The Panda

Eh, we've had a better spread of grosses this year compared to last. It's just been this Summer that's been barren. Part of that has to do with the chosen tentpoles just not being things audiences are responding to.

Trolls is the bane of my existence. I couldn't stand that movie.

15m would be fantastic. People were obviously overreacting yesterday about the Wednesday numbers. Under 50% drop is possible. Mummy may pull right at 30m, possibly under depending on the Saturday hold. 100m is dead for it given the reception.

1. Detroit 2. A Ghost Story 3. Wind River 4. Dunkirk 5. Blade Runner 2049 6. War for the Planet of the Apes 7. It 8. Baby Driver 9. The Big Sick 10. Atomic Blonde

I'd disagree, 2014 we even nominated two of them for BP at the BOFFYS. And 2012 (both times) TDKR even topped the list. Theres always at least one comic book movie that makes the list (besides maybe 2015, which didn't even really have a single decent one)

It also wasn't on the NBA finals, weeklies behaved much differently in 2013 due to how big Tuesday's have gotten, it had poor reception, had a different demo than WW and it had much stronger Thursday preview competition. 5-10% Thursday drop sounds reasonable. Also, on a side note, its being received very well amoung the women demos. I could see it pulling stronger than expected holds.

Lol people always overreact when we get Wednesday numbers. Especially given the NBA Finals also being yesterday.

Edited mine so I'm investing in DM3 and Dunkirk.

Remember, your list is only eligible if it contains at least one Pokémon series!

Oops should be the 281m one.

Predicts for the second half of the year June Wonder Woman - 320m DOM 9th The Mummy - 27m OW / 60m 16th Cars 3 - 55m / 185m All Eyez on Me - 17m / 45m 23rd Transformers: The Last Knight - 50m / 160m 30th Despicable Me 3 - 85m / 270m The House - 30m / 102m July 7th Spider-Man: Homecoming - 95m / 233m 14th War for the Planet of the Apes - 60m / 165m 21st Dunkirk - 67m / 254m Girls Trip - 17m / 60m Valerian - 18m / 45m 28th Atomic Blonde - 31m / 105m The Emoji Movie - 12m / 30m August 4th Detroit - 32m / 135m The Dark Tower - 21m / 55m 11th Annabelle: Creation - 22m / 50m 18th The Hitman's Bodyguard - 27m / 120m September 8th It - 110m / 275m 15th The Solutrean - 12m / 30m 22nd Kingsman: The Golden Circle - 32m / 100m Ninjago - 27m / 90m 29th American Made - 17m / 65m Samson - 8m / 45m October 6th Blade Runner 2049 - 47m / 200m My Little Pony - 25m / 85m 13th mother! - 20m / 70m 20th Geostorm - 18m / 45m The Snowman - 20m / 50m 27th 2017 Cloverfield Movie - 34m / 110m November 3rd Thor: Ragnorak - 115m / 300m A Bad Mom's Christmas - 28m / 110m Suburbicon - 17m / 76.7m 10th The Star - 52m / 200.2m Daddy's Home 2 - 18m / 45m Murder on the Orient Express - 25m / 80m 17th Justice League - 125m / 281.5m Wonder - 18m / 55m 22nd Coco - 48.2m / 216.9m December 1st The Disaster Artist - 15.4m / 102m 8th The Shape of Water - 18m / 115m 15th Star Wars: The Last Jedi - 215m / 820m Ferdinand - 17m / 88m 22nd Bastards - 8m / 35m Downsizing - 15m / 75m Pitch Perfect 3 - 34m / 140m Jumanji - 22m / 107m 29th The Greatest Showman - 17m / 110m The Papers - 15m / 78m 1.Star Wars: The Last Jedi - 820m 2.Beauty and the Beast - 505m 3.Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 - 380m 4.Wonder Woman - 315m 5.Thor: Ragnorak - 300m 6.Justice League - 281.5m 7.It - 275m 8.Despicable Me 3 - 270m 9.Dunkirk - 254m 10.Spider-Man: Homecoming - 233m 11.Logan - 226.2m 12.The Fate of the Furious - 225m 13.Coco - 216.9m 14.The Star - 200.2m 15.Blade Runner 2049 - 200m 16.Cars 3 - 185m 17.The LEGO Batman Movie - 176m 18.Get Out - 175m 19.The Boss Baby - 171m 20.Kong: Skull Island - 167.7m 21.War for the Planet of the Apes - 165m 22.Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - 160m 23.Transformers: The Last Knight - 160m 24.Pitch Perfect 3 - 140m 25.Split - 138.1m 26.Detroit - 135m 27.The Hitman's Bodyguard - 120m 28.The Shape of Water - 115m 28.Fifty Shades Darker - 114.8m 29.2017 Cloverfield Movie - 110m 30.The Greatest Showman - 110m 31.A Bad Mom's Christmas - 110m 32.Jumanji - 107m 33.Atomic Blonde - 105m 34.The House - 102m 35.The Disaster Artist - 102m 36.Kingsman The Golden Circle - 100m

Yeah, I'm thinking sub-30m OW for Mummy might happen. International looks like it'll save it though.

Okay... I at least hit the target.

Lol at Guardians, Snatched, LEGO Batman Spot on for BATB, Fate, Split and Fifty Shades

I should have stuck with my sub-60m Mummy predict from the beginning of the year. This looks like a slightly more high profile Dracula Untold.

Batman Begins level drops seem out of reach due to that movies opening, however it's similar to WW. They're both origin stories, June releases, well-received and were following toxic previous entries to their series. I think WW will definitely be more frontloaded for a variety of reasons, but I don't think a 3x+ multi is out of reach.

I'm not sold on a sub 50% drop yet, but sub-55% could easily happen. It has all of the right factors to have solid legs.

Summer 2017 Domestic Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 - 356.7m Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - 117.6m Wonder Woman - 115m Alien: Covenant - 67.9m Snatched - 44m Baywatch - 43.1m King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - 37.3m Everything, Everything - 28.7m Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie - 25.9m Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Hall - 18.1m Lowriders - 5.5m Summer 2017 Opening Weekends Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 - 146.5m Wonder Woman - 103.3m Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - 63m Alien: Covenant - 36.2m Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie - 23.8m Snatched - 19.5m Baywatch - 18.5m King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - 15.4m Everything, Everything - 11.7m Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Hall - 7.1m Lowriders - 2.4m Summer 2017 World Wide Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 - 818.6m Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - 510.5m Wonder Woman - 240m Alien: Covenant - 174.6m King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - 130.4m Baywatch - 70m Snatched - 54.6m Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie - 26.6m Summer 2017 China Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - 144.3m Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 - 100.7m Wonder Woman - 38.7m King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - 8.4m

This puts it on a good track for around a 50m second weekend or so. That'd be a great second weekend drop.

At this point I myswell go with some out of the box stuff, my preseason is getting killed by these underperformers (I even predicted Alien underperforming, but much better legs than that)

Ill invest in Despicable Me 3 and Dunkirk

Please don't spread that shitty gamergate nonsense to movies too.

If you adjust for inflation you can even compare WW to Transformers (which did open on a Wednesday, but it still would have managed well over 3x with a Friday opening) Theres a few other comps you can compare to as well.