misafeco

4M would be good/great for F2. 11M for TROS is also decent, 500M is starting to look like a lock.

I was worried it will not pass 1M after all. Glad to see it cross that important milestone.

4th time in cinema - it's a personal record - with my sister (16, her 2nd watch) and brother (11, first watch) I just love to revisit this movie so much. There is always something new I can catch, the little details are amazing. Like in this scene: Liutenant Matthias's picture is on the wall behind them. When they meet in the forest, Anna says something like this: "Library. Second picture from the left." Elsa hugging a pillow and raising her hand before guessing is too adorable. She is so shy. The reactions are priceless, they really nailed the facial expressions. When Olaf does the Elsa impression, they are like: Elsa: "Yeah, that was pretty accurate." Anna: "This is unfair!" Kristoff enjoys the win, but shuts up when noticing Anna staring at him with an angry face. I'll watch it maybe one more time before it leaves cinemas. I can't get enough of Show Yourself and the ending.

Both TROS and F2 ended up higher than the estimates. Great news.

I wonder why the-numbers.com doesn't show Frozen 1's gross on the 2013 chart. It had a 43.3% increase by the way.

Tue: 13.1M (TLJ: 27.7M) Wed: 16.8M (TLJ: 21.8M) Thu: 8.8M (-48%) (TLJ: 19.5M) At this point TLJ is 48.5M ahead of TROS TLJ 3rd weekend was 52.5M. Let's say TROS has a 32.3M weekend (which is optimistic, need very good Fri/Sat jumps). Monday will be 3M at best, while TLJ had NYD 14.3M. TLJ at this point was at close to 540M and added 80M more. TROS is 80M behind (460M) with considerably lower dailies. In this case 500 would probably not be a problem, but not much higher. If the weekend is worse than expected (28M or so) I think we can start worrying about 500M.

So he will be back on 1st of Feb to celebrate TROS passing 500M DOM.

For me as well.

Okay, this article is too funny The last three Christmas Star Wars movies earned between 1.19x (Last Jedi) and 1.26x (Force Awakens) their respective 17-day grosses. If Rise of Skywalker plays as outlined above, and heck, let’s be optimistic and give it $65 million for the Mon-Thurs frame, a 35% third-weekend drop for a $47 million third-weekend gross. That would be, offhand, a $474 million 17-day total (essentially tied with Phantom Menace) and on a course for a domestic finish between $565 million and $600 million. So, barring a Jedi mind trick or some other variable, Rise of Skywalker has almost no chance of catching up to the domestic ($620 million) and worldwide ($1.333 billion) cumes of The Last Jedi.

Scott Mendelson Box Office Expert Has Spoken! https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2020/12/31/star-wars-box-office-rise-of-skywalker-wont-top-last-jedi/#761036c351c7 The Force Awakens earned $143 million in its first Mon-Thurs frame and then fell just 21.7% for $112 million over its next Mon-Thurs frame before the end of the holiday season. It also earned 3.5x its Monday gross over that second Mon-Thurs frame, which would in this case give Rise of Skywalker a 14-day total of $416 million domestic heading into its third weekend. That will be way behind the $464 million 14-day cume of Star Wars: The Last Jedi but well ahead of the $375 million 14-day cume of Rogue One: A Star Wars Story. So, barring a miracle, it’s all-but-impossible that Rise of Skywalker will earn as much in North America ($620 million) as The Last Jedi.

That was such a big WTF moment. 😂

119% higher than Hobbit 2. If it follows drops/increases until Sunday it will be at 448M with a 34.3M weekend. That would be awful.

Good points. SLOP was a surprise hit, nobody expected the 2nd to match it or get even close to it. While the DM franchise has seen better days in the US, there is no guarantee M2 will follow the pattern of DM2>M1>DM3. The release date of DM3 was also quite unfortunate with Homecoming and Planet of the Apes opening on 2nd and 3rd weekend respectively.

Jumanji +10k from first estimate Little Women +235k Uncut Gems +18k

Joker 8/10 Endgame, CM, FFH, Shazam 7/10 Dark Phoenix 6/10 Nothing particularly memorable with the exception of Joker (which likely will be in my top 5-10 of the year), but still enjoyable movies. Endgame was a bit disappointing after IW, but still a lot of fun. FFH was also a step down from Homecoming, CM I actually liked better than I thought I will. Shazam was fun, but forgettable, and DP had some great parts but as a whole it's a disappointment just like Apocalypse. 2010s top in no particular order: X-men: First Class X-men: Days of Future Past Logan Guardians of the Galaxy Spider-man: Homecoming Avengers: Infinity War Wonder Woman Kick-Ass

Slightly lowered pitch makes it easier for her to sing.

A few 2013 comparisons: Dec. 27-29 (weekend) vs. Dec. 30-Jan. 5 (7 days) Frozen: 28.6M vs. 48.6M (+70%) Hobbit 2: 29M vs. 39.6M (+36,5%) Anchorman 2: 19.7M vs. 25.5M (+29,5%) TLJ (dec. 22-24 vs. 25-31) 71.5M vs. 149M (+108.4%) So deadline.com is assuming it will play out like TLJ, while in reality Hobbit 2 pattern is probably the best case scenario. It would give another 97.3M for the 7-day which is 52.7M lower than TLJ in the same period. And TLJ still had the 1st of January Monday like an extension of the weekend. So after next weekend we will be still under 460M, with TLJ drops it will barely pass 520M. I guess 530-540 would be a small victory.

I cannot wait for next weekend, when all these box office "analysts" will realize how bad their prediction was. Then they will claim that TRoS had a worse drop than expected, when actually it just did what it was supposed to...

I prefer r/boxoffice

Inflated weekend by holidays -> brutal drop next weekend.

South Korea will push it over a billion.

How can it be average when it has Budapest? That's an interesting prediction. If it becomes reality then maybe the F&F franchise is starting its dying stage.

It looks somewhat optimistic, especially for Jumanji. F2 also with a sub 10% drop, would be crazy. 2013 Dec 29 decreases were all closer to 20%. https://www.boxofficemojo.com/date/2013-12-29/?ref_=bo_da_nav Would be great if these numbers hold.

There is no way it goes that low. Cinderella (200M) is the floor. I mean, WTF, 150 is almost Dumbo DOM territory. Disney might consider stopping the production of their upcoming remakes, because if one of the most popular 90s animated classic is rejected by audiences, what can the next couple of features hope for?

Everyone go see Two Popes, it's THAT good.