Cynosure

$50M seems about right. That's great given the exchange rate. It will likely fall short of $1B OS though.

The one who approved such a budget for this movie is an idiot. As sad as it may be, animation throughout the world is still mostly seen as something to go see with your kids to shut them up with candy and popcorn for one afternoon (with Japan being the exception for some of its movies). And this crowd will not go see The Little Prince, it's far too philosophical and not child-pleasing enough.

Corpse : Weekend Forecast (08/08-09) 01 (--) ¥675,000,000 ($5.5 million), 0, ¥1,425,000,000 ($11.5 million), Jurassic World (Toho-Towa) NEW 02 (--) ¥480,000,000 ($3.9 million), 0, ¥675,000,000 ($5.4 million), Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation (Paramount) NEW 03 (--) ¥350,000,000 ($2.8 million), 0, ¥575,000,000 ($4.7 million), Boruto: Naruto the Movie (Toho) NEW 04 (02) ¥346,000,000 ($2.8 million), -37%, ¥1,650,000,000 ($13.3 million), Minions (Toho-Towa) Week 2 05 (01) ¥319,000,000 ($2.6 million), -47%, ¥1,350,000,000 ($10.9 million), Attack on Titan - Part 1 (Toho) Week 2 06 (03) ¥208,000,000 ($1.7 million), -34%, ¥3,150,000,000 ($25.5 million), Hero 2 (Toho) Week 4 07 (04) ¥204,000,000 ($1.6 million), -28%, ¥3,850,000,000 ($31.1 million), The Boy and the Beast (Toho) Week 5 08 (--) ¥190,000,000 ($1.5 million), 0, ¥190,000,000 ($1.5 million), Kamen Rider Drive The Movie: Surprise Drive (Toei) NEW 09 (05) ¥181,000,000 ($1.4 million), -30%, ¥2,550,000,000 ($20.6 million), Inside Out (Disney) Week 4 10 (--) ¥160,000,000 ($1.3 million), 0, ¥160,000,000 ($1.2 million), Japan's Longest Day (Shochiku) NEW One of the biggest weekends, if not the biggest, of the year is here and just in time for Obon Week, too! If the Top 10 earns roughly what I'm projecting, this year's upcoming Obon Week could be the biggest of all-time. The forecast above puts the Top 10 films above ¥3 billion (¥3.115 billion), which would make it the 8th Biggest Weekend of All-Time, and the biggest August Weekend on record. The Top 10 needs to beat ¥2.963 billion to break the Top 10 Biggest Weekends of All-Time. *Fingers crossed* this all comes to fruition. After this weekend's openers, there isn't a wide opener until August 29th. Everyone wanted their film released before Obon Week this year. Biggest All-Time Weekends (Top 10 Films) [1998-] 01. ¥3.601 billion - 07/09-10/2005 (#1 Film - Star Wars Episosde III: Revenge of the Sith) 02. ¥3.427 billion - 05/03-04/2014 (#1 Film - Frozen) 03. ¥3.423 billion - 07/19-20/2003 (#1 Film - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge!) 04. ¥3.329 billion - 07/21-22/2007 (#1 Film - Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix) 05. ¥3.314 billion - 07/22-23/2006 (#1 Film - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest) 06. ¥3.160 billion - 04/17-18/2010 (#1 Film - Alice in Wonderland) 07. ¥3.129 billion - 04/18-19/2015 (#1 Film - Dragon Ball Z: Revival of F) ¥3.115 billion - This Weekend's Forecast (#1 Film - Jurassic World) 08. ¥3.048 billion - 07/21-22/2001 (#1 Film - Spirited Away) 09. ¥3.046 billion - 12/20-21/2014 (#1 Film - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan!) 10. ¥2.963 billion - 07/17-18/2010 (#1 Film - Arrietty) 11. ¥2.960 billion - 07/18-19/2009 (#1 Film - Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince) 12. ¥2.917 billion - 07/10-11/2010 (#1 Film - Toy Story 3)

They usually increase quite significantly (Naruto might be an exception because apparently they had giveaways for the first attendees). Usually, it's Sunday > Saturday > Wednesday > Monday > Friday > Tuesday/Thursday

Surprised Naruto is getting so many seats/screens on such a crowded weekend. Past movies have hardly set the box-office on fire.

