Cynosure

The well is now more polluted than U.S shores after the Deepwater Horizon sinking.

Well of course expectations change with inflation, market expansion, increased budgets etc. It would be stupid for expectations not to change. Honestly, I can't believe I even have to explain this.

Original film with $150M production budget that grosses 300/900 > success. Franchise movie with iconic characters and a $250M production budget that grosses 300/900 > disappointment. Hypothetic huge franchise movie with a $350M production budget that grosses 300/900 > flop. Capish ?

Deadline should really change its name to Deadend.

Should edge just past $20M for the weekend. 60% drop predicted for the OS weekend ($35M). Under $900M WW is locked.

I agree with the above. Zootopia's run in China is certainly impressive but Frozen's run in Japan was not impressive, it was out of this world.

You can't just take an absolute number and say 'bad' or 'good' (unless it's $3 billion WW). Given the costs and the characters involved, below $900M WW is just bad. But at the same time $900M WW for Zootopia is great.

OW 755 Total 1780

Frozen's Golden Week run in 2014 was a sight to behold. I'll be happy if Zootopia can manage half that.

It's not elitist. Amateurs making off predictions is fine, but you'd expect better from a so-called expert.

Gitesh is laughably optimistic. He was saying just 3 days ago that he had it finishing at $1B WW when anyone with half a brain cell to spare could tell $1B was already dead.

Out. Thinking more around 800-900m.

In.

Here's the upcoming schedule in Japan, courtesy of Corpse : April 04/01 - [279], Suspicious Woman (Shochiku) 04/01 - [109], The Stare (Kadokawa) 04/02 - [N/A], Mitsu no Aware (Phantom Film) 04/08 - [x71], Room (Gaga) 04/09 - [x72], The Mohican Comes Home (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) 04/09 - [x68], Thomas & Friends: Sodor’s Legend of the Lost Treasure (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) 04/15 - [111], Spotlight (Long Ride) 04/16 - [354], Detective Conan: Pitch Black Nightmare (Toho) 04/16 - [343], Crayon Shin-chan: Fast Asleep! The Large Attack on the Dreaming World (Toho) 04/22 - [344], The Revenant (Fox) 04/23 - [288], I Am A Hero (Toho) 04/23 - [224], Zootopia (Disney) 04/23 - [131], Yu-Gi-Oh!: The Dark Side of Dimensions (Toei) 04/23 - [N/A], The 5th Wave (Sony) 04/29-05/06 - Golden Week (Holiday Period) 04/29 - [299], Chihayafuru - Part 2 (Toho) 04/29 - [269], Terra Formars (Warner Bros.) 04/29 - [269], Captain America: Civil War (Disney) 04/29 - [224], Scanner (Toei) 04/29 - [176], The Sea of Trees (Toho-Towa) May 04/29-05/06 - Golden Week (Holiday Period) 05/07 - [324], 64: Part I (Toho) 05/07 - [154], Hero Mania: Life (Toei) 05/07 - [142], Road to HIGH & LOW (Shochiku) 05/13 - [x74], Macbeth (Yoshimoto Kogyo Co.) 05/13 - [N/A], Hail! Caesar (Toho-Towa) 05/14 - [294], If Cats Disappeared From the World (Toho) 05/14 - [196], The Magnificent Nine (Shochiku) 05/21 - [N/A], After the Storm (Gaga) 05/27 - [N/A], The Huntsman: Winter's War (Toho-Towa) 05/28 - [249], Wolf Girl and Black Prince (Warner Bros.) 05/28 - [N/A], Himeano~ru (Nikkatsu) 05/28 - [N/A], London Has Fallen (Showgate) Looks like a strong but not out of this world line-up.

They're not atheists, they're antitheists. Some of them like Christopher Hitchens precisely define themselves as that. "I'm not even an atheist so much as I am an antitheist; I not only maintain that all religions are versions of the same untruth, but I hold that the influence of churches, and the effect of religious belief, is positively harmful."

That drop.

And the fact that they allowed an extension for Zootopia shows precisely that they are not stupid. I'm willing to bet such extensions for the few leggy movies will be getting more and more common.

Around 70% of its showtimes, maybe more, yes. China is ruthless : the movie underperformed, has had poor WOM and is showing poor legs, so they're giving it the final blow.

Where's the guy who responded 'LOL' when I said 1B was looking less and less likely ?

Enough people for its Alexa rank to be 5.

672M yuan. Will need a 1.8 multiplier to get there. Seems easy but multipliers can be very low in China and its legs are truly awful (69% sunday-monday drop when standard is 55-60%).

$1B becoming less and less likely.

Thanks. Bad WOM continues its job.

Should finish below Ant-Man in the market.