MikeQ

Well, I was pretty certain that it was quite unlikely that Wonder Woman would increase more this Friday than it did last Friday, and it has totally proven me wrong by jumping 80%. I will gladly eat all of the crow for being wrong on that. I do wonder, perhaps, if the Saturday increase will be less than has been anticipated now, though maybe I'm just underestimating Wonder Woman yet again! With Friday estimates, here is where Wonder Woman and Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 sit on the all-time list for highest grossing comic book films domestically. By the end of this weekend, GOTG Vol. 2 will jump over Spider-Man 2 and sit at a terrific 8th best of all-time (where it will remain, hitting probably around $390 million total by the end of its run). And Wonder Woman will crack the top 20 by leap frogging up to 18th best of all-time and continue to climb through its extraordinary run. Highest Grossing Comic Book Films Marvel’s The Avengers (2012) — 623.4 million The Dark Knight (2008) — 534.9 million Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015) — 459.0 million The Dark Knight Rises (2012) — 448.1 million Iron Man 3 (2013) — 409.0 million Captain America: Civil War (2016) — 408.1 million Spider-Man (2002) — 403.7 million Spider-Man 2 (2004) — 373.6 million Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (2017) — 371.1 million^ Deadpool (2016)— 363.1 million Spider-Man 3 (2007)— 336.5 million Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) — 333.2 million Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice (2016) — 330.4 million Suicide Squad (2016) — 325.1 million Iron Man (2008) — 318.4 million Iron Man 2 (2010) — 312.4 million Man of Steel (2013) — 291.0 million The Amazing Spider-Man (2012) — 262.0 million Captain America: The Winter Soldier (2014) — 259.8 million Batman (1989) — 251.2 million Men in Black (1997) — 250.7 million Wonder Woman (2017) — 244.7 million^ X-Men: The Last Stand (2006) — 234.4 millon X-Men: Days of Future Past (2014) — 233.9 million Doctor Strange (2016) — 232.6 million ^As of Friday June 16th (estimates) Peace, Mike

It bugs me that Deadline doesn't give Friday numbers for Wonder Woman or All Eyez on Me. You're projecting the weekend grosses for these films, but you don't have/aren't providing the Friday projections these are based on? How am I supposed to know if your projected multipliers are way off? #whining @Wonder of Rth and @EmpireCity, I am craving some real Friday projections/numbers, do either of you feel like providing some hints or drive-by numbers? Peace, Mike

I do hope you're right. I do think that the Saturday increase could be stronger than I have it, but I am very hesitant to expect anything larger than a 65% increase on Friday. Last weekend it increased just over 70%. We've now hit mid-June and the strong summer weekdays generally start to mute those Friday increases. But who knows... The other thing I am unsure of is how Father's Day will play out for Wonder Woman. Since the film is leaning more female than your usual comic book film, I'm expecting a small drop on the Sunday rather than an even hold/small increase. But that is definitely up in the air. Peace, Mike

Projecting the weekend using estimated $6.03 million Thursday: FRI: $9.9 million (+65%) SAT: $14.3 million (+45%) SUN: $12.9 million (-10%) -------- WEEKEND TOTAL: $37.1 million (-36.6%) I don't personally feel $40 million is in store, but I'm happy to be proven wrong, and I think anything $35+ million would be terrific! Peace, Mike

I'm going with what feels like a realistic ~$35 million weekend, and if it pleasantly surprises and does more, then great. Last weekend, ~$50 million seemed like a realistic outcome to me, and then it went ahead and smashed that with $58.5 million, so what do I know THU: 5.7 (-10%) FRI: 9.4 (+65%) SAT: 13.6 (+45%) SUN: 12.2 (-10%) --------------------- TOTAL: $35.2 million (-39.8% drop) Peace, Mike

Batman Begins opened on a Wednesday, so it isn't comparable. I wish studios would end the "let's open a movie on a Tuesday/Wednesday" fad, for our sake, but alas, that's happening next week with the new Transformers movie. Peace, Mike

