keysersoze123

How about Lion King.

This will be a blockbuster and so this is a big number. But no comparisons as only movies I tracked are either not a blockbuster or SW9 which is more fan driven than F2 will be. As I said that sold like 130K tickets on day 1. Good news is Cinemark show numbers are very good. Also 85% of SW9 level. Only AMC has been quite conservative in allocating shows. Even huge plex like AMC Empire 25. In fact AMC Metreon in SF(2nd biggest Imax in the country) does not even have previews!!! I only see shows listed for friday.

One theater I tracked closely for TLK till Joker was AMC Empire 25. Initial number for Frozen Dolby - 83/225(6PM), 49/225(845PM) Imax - 54/303(630PM), 15/303(915PM) 2D - 5/377(7PM), 3/377(945PM) Total: 209/1810 $4853 Joker sold over 1000 tickets on day 1. I am thinking Dolby 6PM will be near sellout and strong sales at Dolby 845PM and 630PM Imax. 2D will start slow. Surprising it did not get Prime or any 3D shows.

Upto 11386/379399 140617.00 and so its selling just about 2000 tickets per hour at Cinemark. Could end up around 25k for Day 1. Menor had right data for SW9 and that sold around 130K. No other comparisons 🙂

So first pull has 1456 shows at AMC. Let us see how fast this grows. With just 16 days it will ramp up fast. BTW when did PS start. AMC wont work for a while as requests gets queued for a while. Cinemark Previews: 7196/379399 $87904 (2363 shows). No sellouts(in fact no show has sold more than 9 tickets but its really early). No comparisons except SW9 and that is not a good comparison for this movie.

Terminator Salvation had some hype. Initial tracking had it at 120m over 5 days. But the movie had horrible reviews and the buzz died by the time it released. That is what happens when you let a McG direct a movie like that.

IT did 700m but WB failed to make IT2 attractive enough for an increase. Something big will release in September as well. Its just a matter of time. January is bit tricky as studios like to release blockbusters during the holidays but American Sniper was Yuge domestically. We need a OS friendly product that breaks out like Joker did. I am sure both months will have 1B grossers within next decade.

AMC Update Mal 2 way better than estimates. Drop in low 20's compare to yesterday and low 30'%s compared to last sunday. Joker is dropping like 33% from yesterday 28-29% from last sunday. FYI these are raw ticket numbers. $ grosses have variables like children/senior tickets, % fo premium tickets etc. Mal 2 lost all Imax/PLF and so its avg ticket price will be lower. Plus its just one chain and so it could over/under index. But I am sure Mal 2 will go up quite a bit from estimates. Joker may not move much may be a little bit to hit 14m if rest of the weekend do not go down(with actuals fri/sat grosses also change a bit).

Would AT&T bother enough to release a Snyder cut for special Blu Ray plus for HBO Max. if not we will never see it. Most probably we will never see it as Snyder is persona non grata at WB now.

When does summer break start in Brazil? I am hoping it has crazy late run and make a play for 40m in brazil.

Considering AMC is removing sold out shows at many plexes, we are underestimating the SW ticket sales rather than overestimating it. I am sure its overal previews PS is higher than Porthos number. I am thinking 25m range for now. Some chains like Drafthouse are absolutely insane with so many sellouts. On Frozen 2, hopefully it gets more shows for previews. Currently the count is not very high. Nothing that screams double digit previews. Only comparison I have is with TLK and that had huge number of shows from day 1 of PS. Currently at AMC it has 1396 shows listed nationally. Joker had over 3 times that number(SW9 already at 4x that number). But more than number of shows let us see how it sells in its 1st day. Joker sold over 1000 tickets at Empire 25. I am expecting this to come close since expectations are for 20m previews.

@Menor Sorry to bring this up. Can you only do non AMC non Cinemark Fandango theaters. Then we will have almost complete data.

What is the total for Joker.

Its going to sell 4m admits there. How many movies cross that threshold. Plus I feel it could stretch a bit more running through the holidays.

Considering the ratings for Joker at Douban, I feel Venom kind of runwould have happened for Joker in Middle kingdom. FYI https://movie.douban.com/subject/27119724/

Sensational hold. Could finish around 550m WW at this rate.

No. Gitesh is saying the same. 72.9+29 is around 101m WW this weekend. He is not talking about total cume. Anyway even 250m WW looks tough as its likely to collapse in most markets.

Crazy scenario would be 1.1B if it had good OS run till end of the year. There is absolutely no competition. Frozen 2 is the only big movie till Jumanji and that targets different audience base. So I think it has slight possibility. Domestic will cross 340m for sure. May be even get close to 350m.

I did underestimate it big time but essence of what I said held true. It went above our loftiest projections. It should cross 1B in 2 weeks.

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Joker grossed an estimated $37.0M internationally this weekend. International total stands at $634.4M, global total stands at $934.0M.<a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/JokerMovie?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#JokerMovie</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Joker?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Joker</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/BoxOffice?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#BoxOffice</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/wbpictures?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@wbpictures</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/jokermovie?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@jokermovie</a></p>&mdash; BoxOfficeReport.com (@BORReport) <a href="https://twitter.com/BORReport/status/1191017606590763009?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 3, 2019</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

There are other variables. AMC might have bigger share of BO for one or other movie. Joker did start playing stronger in NYC region where AMC is huge. That is why one cannot take this numbers as absolute data. Just provides some trend that movies are doing well.

Not bad even for Terminated Dark Fate. Great for Joker/Mal 2.

Wanted to look at week after next releases and compare to next week releases. Charlie's Angels AMC - 738/131840 $8539 (685 shows) Cin - 779/106733 $9723 (735 shows) Ford vs Ferrari (T-12) Previews AMC - 1844/90220 $28053 (485 shows) Cin - 1410/83721 $17557 (514 shows) Ford vs Ferrari is doing much better with fewer shows. May be BO.com tracking could come true for this. Charlies angels definitely is bombing. Female driven movies should otherwise have good PS. This is really bad.

I think Mal 2 will go higher. That is base. May be 35% week on week drop only. Let me update after 10PM PST.

No idea. I did not track that. I need to scrap the shows in the morning to get data at night. Plus I did not track it yesterday and so I dont have anything to compare with. These numbers kind of work because we look at trend.