keysersoze123
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JOKER OS THREAD // 738.5M OS // 1.074B WW
keysersoze123 replied to PanaMovie's topic in International Box Office
Its BO is dominated by leggy markets which can sustain multiple movies. Plus as @titanic2187 said market is barren. So I am surprised by all the plod to 1B. It will easily coast past 1B. Take germany, it had ok hold bcos weather was good. Next weekend if weather is typical german weather, then it will have crazy hold. Plus with holiday help I am thinking drop close to 30% next weekend. Similar I am thinking another 55m domestic after this to beat BvS. -
JOKER OS THREAD // 738.5M OS // 1.074B WW
keysersoze123 replied to PanaMovie's topic in International Box Office
Phenomenal hold for joker. But it was expected. It will continue to have a good run going for 700m OS. -
I think there will be interest for the right sci-fi. This is a tired franchise. We have had so many movies with Robotic villians(including SH movies) and having Arnold and Linda shows they are just aiming for nostalgia. I am confident Tenet will be big next year and that is not a SH movie.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
AMC Previews - 251899/838532 $3770155 (5004 shows) AMC OD - 145393/1073302 $2347370 5241 shows AMC D2 - 110246/1058677 $1667012 (5177 shows) AMC D3- 49994/1029430 $756905(5026 shows) AMC D4 - 13901/910488 $212608.74(4427 shows) AMC D5 - 10853/831297 $156181.65 (4041 shows) AMC D6 - 13355/907756 $190887.65 (4436 shows) The previews/od move was quite slow today but that is when you look at SW RR. These numbers are insane otherwise. Dont forget it has 54 days to release. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
That is given. I am doing it for couple of days at least and then on a weekly interval until week before the release when I will do it daily. If I can track Mal 2, Zombieland and Terminator, I will track Frozen 2. I dont have absolute numbers for I2 or TS4 but did track Empire 25 but @captainwondyful has everything. So she along with you and others will have comparative data. My goal is to capture data for future. Though next year you dont have a animation sequel though Mulan Live action is there but I am not convinced domestic hype would be there. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Terminator - Dark Fate (T-5) AMC Prev - 9920/169881 $169653 790 shows +1315 Cinemark Prev - 3344/163170 $44260 914 shows +442 So its under 215K with Cinemark way weaker than AMC which means AMC is over indexing. I would think National previews would be at 550K. Needs to finish at at least 55k between 2 chains to hit 3m previews. May be its going to just have like sub 2.5m previews but still do great over the weekend to hit 40m OW. So I looked at AMC OD to see if the PS is backloaded. AMC OD - 12527/461164 $216254 Good news is its higher than previews. So there is some hope for good OW though raw numbers are still meh. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Not to make it a franchise wars thread. But I am also fully vested in SW9 tracking and so will do something similar to what I am doing for Terminator(not that I think they will have similar BO 🙂 ). Anyway I doubt F2 will be a PS monster. But even if it does like Quarter of SW9 numbers, I am willing to get on the train for the movie. For now I am skeptical. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Nothing at Empire 25 as well. Interesting thing is for SW9 shows had popped up by now for monday sale. Obviously F2 is a family flick and comparisons should be I2 or TS4 or TLK but without Pulse we dont have apples to apples data. We have to rely on @Porthos, @FlashMaster659 , @Eric, @captainwondyful and @TalismanRing to provide comparable data. I think I can search for my Lion king data as well. -
That is sub 40% weekly drop. If it night shows show as much weakness as yesterday I dont see it go that high. That said it should win the day today despite Joker having a strong day as well.if joker is even slighly weaker than yesterday late night it should increase 50% at AMC which is extraordinary for that movie which has shown limited saturday bumps. Plus it increase much better this friday than any other friday. I will update in 3 hours or so.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
NO way. its releasing close to christmas. I would say around 40%. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
That was couple of days ago. Based on show boost I am thinking preview PS must be in low 20's. I have no idea about TFA/TLJ as I did not track except anecdotal check that it was crazy everywhere. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Alamo - SW9 Previews Charlotsville 6PM(201/217), 645PM(135/153), 730PM(114/122), 945PM(109/217), 1030PM(20/153), 1115PM(5/122) Corpus Christi 6PM,945PM (Sold out) Dallas Richardson - 6PM(Sold out), 630PM(Sold out), 855PM(219/226), 940PM(sold out), 1010PM(58/66), 1050PM(169/204), 1235AM(90/226) Cedars - 6PM(143/153), 630PM(147/153), 7PM(130/137), 940PM(123/153), 1010PM(96/153), 1040PM(69/137), 120AM(1/153) Los Colinas - 6PM(119/156), 630PM(96/138), 7PM(103/132), 940PM(111/156), 1010PM(37/138), 11PM(11/132) North Richards Hill - 6PM (170/240), 640PM(123/169), 710PM(111/159), 940PM(129/240), 1020PM(11/169), 1050PM(0/159), 120AM(2/240) Lake Highlands - 6PM(194/200), 635PM(146/155), 705PM(132/140), 940PM(159/200), 1015PM(96/155), 1045(65/140), 120AM(4/200) Denton - 640PM(117/175), 710PM(101/153), 1020(59/175), 1050PM(17/153) Denver Littleton - 6PM(sold out 206/206), 940PM(175/206), 11PM(87/144), 1130(62/144) Sloans Lake - 9PM(112/118), 1030PM(168/196), 12AM(65/126), 1245AM(14/118) Westminster - 630PM(106/115),715PM(91/105),1015(78/115),11PM(57/105),12AM(9/85) Extremely strong. Occupancy is better than AMC/Cin. -
Great. So it exceeded expectations compared to what we thought couple of weeks ago.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I dont think so. Anyway I dont think NYC and most Bay area AMC theaters dont do discount tuesday. Quick check across 800 shows at AMC for 24th do not show any discounts beyond usual ones for pre noon shows(which happens every day). Of course we wont until close to release and many shows have not sold any tickets(its still early except for Dolby/Imax etc). -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I am sure lot more prime time shows will be added to spur Previews /OD PS. But during the release week we will see real action based on how the rest of the market is. if Jumanji disappoints I could see Plexes increase show count big time. I want to see at least 50/60% more shows than what I see now. -
Surprised to see no updates so far. I just checked AMC(did not track weekdays). But compared to friday Mal 2 dropped like lwo 50% from last friday(minus previews). Joker in high 30's % drop from last week. This is just AMC.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
keysersoze123 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Update for just SW9 AMC prev/OD AMC Previews - 249814/835609 $3739148.08 4984 shows +17903 AMC OD - 142935/1068731 $2309313.76 5224 shows +13848 Phenonenal day adding almost 300 shows for previews and more than that for OD. That helped propel PS big time at AMC today. 82 sellouts I can track(but many more sellouts are missed as AMC seem to remove the sellouts from the showlist) and if you take it < 10 open seats then almost 250 sellouts. OD has 40 near sellouts(including 8 sellouts). -
OS -c 150m and China 200m - 350m OS and 90m domestic for 440m WW. Similar gross to last one with better reviews.