Third $300M movie. In the domestic market the first 3 movies with an unadjusted initial gross over 300M were E.T (1982), Jurassic Park (1993) and The Lion King (1994).

It really makes sense for them to wait a bit given that in just 5 years time they'll have far more leverage when it comes to negociations. No to mention in 10 or 15 years time.

Out. I would be in if it was $400M.

People don't remember it but quotas and protectionism are nothing new. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blum%E2%80%93Byrnes_agreement Given that China is just starting to build on their huge population to strenghen their local cinema, it's really not surprising for them to have such measures. As with most goods and services, the liberalization should eventually occur.

It's insane how just a few years after surpassing the NA box office China will completely leave it in the dust. By 2020 it will probably be around twice as big and with still enormous growth potential.

It's almost at 2.5 billion yen so it has a real chance.

Pokemon will take 3 weeks if not a month to make what YW did in a weekend. How the mighty have fallen.

At the usual locations (43% of the market), Hero, The Boy and the Beast and IO are all very close. Today's numbers for instance : 26,690 Hero 25,734 IO 24,365 The Boy and the Beast I'd say the fact that it's so close to these 2 movies despite opening or having a lower weekend than them is a good sign for legs.

South-Korea has had 15 movies top 10 million admissions since 2003. Japan has had 16 since...1958 and 7 since 2003, despite a population 2.5 times as high. It's just not the same movie-going culture.

BO Global Report : Inside Out opened on top in Spain with $3 million, but at a disappointing #4 in Japan with $3.3 million behind two local animations and a local live-action film.

So final gross between ¥3.75 billion ($30.6 million) and ¥5 billion ($40.8 million), unless it surprises.

Corpse : Weekend Estimates (07/18-19) 01 (--) ¥810,000,000 ($6.5 million), 0, ¥810,000,000 ($6.5 million), Hero 2 (Toho) NEW 02 (01) ¥476,000,000 ($3.8 million), -28%, ¥1,550,000,000 ($12.4 million), The Boy and the Beast (Toho) Week 2 04 (--) ¥415,000,000 ($3.4 million), 0, ¥415,000,000 ($3.4 million), Inside Out (Disney) NEW 03 (--) ¥380,000,000 ($3.1 million), 0, ¥380,000,000 ($3.1 million), Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (Toho) NEW 05 (02) ¥339,000,000 ($2.7 million), -34%, ¥1,380,000,000 ($11.2 million), Terminator: Genisys (Paramount) Week 2 06 (03) ¥274,000,000 ($2.2 million), -29%, ¥2,180,000,000 ($17.6 million), Avengers: Age of Ultron (Disney) Week 3 07 (04) ¥155,000,000 ($1.3 million), +25%, ¥1,830,000,000 ($14.9 million), Love Live! The School Idol Movie (Shochiku) Week 6 08 (05) ¥52,000,000 ($420,000), -30%, ¥300,000,000 ($2.4 million), Shaun the Sheep Movie (Tohokushinsha) Week 3 09 (06) ¥51,000,000 ($410,000), -25%, ¥1,390,000,000 ($11.3 million), Mad Max: Fury Road (Warner Bros.) Week 5 10 (08) ¥41,000,000 ($330,000), -19%, ¥225,000,000 ($1.9 million), Anpanman: Mija and the Magic Lamp (Toho Video Division) Week 3 Hero 2 looks to have delivered the biggest opening weekend for a live-action film this year, with estimates putting it just above the ¥800 million mark. And with an an estimated weekend of 560,000 admissions, it also sold more tickets than any live-action film this year, too. This opening would come in a little higher than expectations, with a possible sub-20% drop-off opening weekend from the original hit film from 2007. Tomorrow's a holiday, too, Umi no Hi, and the start of Summer vacation, so it's 3-day total is definitely going above the ¥1 billion mark (possibly even above ¥1.1 billion). The opening is pretty close to Umizaru: Brave Hearts from three years ago over this weekend, and it finished above ¥7 billion. If Hero 2 has equivalent legs, it won't finish far from its predecessor's ¥8.15 billion total and will likely be the highest-grossing live-action film this year (depending on Jurassic World's performance next month). >The Boy and the Beast holds strong, while dropping to second place, managing to hold off the latest entries from Disney/Pixar and Pokemon. The second weekend drop is similar to Mamoru Hosoda's last film, Wolf Children, and it went on to earn a multiplier above 11 (and Summar Wars almost hit 13 before that). Mamoru Hosoda/Studio Chizu are definitely mainstream draws now, nearing Hayao Miyazaki/Studio Ghibli levels, and Beast will probably exceed the ¥7 billion milestone, if not go even higher to make a run at becoming the highest-grossing film of 2015. >Inside Out has to settle for third place, it appears, and while the debut is well-below films like Big Hero 6, Frozen, and Monsters University, those comparisons are kind of unfair for many reasons. Pixar's latest is running almost in-line with Pixar's original films like Wall-E and Ratatouille, which outside of Monsters Inc. and Finding Nemo, most of Pixar's original films didn't blockbuster-status. And taking into account being hindered by a Mamaru Hosoda film again like in 2012, the debut for Inside Out looks satisfactory to me and it shouldn't have an issue reaching ¥4 billion. >Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages mirrored last year's film on Saturday, but fell a bit behind on Sunday and for the overall weekend at the usual locations. I think it'll come in above Inside Out's weekend admissions, but the low avg. ticket price will make it really difficult to come ahead in gross. Unless it played better than last year's film at Aeon Cinemas, its best chain that's unaccounted for, the new film may have decreased once again, but it's hard to say right now. If it decreased, it should only be by 5% or so, but this is still a sign the film franchise continues to struggle.

