Many of the kids that liked 1 and 2 are teenagers now, and will not be spending their money to see this movie. I just don't think this has sticking power
I disagree with this.
Kingsman is as spy movie as a spy movie gets.
Spy is a spy movie, obviously, but its selling point is the comedy, not just the action.
MI:RN is a spy movie too, but its selling point is the Mission Impossible sequel, it's not a "new" spy movie, but a continuation of a series.
Domestically, I don't know if this will do well. It has been a while since the forgettable second KFP, and this series will most likely have the typical 3rd movie drop. I could see it doing <150 stateside, possibly even 140.
I disagree, I know a lot of people that have been dying for more Nemo.
Dory, in fact, is one of the most beloved characters in Pixar history. That, with Ellen Degeneres' rising popularity on her show and in social media will make FD very hard for CI to compete against.
Dreamworks really needs a huge facelift, and needs to promote quality over quantity and pointless sequels.
It's strange though because the gags and jokes that Dreamworks pulls are the stuff that kids usually go for. It says a lot that they can't even sell the dumb gags to the easiest audience out there.