James

I don't even think midnights matter as much for Conjuring. The first Conjuring and even Annabelle had a much better internal weekend (and midnights) multi than most horror flicks and especially better than PA movies. It will hit 40m.

WEEKEND + PRESALES UPDATE: Warcraft seems to have slowed down a bit, compared to The Hobbit 3, but that may have something to do with the difference in screen/showtimes count. While TH3 had a near record number of screens when it opened, the market has expanded enormously in the last 2 years. TH3 had so many sellouts that walk-ins in most of it's locations were impossible. Warcraft doesn't have even by far as many, but it has way more showtimes (and screens available), most of them being 50%+ full, with the evening ones selling out. Plus, there's the fact that TH3 had no previews, while Warcraft had shows last weekend, plus this Wednesday and Thursday, and that might tamper with the numbers a bit. In other news, tickets for Now You See Me 2, opening next weekend, went on sale and the presales are very strong. We even have a few sellouts. Also, even though it officially opens on Friday, it has previews pretty much everywhere starting Wednesday, which tends to happen more and more nowadays. Anyway, the first NYSM went on to be a surprised hit, opening with 47.333 admissions on it's way to a hefty sum of 211.174 (and almost $1.1m ). Don't be surprised if the sequel opens even higher. Finding Dory also opens next weekend, but no news on its presales yet. Honestly, I have no clue what to expect from this one. Finding Nemo bombed in 2003 and it's 2012 3D re-release didn't fare much better. But who knows.

70% of Baumer's list was unknown to me. I might hit 100% with yours

MBY isn't dropping anywhere close to 50%. It had great holds all week.

Wow, I LOVED this movie. I think it is the best movie I've seen so far this year. Like, it was 1 in the morning when I started watching it and I was almost falling asleep and then the film starts and my sleepiness disappears. Loved McGregor in it and the soundtrack was brilliant. It is a very... moody film, really nicely shot. And yeah, the ending is wtf. Way too sudden. A+

Rewatched this and oh, it is just as good as I remember! I recall that the first time I saw it left me in a very ugly mood. That ending is probably one of the most shocking in cinema history. Couple that with the huge satisfaction I got when a certain character was (finally) shot in the head and you get why this is one of my favorite films ever. A+

I still think this is opening to at least 45m.

Good movie, good acting, great soundtrack! It wasn't as fun as Cloverfield though, but I don't think it was trying to be. B

I doubt this will happen at this point. But if China surprises a bit and Warcraft has some legs, I wouldn't dismiss 800m+ WW.

Boyega? WTF? Where is Hunnam? I want his story and Mako's to continue. This just turned from one of my most anticipated movies in the next couple of years to something I don't even want to watch.

After Sunday it will be over 300m OS already. If China manages at least a 2x multi from it's 5 day opening then 550m OS is locked, and 600m is very likely. Huge, huge win for Universal.

MBY is doing so well. It's WOM must be great. I think a sub 40% second weekend drop might be in the cards.

I find it ridiculous that people went from 50m+ predictions to 30m just because of the reviews. It is OW. And 99% of the population doesn't give a fuck about reviews, especially the horror audience.

I really like Amell in Arrow. He can't be that bad!

Wow, what's with that drop? It seems incredibly good to me.

Oh, please please tell me you are kidding. You just can't be serious.....

After all the hype I expected the second coming. The movie is ok and that is pretty much all I can say about it. I'd take Wreck-it-Ralph over it any day. B-

WEEKEND BOX-OFFICE This should be the last weak weekend before a three weeks box office storm, starting with Warcraft this next weekend and followed by Now You See Me 2 (the first one was huge here) and Finding Dory and after that Independence Day: Resurgence. - Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 2 took the lead, with 19.049 adm and $96k (vs. 19.614 adm and $128k of the first movies). The first movie was very leggy, but with so much competition up ahead I doubt the sequel will fare so well. - Money Monster opened in second place with an unimpressive 15.467 adm and $77k. - X-Men: Apocalypse had a nice drop and reached $681k. It is basically the same as DOFP through the same point in USD, even if it is far ahead in admissions (exchange rate). - Alice Through the Looking Glass continued it's mediocre run, reaching $225k. - And Angry Birds rounds up Top 5 after a light 16% drop that took it's gross to a very good $553k (it should close with over $700k). Next week's openers: - Warcraft - Ribbit After having previews this past weekend, Warcraft finally opens wide on Friday (it also has previews on Wednesday and Thursday). I am really curious if the previews will be rolled into the opening weekend. If that is the case, then we should expect a stratospheric debut. If previews were any indication, then all of Warcraft's opening weekend should be packed with sold out shows. For now I will say it opens to around 110.000 admissions. Better be safe. But at this point, the only thing preventing it to reach even higher is the possible screen count. If it opens wide enough, I see no reason why it can't go even as high as 150.000 adm.

If Greece will mirror Romania on this one, then it should be headed for a huge ass debut. I'm starting to think it might have a chance to enter Top 3 highest OW ever. That would mean around 150.000 admissions for OW.

I seriously doubt this is getting anywhere near the 750m OS some of you guys are predicting around here. With today's ER, that is a territory ruled by absolute phenomenons (Frozen, Minions). I see it more in the lines of 550m OS. For that it would have to sell way more ticketsthan the original movie, even accounting for inflation. Of course, you have expanding markets, but I seriously doubt China will be big for this and Latin America is in a really bad shape BO wise with their ER.

According to Deadline, The Conjuring brought WB a profit of 161m, which was the 6th biggest of 2013, beating the likes of Hobbit: DoS. I have no info on Annabelle, but considering it made 257m on a 6.5m budget it's profit might actually've been close to the one of Conjuring. If this manages to make 150m-160m DOM and have a healthy increase OS (from 180m to 240-250m let's say - and I think it is likely. Annabelle, a spin-off, managed 172m) it could hit 400m WW. On a budget of 25m-ish it would make this probably a Top 5 contender for the most profitable movies of 2016, which is insane.

This might be old news, but I was just looking over Deadline's most profitable list from 2015 and this was no. 7 with an outstanding $255m. That is more than Transformers 4, which was the most profitable movie of 2014!! I find that absolutely insane. Even if the second movie makes half as much as the first one (and I think it will make more than that) it would still be ridiculously profitable for Universal.

1. AoU 2. IM3 3. TWS 4. TDW 5. AM 6. GOTG

I do, no worries. So much destruction porn

I'd say nice choices, but I haven't heard of 70% of the list so far and haven't seen 90% of the movies.