Take the upcoming weekend estimate, multiply it by 9 and 12, and you'll get a range.

Yikes Inside Out. Even with a good multiplier (around 10), it will still gross less than 50% compared to BH6.

9 pm at 4 chains (43% of the market) Hero 2 : 121,288 Pokemon : 67,919 The Boy and the Beast : 63,968　 Inside Out : 58,549

Sorry if this isn't totally related to China but I'd figure people here would know. Does anyone have a link for the weekend box-office of Taïwan ?

Glad to see Pixar's best movie still leads.

A movie based on a hugely popular Japanese drama series. http://aramajapan.com/news/tvmovie/dramas/hero-2-premieres-with-26-5-ratings/2711/

Corpse : So, this upcoming weekend has the potential to be one of the biggest of all-time with three more tentpoles being released just in time for Summer vacation. The mid-July weekend marks the beginning of Summer, and is almost always the biggest weekend of the year (7 of the Top 12 biggest weekends have been from mid-July). The new openers includes: Hero 2, Inside Out, and Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages. I'll go into more detail on Thursday when I post the Weekend Preview, but the seating/showtime advantage is currently: Hero 2 (NEW) > The Boy and the Beast (Week 2) ≥ Inside Out (NEW) > Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (NEW) > Terminator: Genisys (Week 2) > Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 3). Biggest All-Time Weekends (Top 10 Films) [1998-] Spoiler: hide 01. ¥3.601 billion - 07/09-10/2005 (#1 Film - Star Wars Episosde III: Revenge of the Sith) 02. ¥3.427 billion - 05/03-04/2014 (#1 Film - Frozen) 03. ¥3.423 billion - 07/19-20/2003 (#1 Film - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge!) 04. ¥3.329 billion - 07/21-22/2007 (#1 Film - Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix) 05. ¥3.314 billion - 07/22-23/2006 (#1 Film - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest) 06. ¥3.160 billion - 04/17-18/2010 (#1 Film - Alice in Wonderland) 07. ¥3.129 billion - 04/18-19/2015 (#1 Film - Dragon Ball Z: Revival of F) 08. ¥3.048 billion - 07/21-22/2001 (#1 Film - Spirited Away) 09. ¥3.046 billion - 12/20-21/2014 (#1 Film - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan!) 10. ¥2.963 billion - 07/17-18/2010 (#1 Film - Arrietty) 11. ¥2.960 billion - 07/18-19/2009 (#1 Film - Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince) 12. ¥2.917 billion - 07/10-11/2010 (#1 Film - Toy Story 3)

In Japan, 1993 ticket prices = 2004 ticket prices. LOTR : The Return of the King did $100.2 million for 7.65 million admissions while JP did $120.6 million for 8.55 million admissions so they're really not that far apart.