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keysersoze123

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Everything posted by keysersoze123

  1. keysersoze123
    What is the best scenario for Previews to OW multi for Terminator. i cant see it more than 10x considering there should be some frontloading with this franchise. But again the fan base is a limited driver considering how bad the PS has been. I dont know why it is tracking so big. I remember seeing numbers like 50m OW !!! Other things is SW9 previews. I thought I will focus on grabbing shows for beyond OW to get numbers and I am on the quest. But I saw almost another 300 shows added for previews. So I will update with just preview numbers again. We can extrapolate how rest of the weekend would behave from yesterday's numbers. I will update before i shutdown down tonight.
  2. keysersoze123
    I would say 845m+ WW after sunday. Definitely on route to 1B WW.
  3. keysersoze123
    Is it possible for BoPro to create a page for it. Should not be that hard 🙂
  4. keysersoze123
    As Omni said you are adding value to this forum. So dont worry about the volume of posts.
  5. keysersoze123
    WOW. Craziest market for sure.
  6. keysersoze123
    I am going to move to weekly cadence for AMC/Cin updates every weekend(but I hope to do it for more than just OW). But I also hope to do manual look at other chains like Alamo, Marcus, Showcase etc to see how strong its playing outside mega cities. So far I based on quick anecdotal check its playing strong everywhere which means ratio of AMC/Cinemark will be lower than usual. So with preview sales for AMC/Cin at 5.5m I could see overall previews PS at 18m rather than 16.5m. It woulc be interesting to see how that grows over the coming weeks.
  7. keysersoze123
    I stopped tracking joker after last weekend for usual reasons(I am tracking the big kahuna). But did a quick pull and checked how Friday is looking at AMC. I might have missed some early shows but its impact to BO should be very limited at this point in the run. If it follows usual trend then its looking at around 40% drop Friday to Friday. Of course its really early and so I could be off about this.
  8. keysersoze123
    Alamo Drafthouse Austin - SW9 Previews South Lamar - 6PM, 7PM, 945PM, 1030PM(SOLD OUT), 1:25AM(129/198), 145AM(16/126) Village - 6PM, 935PM, 1010PM(Sold out), 110AM(98/126), 145AM(22/115) Slaughter Lane - 6PM, 630PM, 945PM, 1015PM(Sold out), 12AM(92/102), 1230AM(78/102), 130AM(59/108) Lakeline - 6PM(sold out), 945PM(140/142), 130AM(122/142) Mueller - 6PM, 945PM(Soldout), 130AM(109/123) 14 sellouts and so many near sellouts. Even very late post midnight shows are playing very strong. I expect more shows to be added soon.
  9. keysersoze123
    One thing about AMC data is its missing data for sellouts. Example is AMC Empire 25. I have data only for 30 shows while Fandango shows 41 shows. There were even more when I checked initially. So the actual number would be even higher if am missing lots of sellouts. Unfortunately there is no way to retrieve shows which are sold out and removed from the system.
  10. keysersoze123
    Terminator - Dark Fate (T-7) AMC - 8605/168890 $147834.10(778 shows) +3266 CIN - 2902/163170 $38286(914 shows) +1538 So overall PS of 186K and if we take 1/3rd share for the 3 chains then we are looking at 560K national previews PS at this point. Real action should start next week. If I have to guess I would say 3-3.5m previews.
  11. keysersoze123
    AMC previews - 231911/783448 $3455141.67 4691 shows +4314 AMC OD - 129087/999282 $2089088.37.(4882 shows) +4136 AMC D2 - 97845/989906 $1482778.26(4831 shows) +3314 AMC D3 - 43342/960655 $658027.96 (4693 shows) +1829 Total Tickets for OW sold today- +13589 Obvious slow down in PS but in isolation these numbers are still great as we have another 8 weeks to go. Show count is on the up. Cinemark Previews - 153965/475836, $2000791 (3166 shows) Cinemark OD - 94268/736319, $1097906 (4468 shows) I think I figured out why show count was less at my end. Cinemark does not have unique showtime ids across theaters @Menor I have messaged you link which has the data from my run. But I am not comparing to yesterday where I was missing lots of data. I will try to refresh. Cinemark seem to have slightly better occupancy than AMC which is great. Edit: added Cinemark OD. Again no comparisons as yesterday data was incomplete. Cinemark OD to AMC OD ratio is even better. I will add more days to Cinemark as well by this weekend. Hope to start doing weekly updates starting this weekend but will try to pull data for entire holidays(almost till 3rd weekend !!!!!).
  12. keysersoze123
    I can do that. Fan screenings are accounted as Cinemark you pull in show by date rather than by movie name. So you pull in all the movies. But at this point only shows for SW including fan events are listed. I have not split them at this point. I think I am reasonably comfortable about bugs being fixed. I manually tested for few shows. But Cannot guarantee. Its almost accurate. Also at times when you run it for 1000's of show there is a potential of few erroring out but should not make huge difference over long run. Numbers for Cinemark at this point Previews - 137549/428941 $1800080 (10/24 1130AM) OD - 85086/647877 $1002794 (10/24 1148AM)
  13. keysersoze123
    I am getting data for only 2829 shows. But tickets sold have increased. 137090/297879, $1794445 Still I will keep digging. There may be few more types of seats I am missing. On show count I got 3358 but not all of them are reserved shows.
  14. keysersoze123
    Thank you. Probably that is it. I am looking for Unavailable Seat/Companion Seat or Wheelchair space. Let me check few shows with love seats and dbox. But show count is interesting. I am checking for all the theaters I thought. Let me recheck the theaterlist again. Still the discrepancy cannot be from just 171 shows.
