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lilmac

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Everything posted by lilmac

  1. I've complained alot about Pixar cash grab sequelitis in recent years but I have to consider: [*]Toy Story 3 was a sequel and it was fantastic [*]Brave was an original and it was Ok [*]After the next two Pixar movies, Pixar will have had 3 originals and 3 sequels in its last 6 movies. (TS3, MU, Brave, Cars 2, Good Dinosaur, Inside Out) Counter-arguments: * Cars 2 (meh) and MU (good but not great) * Yea but before TS3 there were 7 straight originals (Monster's Inc, Finding Nemo, Incredibles, Cars, Ratatouille, Wall-E, Up)
  2. Return of the Sith A New Beginning Trouble in Paradise
  3. (we should try to make the next word make sense with the previous one so that's it becomes one looooong sentence) quite
  4. Interesting. I'd like to see the source. As an aside, here is what someone who tracks box-office as part of his job emailed to me. He wishes to remain anonymous but he's legit. This email exchange was 2 years ago: Me: I am a boxoffice enthusiast and I am always eager to learn more about how boxoffice receipts, etc can be used to determine profitability or loss. My assumptions: Studios generally take half of a WW gross. Correct? When calculating costs, one must consider P&A. Obviously. However, from the Deadline reader comments, there are things such as "studio overhead" and "15% going back to distributors"? Boxoffice receipts account for 20% of a gross, according to a Deadline reader comment. Correct? What are the other major sources of revenue common for films? I'm assuming merchandising (Cars comes to mind) and DVD/TV rights but do they really account for 80%? Final question, where can I find the ancillary revenue info? A Deadline reader stated that Cars made $9bn in merchandising. Seems too high but I have no basis. Thank you for taking time out of your busy schedule to help me better understanding the money side of the industry and how these studios stay afloat. Response: Thanks for writing. As a rule of thumb you can say that studios take about half of the gross. It can vary with different movies, and different territories. You can also use 15% as a rule of thumb figure for distribution. As for other movie costs, they really vary widely – which is what makes it so difficult to estimate film profits from the outside. As far as revenues sources go, worldwide it breaks down: broadcast networks 35%, home video 27%, theatrical 16%, basic cable 8%, pay TV 7%, PPV/VOD 4%, merchandise licensing 2%, and digital 1%. The breakdown for domestic is a lot different: Home video 40%, theatrical 25%, basic cable 12%, pay TV 8%, PPV/VOD 5%, merchandise 5%, digital 3%, and broadcast TV 2%. For licensing revenues by film, the best sources are License! Global, and The Licensing Letter – but they don’t always report by film title. Sometimes studios will disclose, but not always. Disney was proud of its Cars 2 effort, so it’s possible. As far as the $9B merchandise figure for Cars goes, if it’s correct –and I don’t know whether it is – then it refers to retail price. In other words, most of the cash would go to the retailer and manufacturer. It can still be meaningful for a studio, but not $9B meaningful.
  5. Big budget films do have larger marketing costs. Marketing costs can be north of $100m! There is no hard and fast rule of proportions (60% of budget for example).
  6. Yep, that's why I averaged the studio's take at 50%, to make up for the less than 50% they get from overseas boxoffice receipts. The percentage of every domestic boxoffice dollar the studio receives really starts to come down after the 2nd weekend.
  7. $66 million production budget. Give to take $50 million for prints and advertising (advert campaign was robust but they're not spending SM3 money on adds). Let's round up to $120 million in overall costs. About $240 million gets it even. Unless Aaron Paul has a larger int'l following than any of us guessed, I don't see it making that in WW boxoffice alone.
  8. I had the same question. This doesn't look like F&F when it comes to international appeal.
  9. I don't think Frozen will beat Iron Man 3. Still, for Frozen to surpass $400m...$300m...$250m is beyond my expectations.
  10. Looks legit. They have the $$, production, and distribution all lined up. Link [*]This is not a specialty or niche studio. This is another Warner Bros, 20th Cent Fox, Universal, you get the point. [*]Still unnamed. [*]Will start with roughly $40m budgeted films ($35 mil in advertising). [*]China is a major investor. [*]First films are scheduled for 2015
  11. This is the kickstarter movie?
  12. Yes, I think the floodgates of Oscar nominations have opened for MM. They'll keep rolling in..
  13. I don't see how anything coming out this year will beat The Lego Movie in terms of quality and boxoffice. I haven't seen Wind Rises yet. That's the only challenger for which will be the best in 2014. In my opinion.
  14. Everyone's favorite voice behind movie trailers died today http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hal_Douglas
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