Not of all time, as Batman (1989) has a 6.20 multiplier, for example. But of the modern era of comic book films and of those comic book/superhero films that opened to $50+ million, yes, Wonder Woman could end up being the leggiest. It has to beat out GOTG (3.53 multiplier) and Spider-Man (3.52 multiplier). This means Wonder Woman needs to hit ~$365 million total domestic to achieve the leggiest run. With each day passing, I get more and more confident it can reach this mark. It will likely be at a 2.60 multiplier or higher by the end of this weekend. Peace, Mike

With 42 reviews in now, it is looking like Cars 3 will end up "fresh", even if not enthusiastically so (though some of the reviews read as if this is the best of the Cars series). I can't imagine that anyone expected this to join the 90+% class of Pixar films. It is the third entry in a series that feels like it has run its course, particularly after the second film, though of course it does have its passionate fans. Cars 2 will remain, then, the only Pixar film to have a "rotten" rating on Rotten Tomatoes and the only real stinker when it comes to critical reception. Looking at Pixar films' critical reception and multipliers (listed below), I am tempted to say that I think Cars 3 is probably/maybe looking at a 3 multiplier, at least, from whatever it opens with, given that Cars 2 is the only Pixar film to have a sub 3 multiplier. (Though I should qualify that by adding that The Good Dinosaur would more than likely have a sub 3 multiplier as well if it had opened on a Friday, but it is always hard to directly compare with a Wednesday opener). But then again, I think Cars 3 is the first Cars film to open on Father's Day weekend, which will inflate its opening Sunday. This could mean it misses out on a 3 multiplier. It could end up depending on audience reception. There could potentially be a more enthusiastic response from general audiences/fans if it is regarded as a return to form compared to Cars 2. I don't know. I'm in somewhat of a blind spot when it comes to the Cars series - I don't know how general audiences actually regard those movies. Critics were clearly somewhat tepid on it from the first film/get-go. Pixar Movie RT Scores and Multipliers 90%+ RT Score Class Toy Story — 100% (9.0 rating) — 6.58 (using 3-day), 4.91 (using 5-day) Toy Story 2 — 100% (8.6 rating) — 4.28 (using first wide weekend) Toy Story 3 — 99% (8.9 rating) — 3.76 Finding Nemo — 99% (8.7 rating) — 4.83 Inside Out — 98% (8.9 rating) — 3.94 Up — 98% (8.7 rating) — 4.30 The Incredibles — 97% (8.3 rating) — 3.71 Wall-E — 96% (8.5 rating) — 3.55 Ratatouille — 96% (8.4 rating) — 4.39 Monsters, Inc — 96% (8.0 rating) — 4.09 Finding Dory — 94% (7.6 rating) — 3.60 A Bug’s Life — 92% (7.9 rating) — 4.89 (using 3-day wide weekend), 3.56 (using 5-day wide) The ‘Other’ Pixar Movies Brave — 78% (7.0 rating) — 3.58 Monsters University — 78% (6.8 rating) — 3.26 The Good Dinosaur — 77% (6.6 rating) — 3.14 (using 3-day), 2.22 (using 5-day) Cars — 74% (6.9 rating) — 4.06 Cars 3 — 67% (6.5 rating) — TBD Cars 2 — 39% (5.5 rating) — 2.89 Peace, Mike

