TOP.5 of all time)

Mr. Pride vs Miss Prejudice  -  11.9m
A Chinese Odyssey Part Two  -  5.32m / 127.9m
Kong: Skull Island  -  0.61m / 1,094m
Ghost in the Shell  -  0.49m / 187.5m
 
after service charges

Fate of the Furious  -  75m / 1,809m

Mr. Pride vs Miss Prejudice  -  12.8m
A Chinese Odyssey Part Two  -  5.8m / 140.8m
Kong: Skull Island  -  0.65m / 1,158m
Ghost in the Shell  -  0.53m / 199.3m

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1 hour ago, Gavin Feng said:

THU Estimates
 
before service charges
Fate of the Furious  -  70.6m / 1,686m(highest gross of 2017, TOP.5 of all time)

Mr. Pride vs Miss Prejudice  -  11.9m
A Chinese Odyssey Part Two  -  5.32m / 127.9m
Kong: Skull Island  -  0.61m / 1,094m
Ghost in the Shell  -  0.49m / 187.5m
 
after service charges

Fate of the Furious  -  75m / 1,809m

Mr. Pride vs Miss Prejudice  -  12.8m
A Chinese Odyssey Part Two  -  5.8m / 140.8m
Kong: Skull Island  -  0.65m / 1,158m
Ghost in the Shell  -  0.53m / 199.3m

 

 

After 7 days Furious 7 was right around ¥1,568m

 

Putting Fate of the Furious up around 7% before service charges and 14% after service charges.

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Posted (edited)

FF8 OW numbers 

Midnight - 62.6M

OD - 418.54M/481.15M

Sat - 499.28M/980.43M +19%

Sun - 381.48M/1361.91M -24%

Edited by Olive
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18 minutes ago, Olive said:

FF8 OW numbers 

Midnight - 62.6M

OD - 418.54M/481.15M

Sat - 499.28M/980.43M +19%

Sun - 381.48M/1361.91M -24%

Thanks, so F8 did beat JW's opening Saturday record.

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and in terms of admissions it sold over 30 million tickets on it's OW (a record as TFA sold near 24 million)

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17 hours ago, POTUS said:

The weekend now looking like 95/152/110     357m -72%  2135m total.

2300m going into may day weekend after a 520m week. Should hold -40% for may day week for another 300m, 2600m total when GotG opens.2700-2800m. $392-405m.

Removing service charge FF8  will be up 10% in yuan. Not bad considering FF7 was a phenom that more than doubled expectations, and the market is flat since then with no other HLWD movie clearing 1.5b.

I thought it was going to drop 20% before PS started.  It's going to drop 30%+ in dom

 

That friday number looks possible atm. 

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1 hour ago, fmpro said:

 

That friday number looks possible atm. 

Yup. 5m per hour. To 1730 makes 50m which I think is the midpoint. 95m-102m +30%~

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3 hours ago, seduh said:

and in terms of admissions it sold over 30 million tickets on it's OW (a record as TFA sold near 24 million)

Almost 38m tickets. It had about twice the seats available for true FSS. SW7 sold 4m tix before Thursday midnight.

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20 minutes ago, POTUS said:

Yup. 5m per hour. To 1730 makes 50m which I think is the midpoint. 95m-102m +30%~

 

Yep. 70-72% drop is coming up unless its a weekend movie and it explodes on sat/sun..

 

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FF8           FF7        
Day Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot
Fri 418     481 70          
Sat 500 19.6%   981 143 50        
Sun 382 -23.6%   1363 198 348     398 64
Mon 160 -58.1%   1523 221 185 -46.8%   583 94
Tues 119 -25.6%   1642 239 167 -9.7%   750 121
Wed 93 -22.3%   1734 252 137 -18.0%   887 143
Thur 75 -18.5%   1809 263 115 -16.1%   1002 162
                     
Fri 98 30.0% -76.6% 1907 277 142 23.8%   1144 185
Sat 157 60.2% -68.6% 2064 300 226 59.0%   1371 221
Sun 117 -25.5% -69.4% 2181 317 185 -18.1% -46.7% 1556 251
Mon           73 -60.6% -60.5% 1629 263
Tue           65 -11.0% -61.1% 1694 273
Wed           52 -19.4% -61.8% 1747 282
Thu           45 -14.1% -60.9% 1792 289
                     
Fri           59 31.1% -58.6% 1851 298
Sat           92 55.1% -59.6% 1942 313
Sun           69 -24.2% -62.6% 2012 324
Mon           27 -61.4% -63.3% 2038 329
Tue           26 -1.5% -59.4% 2065 333
Wed           24 -10.2% -54.8% 2088 337
Thu           31 32.5% -30.2% 2120 342
.                    
Fri           67 114.6% 14.2% 2187 353
Sat           67 -0.6% -26.8% 2254 364
Sun           39 -41.8% -43.8% 2293 370
                  2426 390.7
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4 hours ago, seduh said:

and in terms of admissions it sold over 30 million tickets on it's OW (a record as TFA sold near 24 million)

Around 37M

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Pretty good friday increase. Looks like 100 mill will happen. Maybe a bit more if lucky

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friday drop from last weekend was a bit harsh

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friday drop from last weekend was a bit harsh


That is going to happen when its the biggest opening in Chinese history. Even many US movies have horiffic 2nd Friday drops when demand is burned off.

Sent from my SM-N910T3 using Tapatalk

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Friday estimates?

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FRI Estimates
 
before service charges
Fate of the Furious  -  92.1m / 1,802m

The Smurfs 3  -  12.87m

Mr. Pride vs Miss Prejudice  -  12.1m / 23.2m
A Chinese Odyssey Part Two  -  4.81m / 134.5m

The Mysteries Family  -  4.25m

The Blood Hound  -  3.15m

Snow in Midsummer  -  1.26m
Kong: Skull Island  -  0.4m / 1,094m
Ghost in the Shell  -  0.3m / 188.8m
 
after service charges

Fate of the Furious  -  98m / 1,909m

The Smurfs 3  -  13.84m

Mr. Pride vs Miss Prejudice  -  13.2m / 25.3m
A Chinese Odyssey Part Two  -  5.25m / 146.4m

The Mysteries Family  -  4.67m

The Blood Hound  -  3.46m

Snow in Midsummer  -  1.38m
Kong: Skull Island  -  0.43m / 1,158m
Ghost in the Shell  -  0.32m / 199.5m

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