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Everything posted by BadAtGender
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Wednesday Throwback May 14, 1914 Box Office
BadAtGender replied to ecstasy's topic in Numbers and Data
Heh. I just finished From Up on Poppy Hill. I enjoyed it a lot. There's still time for a couple episodes of Orphan Black. Though I suppose I could also watch the latest Game of Thrones. -
Wednesday Throwback May 14, 1914 Box Office
BadAtGender replied to ecstasy's topic in Numbers and Data
From the Godzilla thread, I think I'll skip it tonight. Just trying to decide on whether to marathon a bunch of Orphan Black instead or finally watch From Up on Poppy Hill. -
Wednesday Throwback May 14, 1914 Box Office
BadAtGender replied to ecstasy's topic in Numbers and Data
I agree that it's great to see some films on as large a screen as possible, even if it wasn't filmed using IMAX cameras. But in most cases, there are other screens I can choose from that provide just as good an experience. -
Wednesday Throwback May 14, 1914 Box Office
BadAtGender replied to ecstasy's topic in Numbers and Data
Okay. I'll probably skip the IMAX, then. Pondering going to see it at the Cinerama, though. Depends if I want 3D or not. -
Wednesday Throwback May 14, 1914 Box Office
BadAtGender replied to ecstasy's topic in Numbers and Data
Did they shoot any of the footage on IMAX, or is it upscaled? -
BSG: Congratulations to FILM!
BadAtGender replied to baumer's topic in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game
But I wanted to answer everything. ;_; -
Wednesday Throwback May 14, 1914 Box Office
BadAtGender replied to ecstasy's topic in Numbers and Data
I'm curious about whether the 3D for Godzilla is worth the price. I'm considering catching a show tonight. -
Wednesday Throwback May 14, 1914 Box Office
BadAtGender replied to ecstasy's topic in Numbers and Data
No, not really. It's going to finish this weekend over 170m, possibly close to 175. The memorial day 4 day will probably have it close to 190. It'll get past 200 sometime in June and can probably get past 220 in total. -
Wednesday Throwback May 14, 1914 Box Office
BadAtGender replied to ecstasy's topic in Numbers and Data
I really want to know what the original title was, now. -
BSG: Congratulations to FILM!
BadAtGender replied to baumer's topic in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game
Typo, perhaps? I read it as GBH. -
BSG: Congratulations to FILM!
BadAtGender replied to baumer's topic in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game
SOTM4 might be the most difficult question so far. The margin for error is ridiculously small. Good job on coming up with something that I have to abstain from part of, baumer. Because I really have no clue on some of the films. -
All questions worth 1000 points UOSAll questions pertain to the top 12 UOS1) Will Million Dollar Arm open to more than 23.5 million? NO2) Will Million Dollar Arm have an opening day of more than 8.5 million? NO3) Will Neighbors and Million Dollar Arm combine to come within 20 million of Godzilla? NO4) Will Godzilla open to more than 66.4 million? YES5) Will Godzilla make at least 150 million WW by the time estimates come out? YES6) Will Godzilla gross more than 7.5 mill in Russia? YES7) Will Amazing Spider-man fall less than 50%? YES8) Which film will have the softer drop? MNO or LOO:DR? MNO9) Will ASM's Saturday be within 16 million of Godzilla's? NO10) Will Godzilla make more than 3.5 million on Thursday? YES11) Will Neighbors have a Saturday increase of more than 25%? YES12) Name any two movies that will drop more than 35% on Sunday. Must get both films to get points (if you don't think two will drop more, then just put the one that will or put none). Captain America: The Winter Soldier, The Amazing Spider-Man 213) Will TOW finish within 18 million of ASM2? YES14) Will MDA place in second? NO15) Will any film have a 200% increase on Friday? NO12/15 300013/15 400014/15 600015/15 9000Bonus 1: What will Godzilla gross? 4000 73.5Bonus 2: What will TOW gross? 4000 5.8Bonus 3: What will the combined gross be of Godzilla, GPH and Rio be? 5000 77.7Bonus 4: What % will ASM2 drop internationally? Note: we will use the 69.5 mill from the report this weekend. Only Sunday report will count. Monday actuals do not come into play. 37%Bonus 5: What will Frozen gross in Japan for the weekend? 6000 (for this question only, the three closest players will get the points) 6.24What finishes in spots: 50007 Captain America: The Winter Soldier8 Rio 29 Mom’s Night Out13 God’s Not Dead15 Bears2000 each bonus of 5000 if all five correct.
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Monday Box Office 5/12/2014 Neighbors $4,443,045- 61.9% Drop.