To add to Daxtreme's great post, I have a list of comic book film multipliers I had made. I've copied it below (films with 3+ multipliers are in red): Live Action Comic Book Film Multipliers for $40+ million Openers Rank / Title (Year) / Opening Weekend Gross (Multiplier) Marvel’s The Avengers (2012) — 207.4 million (3.00) Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015) — 191.3 million (2.40) Captain America: Civil War (2016) — 179.1 million (2.28) Iron Man 3 (2013) — 174.1 million (2.35) Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice (2016) — 166.0 million (1.99) The Dark Knight Rises (2012) — 160.9 million (2.79) The Dark Knight (2008) — 158.4 million (3.38) Spider-Man 3 (2007) — 151.1 million (2.23) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (2017) — 146.4 million (2.51)^ Suicide Squad (2016) — 133.7 million (2.43) Deadpool (2016) — 132.4 million (2.74) Iron Man 2 (2010) — 128.1 million (2.44) Man of Steel (2013) — 116.6 million (2.50) Spider-Man (2002) — 114.8 million (3.52) Wonder Woman (2017) — 103.3 million (2.14)^ X-Men: The Last Stand (2006) — 102.8 million (2.28) Iron Man (2008) — 98.6 million (3.23) Captain America: The Winter Soldier (2014) — 95.0 million (2.73) Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) — 94.3 million (3.53) The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (2014) — 91.6 million (2.21) X-Men: Days of Future Past (2014) — 90.8 million (2.58) Logan (2017) — 88.4 million (2.56) Spider-Man 2 (2004) — 88.2 million* Thor: The Dark World (2013) — 85.7 million (2.41) X2: X-Men United (2003) — 85.6 million (2.51) Doctor Strange (2016) — 85.1 million (2.74) X-Men Origins: Wolverine (2009) — 85.1 million (2.11) The rest ($40-80 million openers) in spoilers for space reasons: *Wednesday Opener (thus not comparable) **Tuesday Opener (thus not comparable) ^So Far - Box Office Run Not Yet Complete Obviously the size of the opening and time of year matter (and films were once leggier than they are now), but it is interesting to compare multipliers for comic book films that opened on a Friday. As Daxtreme mentioned and as we can see above, it is relatively rare for a major comic book film to reach a 3 multiplier. Wonder Woman will certainly join the 3+ multiplier club - the question is, how far can it go? Will it pass Spider-Man and Guardians of the Galaxy to become the leggiest comic book of any $50+ million opener? I don't think it will at this point, but its legs are proving to be super sexy nonetheless, and the fact that it will join the 3+ multiplier club is impressive as is. Also as Daxtreme mentioned, it is easy to forget that Guardians of the Galaxy has the best multiplier of any comic book film with a $50+ million opening. Really impressive. And obviously given the size of the opening (largest opening weekend at the time, and still the third largest opening weekend ever), The Avengers’ reaching a 3 multiplier is really impressive. I would say The Dark Knight’s multiplier is also very impressive — a 3.38 multiplier off of a $158.4 million opening, which again was the largest opening weekend of all time at the time it opened! (I sometimes forget that fact.) Batman (1989), Batman Returns (1992), and Batman Forever (1995) all owned the largest opening weekend of all time at the time they opened (wow), and all went on to 3+ multipliers (and well above that in the case of Batman), though they all definitely opened in a different era in which films were leggier. And we can definitely get into a discussion of other impressive multipliers within context. For example, Deadpool (an ‘R’ rated film) opened huge and had a strong 2.74 multiplier given it’s February opening and inflated opening due to Valentine’s Day. Peace, Mike

I may be starting to get into useless stats territory, but for those who like useless and fun stats, here are the best 1st-Monday to 2nd-Monday drops for comic book films that opened to $30 million or more (didn’t check any further below that): Batman (1989): +6.9% (Second Monday was Independence Day holiday) Batman Begins (2005): -39.5% (Opened on a Wednesday) Blade II (2002): -41.2% The Amazing Spider-Man (2012): -42.4% (Opened on a Tuesday) Captain America: Winter Soldier (2014): -44.3% Iron Man (2008): -44.5% Wonder Woman (2017): -46.4% Thor (2011): -47.1% Ant-Man (2015): -48.1% Batman Forever (1995): -49.3% Peace, Mike

