James

Completely off-topic but I just saw this: Josh Duhamel is a lucky lucky guy

If Tarzan manages to hit 100m I think that with OS and home media it will break even and even bring in a small profit. If that happens WB might have the best summer out of all studios, seeing none none of their movies bombed. MBY, CI, CJ2 were very profitable, Lights Out and SS both look like breakouts, War Dogs had a good reception with the trailer and it likely was cheap to make. So really, their only flop movie was The Nice Guys, which was cheap anyways. Of course they didn't have huge movies like Disney (even though I predict SS to be absolutely enormous), but they also didn't have huge bombs like Disney (Alice 2, The BFG).

It has the kind of wit that made Ted a success.

Jul 8: Pets 95M Jul 15: Ghostbusters 60M Jul 22: Star Trek 60M Jul 29: Bourne 55M Aug 5: Squad 160M Aug 12: Pete's 25M and Sausage 50M Aug 19: War Dogs 30M

So you are rooting for it? Thanks, that's the confirmation I've been waiting for

If Pete's Dragon also bombs, which seems likely, that would be two costly bombs for Disney in one Summer. It kinda brings balance to their huge success stories this year.

You all act like it is a done deal that Tarzan will have bad WOM. But looking at the Audience's rating on RT, both it and BFG are at 69%, but Tarzan has twice the numbers of voters compared to BFG. Plus, BFG has the advantage of Spielberg and his fanbase. Things look the same on IMDB. It looks to me like Tarzan's WOM is at least as strong as BFG's if online indicators are accurate at all.

Rewatched this... again. Greatest movie ever made, crowning the best movie series ever made.

Anyone seeing The BFG today to tell us if WB premiered a new trailer for Fantastic Beasts with it?

Lol, this looks hilarious! I want to see this. Franco is a great fit for this kind of role.

Probably around 60-70m, just like The Lego Movie. WB, just like Blue Skies and Illumination doesn't spend 100m+ on their animations. And because of that I see no way that this doesn't make at least a bit of profit.

I doubt this is making even close to that, especially with Fantastic Bests, Star Wars and Sing competing for the exact same audience (+ Assassin's Creed which I think it will do at least decent numbers OS).

CI dropped only 27% from last Tuesday

Anyone else seeing a brekout in this? The first trailer was well very received and has over 5m views on YT (+2.8m on FB) in over 3 months. The second one has almost as many in 5 days on YT (+5.6m on FB!!!)! I'm thinking it makes around 60-70m DOM and over 100m WW.

WEEKEND BOX-OFFICE + FORECAST Very late, but this is how the past weekend went: - Independence Day: Resurgence debuted with a disappointing 31.789 admissions (and $233k). And while that's in line with your average SF spectacle movie, it should have went much higher. The original is one of the most attended movies ever in the market. - Now You See Me 2 had to settle for second after dropping 53% to 25.163 adm, and while that may seem steep it is actually a much better second weekend hold than the first one got, plus it's week days were much stronger. It now stands at $553k and it looks to close with around $1m. Also still has a good chance of topping the first one. Great for it. - Finding Dory eased a light 23% and reached $281k and while that's not great, at least it looks like it will manage to make some money before Ice Age hits it. - And Warcraft had another weak hold (-58%), but it passed the $1m border so it's a hit by any definition. Still, I don't think it touches $1.2m at this point. - The only other movie worth talking about is The Angry Birds Movie, currently on #7 (up from #9 two weeks ago), which enjoyed another insane hold (-7%) and reached a sweet $653k. This weekend we have 3 wide openers and all look good. - The Conjuring 2 - Central Intelligence - Me Before You The presales for The Conjuring 2 are insane. Seeing sellouts for a horror movie is just crazy, considering the OW record for the genre is around 20.000 admissions. If it manages to keep up the pace, The Conjuring 2 is locked for 40.000 adm and might even hit 50.000. The only thing that might slow it down is the number of showtimes it gets (way fewer than Central Intelligence). Central Intelligence is also doing very well. I'd say around 30.000-35.000 adm for the OW. And tickets for Me Before You just went on sale (very late), but from what I see it is doing good business. So 20.000+ adm should happen. In other news, tickets for The Legend of Tarzan, Purge 3 and Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates, all opening July 8, also went on sale, but it is too early to make a forecast for them.

Maybe they do it to avoid general competition. From what I see, most big countries get it at the end of December/beginning of Jan and Japan only gets it in March. Fantastic Beats and Rogue one will likely suck all the air from the OS box office, much more so than from the DOM market. They are both locked to do giant numbers (600m+ each).

Not just Pets, although it seems to be posed for at least 400m OS (funny thing is it might actually beat Dory). But then you have Ice Age, which will be way bigger than Dory OS. And both Pets and Ice Age open mostly everywhere in this June/July period. There are basically 3 huge tentpoles directed at exactly the same target demo. You can bet that in the battle between Ice Age and the other two OS there is really no battle. So that leaves you with which one, Pets or Dory, takes the harder hit. And Dory had no opening so far OS that were particularly impressive. Also, the combined advantages Dory will get from China, Australia and Russia were just made obsolete by that France opening. That is 40m+ lost in only one country and that is by giving Dory a very favorable multiplier against huge future competition. So yeah, I extrapolate using France and Spain because it massively failed to impress in both. Nemo made 53m in Germany. Let's see how it goes there (I am ready to bet a similar disaster to the one in France).

From what I read Dory will bring in 10-20m less because of it. Basic shitty exchange rate.

Lol, it just opened to 1/3 of Nemo in France and way under it in Spain, UK has the Brexit and Pets just opened to huge numbers there, there's no chance it matches Nemo in Germany, the ER in LA is shit. Really, it's only chance is Japan and I bet you it won't come close to Nemo's 100m+ total there.

At this point Dory needs all the US money it can get, because it is not hitting 1B WW with those OS numbers. To give you a comparison, it opened in Spain and France this weekend. In France it did 1/3 of Nemo's opening and it also debuted way behind Nemo in Spain. In UK it will have a hard time thanks to the Brexit and Pets just registering an absolutely huge debut and looking at Germany there is no way it comes close to what Nemo did there. Also, it is hard to imagine it will match Nemo in Japan. So maybe 450m OS and 950M WW max. That is if it manages to hit 500m DOM which I very much doubt with Pets on the way. I think it will land somewhere around 900-920m.

Lol, this is has 0% chance of matching Nemo OS. It should be content with 450-480m max. Also, 1B WW is not happening.

Just finished watching the first episode of Vikings. I really dig it. Also, fuck Dory. It's a shame this bland as fuck, stupid animation is the one breaking out this Summer.

Been listening to this all day in anticipation for the last episode

Off topic, but just watched The Fiest Hours Good movie, beautiful, beautiful soundtrack!

It is very disappointing. Probably the biggest surprise of the year after Alice bombing in the most spectacular way possible.