  15. keysersoze123
    FYI I added Day 2 and Day 3 BO for AMC. I did not check yesterday night(did not have my laptop power cord and so focused on previews and day 1 updates). Really Solid day overall. I cant see a negative spin unlike the musketeer.
  16. keysersoze123
    Dont know. May be I am missing some shows. I am searching across 279 cinemark theaters(ones that have reserved shows). May be I am under reporting the sold seats. I will do some digging this weekend.
  17. keysersoze123
    AMC previews - 227597/779608 $3488274 10/23 final (4664 show) +9773 AMC OD - 124951/999212 $1863788 (4878 shows) final 10/23 +8062 AMD D2 - 94531/990277 $1237935 (4828 shows) (I did not run it yesterday night but it increased almost 20K compared to yesterday afternoon) AMC D3 - 41513/960758 $545061 (4691 shows almost. +10000 since yesterday afternoon) So between just previews and OD it sold almost 18K tickets in past 24 hours. Those are insane numbers. I am still gathering data for d2/d3 at least and tickets sales are moving for those days as well(Roughly Day 2 is 75% of day 1 and Day 3 is 40% of day 2). Minus release day sales, no other movies or combination of movies come close. Also good news is more shows are being added for previews and OD compared to yesterday. That will continue to happen as more shows are getting full. Cin Prev - 118458/269384 $1537101 (2820 shows) +8363 Cin OD - 67305/522150 $786420 (3961 shows) +9638 I did not post Cinemark yesterday as Menor did though our numbers dont sync up completely. But from my perspective Cinemark had a great day as well almost keeping pace with AMC. Beyond this tracking I have seen significant sellouts and/or near sellouts in all major chains(Regal, Alamo Drafthouse etc). So this is not specific to big cities like what I saw for Joker.
  18. keysersoze123
    it was dead the moment Brandon/Sean bailed it. Already the site visit numbers are pale comparison to last decade when Brandon/Sean bailed out. Plus getting rid forums was a terrible idea that showed they dont want any feedback or visitor engagement. from Amazon perspective this is irrelevant. As someone was joking over at KJ we need Warren to split Imdb/bom into a separate companies and from Amazon as well 🙂
  19. keysersoze123
    ^^^^ We never had apples for apples comparison data from SW7/8. May be @Porthos can provide comparitive data with SW8(not sure he was tracking SW7). But whatever I have seen its definiltely nothing is a concern at this point. I am thinking at this rate I will take a break for a while if this thread also becomes a cesspool. I dont think I am big fan either with all this DC vs Marvel or any other fight or persistent whining about words in some article. Its a real waste of time.
  20. keysersoze123
    What's with all the negativity around SW9 PS. its doing great and still selling lots of tickets. Also it has more than 8 weeks to its release. There was never an expectation for it to hit Endgame numbers(or even SW7). Just from 3rd of the market it has sold $10m+ PS already. That is just insane. I see good momentum beyond preview PS. I will update in next hour or 2 with the data. I would recommend wait and watch rather than prescribing doom. I think PS for all the other movies I have tracked so far and rest of the year combined wont come close to SW9 PS !!!!!
  21. keysersoze123
    Format had to change as they were using so old version of software that it was a security risk. But Imdb does not care much at this point. Traffic to Mojo has fallen big since the time Brandon/Sean owned it. Plus there is no community engagement at Mojo or IMDB post forums beings removed. At IMDB will stay relevant bcos its the go to site for checking about movies(minus BO). Mojo can be superseded by some other site though there are no perfect alternatives(BO.com or Numbers have their own issues).
  22. keysersoze123
    OK. Did a quick check if preview sales are moving post initial mania. It has sold slightly more than 5K tickets since yesterday night. That is insane for most movies but for SW9 it’s not spectacular even this far out. But better news is another 93 shows have been added. So at least show count is increasing based on demand. Its still only at 4674 and I would like to see it close to double that number by Dec 19th.
  23. keysersoze123
    As I posted earlier, there are non reserved shows plus 2% of shows dont return data and I think they are sellouts. On top of that some theaters seem to remove shows that are sold out. That is hard to rationalize. So this could be like 90% of overall data at best for normal movies and for mega blockbusters could be even slightly lower.
  24. keysersoze123
    Hey this is only for reserved shows. Plus AMC seem to randomly remove shows sold out and so there is a delta between numbers I report and complete number. It could be skewed for a mega ticket sellers. I hope Wang can provide us a number soon. Also some reserved thaters error out. But that is under 2%. But those shows could be mostly sold out. Once Frozen is out and I have the numbers at least I have another big movie to track. We need more data before confirming it. But I would say you must be right in this being below SW7.
  25. keysersoze123
    SW9 Previews AMC - 218824/761727 (it translates to about ~$3.3m if we assume 10-15% of tickets are kid tickets. ) There are 76 sellouts. if you look at shows with < 10 tickets available then there are another 193 near sellouts. SW9 OD AMC - 116889/988785 (around $1.7m) I would let Menor report Cinemark for now. Good news is when I search for new shows I added another 200 each for previews and OD. So Plexes are already adding based on demand. FYI this data is only for reserved shows and AMC has many classic theaters without reserved seating and even in theaters with reserved seating some digital screens dont have them. Yesterday I remember seeing even AMC Empire have around dozen shows without reserved seating but they disappeared today. Not sure they were for bulk booking. Only Wang can report true AMC numbers. I hope he provides an update later today. I have no comparisons to SW9 as I have been doing this since Joker and they are not in the same ballpark.
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