BadAtGender replied to ecstasy's topic in Numbers and Data
Yeah, but what will I post to get likes, now? -
How to Train Your Dragon 2 OS (418 mil OS!!!)
BadAtGender replied to Godzilla's topic in International Box Office
Also, Planes 2 could very well be competition in some markets. The first grossed nearly twice as much as HTTYD did in Japan. Plus there's that world cup thing that's happening right around the same time. -
I don't think there's any reason to doubt Disney's accounting. It's their money, after all, and when all is said and done, it's their number that is going to be taken as official. Also, as far as international numbers go, I don't think BOM is making its own estimates or calculations based on exchange rates. They're just going by what the sources they have report.
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Monday Box Office 5/12/2014 Neighbors $4,443,045- 61.9% Drop.
BadAtGender replied to ecstasy's topic in Numbers and Data
Noah should hit $100m on Wednesday. Also, I wonder if this week is the week Bears finally loses some theaters. It's chugging along really nicely, but the TC is crazy high. -
Weekend Actuals 5/9-5/11 Neigh 49, TASM 35.5, TOW 9.6, HIFR 7.5
BadAtGender replied to Punishment's topic in Numbers and Data
Among all heroes, Spidey has one of the best rogues galleries. Batman may have an edge, but it's not a huge one. (Flash, arguably, also has a great set of villains. It'll be interesting to see if that comes across onscreen.) In cinematic terms, few of the MCU villains compare to anything Spidey has had. Hiddleston's Loki measures up very well (at least in Thor), but Malekith barely had any presence in the film. IM's villains range from cartoonish to buffoonish (or both). They're fun to view on screen, but lack real depth. Nobody really goes to an IM film for the villains anyway, though. It's all about that RDJ presence. Red Skull was pretty uninspired (perhaps because Hugo Weaving didn't seem too enthused about the part), and Winter Soldier was oddly not compelling (perhaps because Sebastian Stan isn't a strong enough actor.) -
It seems pretty probable that Frozen will be in first in its 16th weekend and then drops to third in its 17th weekend, behind both Maleficent and Edge of Tomorrow. It should still be making good money, though. Competition doesn't seem to have the same effect in Japan as elsewhere.
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How popular is Angelina Jolie in Japan? Actually, I think it's more likely that Edge of Tomorrow will be bigger than Maleficent that weekend.
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Weekend Actuals 5/9-5/11 Neigh 49, TASM 35.5, TOW 9.6, HIFR 7.5
BadAtGender replied to Punishment's topic in Numbers and Data
Ehh... I'm not so sure about any of that. $400m is hard, and I hesitate to say that any film can do it, regardless of competition. I don't think there's any indication that the competition had any strong effect on DM2 or that it would have gotten another $40+ had the schedule been more clear I mean, it earned more than Turbo on the weekend that opened. The drop it experienced was similar to the previous weekend's drop. And when Smurfs 2 opened, DM2 still held up fine. (Turbo, however, did not.) In its entire run, it never had a weekend drop of even 50%. That's pretty amazing. But in order to get to $400, it would have needed to hold up much better in its second weekend, when there was no competition to speak of. Turbo and Smurfs 2 and even Planes might have knocked a bit off its potential, but not nearly that much. Similarly, I doubt TS3 would have earned another $85m with weaker competition. It could have gotten a bit more, and (though I hesitate to say for sure ) possibly challenged Shrek 2, but $500m was never in the cards. Its attendance figures are pretty close to TS2's, so we can reasonably say that the audience that did go see it is probably the audience it was going to have, regardless of competition. As for HTTYD2, well, the audience might be itchy to get something animated, but again, there's little reason to believe it's going to turn around and come close to doubling the predecessor. I'm currently thinking it will gross over $300m... and that will be a very nice increase over the former. especially since 3D shares have dropped since the first was released. It will need to overperform in a big way, with an opening weekend that's well beyond most expectations, to get to $400m. Still, I'm confused by your statement that it could get there without deserving to. -
BSG: Congratulations to FILM!
BadAtGender replied to baumer's topic in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game
Woo! Tied for 34th. Now to see how badly I can mess up this week. -
Weekend Actuals 5/9-5/11 Neigh 49, TASM 35.5, TOW 9.6, HIFR 7.5
BadAtGender replied to Punishment's topic in Numbers and Data
The performance of Dorothy is really bad, even for lower tier animation. It could struggle to hit $10m total with that opening. Which means that HTTYD2 is really going to be filling a void when it's released. -
BSG: Congratulations to FILM!
BadAtGender replied to baumer's topic in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game
Woo. My score's going to be 40k after all is said and done.