James

I subscribe to this. Inflation is crazy. The average ticket price here in the 2000s was less than $1 and now is in the 6-7$ area. In fact, inflation is the main reason why my market at least is an emerging one, because dmissions, tough rising, are about 60% bigger than 10 years ago (in comparisson to the aveerge ticket price that increased much much faster).

Huh? 500m without China with these XR is going to be one hell of a fight. Also, keep in mind the original JP made 555m OS (without the 3D re-release that added 70M) of which 120m came from Japan, where it likely has no shot of even getting 1/2 today.

Can we talk about the fact that if this (and that is a big IF) hits 450m DOM then that would mean a 2.35x multi from OW, which is worse than MOS's 2.5x? (it would also be the EXACT same multi IM3 got)

When thinking about it, AOU fell quite a bit in the internation markets minus China from the first movie. TA1: OS - China = 810m AoU: OS - China = 730m (with an aprox. 960m estimated OS finish and a 230m estimated China finish) Really a far cry from DH2's 900m OS - China (sorry, couldn't helpt it ).

Depends on the country. This name translation in english even for country names is so stupid. It's "Columbia" here also.

1. HP and the Goblet of Fire 2. HP and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 3. HP and the Order of the Phoenix 4. HP and the Prisoner of Azkaban 5. HP and the Chamber of Secrets 6. HP and the Half-Blood Prince 7. HP and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 8. HP and the Sorcerer's Stone

Yeah, WB kept the rights to Godzilla.

Looks like my no. 2 is pretty low on the list. Too bad. Thankfully, my no. 1 is locked for Top 10 (I think). Nope. I don't do artsy movies. This forum had a colective orgasm over The Grand Budapest Hotel and that was a complete piece of trash. He's actually the ONLY interesting character in the whole SW universe so far.

Haven't even heard of the last 4

Lol what? Compared to Jolie, Hemsworth is as good at acting as a piece of wood.

Is this in 3D? The first one made 240M OS. That increase is too muted. Also, TMR had a 3x+ multiplier DOM so it was very well received. This will make more than 113M.

Are these using the OD exchange rate? I find it weird to get the numbers that way just because the ER varies so much. Wouldn't it be normal to calculate each week by it's own ER?

?!! What?! KFP2 made 410M without China. KFP3 has a big chance of being the first movie to make $400M from China. You expect the rest of the OS markets to fall 250M+ from the last one?

850-900M OS.

WEEKEND BOX-OFFICE Been a few weeks since I've done one of these, but here goes: the past overall weekends were shit, but we had some strong openers. This weekend, 'Mad Max: Fury Road' blazed atop of the charts. - Mad Max opened to a great 50.226 admissions and $287k. That's a slightly bigger opening than 'Jupiter Ascending' earlier this year. JA made almost $840k in the end and with seemingly even better WOM, 'Mad Max' should end up around the same. Competition will be stronger though ('Tomorrowland', 'San Andreas' and 'Jurassic World' in the coming weeks). - The Avengers: Age of Ultron now reached 210.923 admissions and $1.13m. It already sold more tickets than the first 'Avengers' (206.540) and will enetually beat that in USD too ($1.2m). Still, the title of highest grossing SH movie, which belongs to 'Thor: The Dark World' ($1.47m) is out of reach. At this point, 'Age of Ultron' has a 50/50 chance at ending up in the year's Top 5. 'Furious 7' and '50 Shades' already beat it, 'Spectre' is also locked to beat it and 'Star Wars' has a very good chance to do it. Movies that could throw it outside Top 5 are 'Jurassic World' (the first 'Jurassic Park' sold a mind-boggling 760.000 tickets back in 1994; still, expect this to go under 300.000), 'Mission Impossible', 'Mockingjay 2' (that will be shown exclusively in 3D here) or a surprise hit (every year we have at least one). - Hot Pursuit was down 43% in it's second outing and now stands at middling $146k. - The Age of Adaline had another good hold (-46%) and reached a decent enough $224k. - Coconut The Little Dragon 3D opened to a weak 6.058 adm and $27k. - Fast and Furious 7 was off 41%. The total is a stunning $2.71m and 644.102 admissions. It is the third highest grossing movie ever (behind 'Avatar' and the final film in 'The Hobbit' trilogy), the 2nd most attended movie of the 21st century (behind 'Avatar's 881.718 adm) and the 11th most attended movie ever. - She's Funny That Way continued it's weak run. - Tinker Bell and the Legend of the Neverbeast slided 33% and reached a very good $396k. - The top is concluded by Paul Bart: Mall Cop 2 and A Little Chaos. Top 10 Next week's openers: - Tomorrowland - Poltergeist 3D - Pasolini - Carmen (local film) We love SF movies and it is very hard for a big action spectacle not to do at least decent business here so expect Tomorrowland to open over 30.000 adm. Horror on the other hand is pretty dead. So if Poltergeist touches 20.000 adm it will be a miracle. The other two will miss 10.000 tickets. TOP 10 for 2015 (the bolded titles are still in theatres):

That is an 80% drop from OD. I'd say its pretty bad.

1. TF2 2. 2012 3. HP6 4. Sherlock Holmes

WOW. That looks amazing! 500M WW here we come!

Finally haha. So been waiting for this!

? The HG books are pretty average, TMR is much better written and has a much more compelling idea. But whatever.

Not at all, actually. And its 100x better than THG.

How the hell are these guys making predictions?!!

I still can't see under 200M OS for any of them, so they will hurt AoU.

? Mad Max opens opens in all major markets except for Brazil and Japan next weekend. Big action spectacle. I don't know for other places, but it will be more competition for AoU than Pitch Perfect is. And the week after that Tomorrowland opens in most places. The weekend after that San Andreas opens in most countries, another big action spectacle. And after that JW.

You mean in total? Who would have believed that? I seriously doubt AoU will even touch TF4 in total, let alone FF7. It was unrealistic from the beginning to even think that.