As mentioned, phenomenal drop for Wonder Woman. Its second weekend is holding its own with other comic book films that opened much larger. It could end up having one of the best 3rd weekends of all-time for a comic book film - depending how well it holds next weekend and how much Father's Day advantages it (or not). 2nd Weekends & Drops for Comic Book Movies that Opened to $70+ million Title (Year) — 2nd Weekend Gross (Drop from Opening Weekend) Marvel’s The Avengers (2012) — 103.1 million (-50.3%) Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015) — 77.7 million (-59.4%) The Dark Knight (2008) — 75.2 million (-52.5%) Captain America: Civil War (2016) — 72.6 million (-59.5%) Iron Man 3 (2013) — 72.5 million (-58.4%) Spider-Man (2002) — 71.4 million (-37.8%) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (2017) — 65.3 million (-55.5%) The Dark Knight Rises (2012) — 62.1 million (-61.4%) Wonder Woman (2017) — 58.6 million (-43.2%) Spider-Man 3 (2007) — 58.2 million (-61.5%) Deadpool (2016) — 56.5 million (-57.4%) Iron Man 2 (2010) — 52.0 million (-59.4%) Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice (2016) — 51.3 million (-69.1%) Iron Man (2008) — 51.2 million (-48.1%) Spider-Man 2 (2004) — 45.2 million (-48.7%)* Suicide Squad (2016) — 43.5 million (-67.4%) Doctor Strange (2016) — 43.0 million (-49.5%) Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) — 42.1 million (-55.3%) Captain America: The Winter Soldier (2014) — 41.3 million (-56.6%) Man of Steel (2013) — 41.3 million (-64.6%)** X2: X-Men United (2003) — 40.0 million (-53.2%) Logan (2017) — 38.1 million (-56.9%) Thor: The Dark World (2013) — 36.6 million (-57.3%) The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (2014) — 35.5 million (-61.2%) X-Men: The Last Stand (2006) — 34.0 million (-66.9%)^ X-Men: Days of Future Past (2014) — 32.6 million (-64.2%)^ X-Men Origins: Wolverine (2009) — 26.4 million (-69.0%) *Opened on a Wednesday **Opened on Father’s Day Weekend ^Opened on Memorial Day Weekend Peace, Mike

I just watched this for the first time, and it was a surprisingly fun ride. I'm sorry that I didn't catch it in its original theatrical release, but it looked rather unappealing at the time. The film really excels in its structure - it tells the story in a compelling way. It is tightly edited, and not just a monotonous repeat of the same day over and over again. Rather, any moments that we see relived feel earned, and there are moments where we are clued in that Cage has lived through these same moments before. The film also excels because the chemistry between the two main characters is clearly there. This would have been a top tier sci-fi film for me if they had found a way to end the film in a clearer manner, and if I had felt a greater emotional connection to it. The film was so well paced and tightly conceived, there was room for some better character development and something to better situate the context of the war. I feel like this would have helped. It's hard to explain, but something was missing. It didn't quite have that 'oomph', the stakes didn't quite feel real enough (either on a personal/relationship level with Cage & Rita, or on a broader level with the war and humanity as a whole). Peace, Mike

Do you mean this? Peace, Mike

Weekend breakdown for Wonder Woman: FRI: $15.86 million (+73.4%) SAT: $24.31 million (+53.3%) SUN: $17.01 million (-30.0%) -------- TOTAL: $57.18 million (-44.6% drop from opening weekend) That Saturday gross is down only -31% from last Saturday. Just wow. Peace, Mike

Weekend estimates starting to trickle in on the-numbers.com: Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days - new The Mummy Universal $32,246,120 4,035 $7,992 $32,246,120 3 - (3) Pirates of the Caribbean: D… Walt Disney $10,700,000 -52% 4,276 $2,502 $135,826,294 17 - (4) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 Walt Disney $6,200,000 -37% 3,507 $1,768 $366,319,172 38 - (11) Beauty and the Beast Walt Disney $400,000 -39% 527 $759 $502,890,446 Peace, Mike

Phenomenal for Wonder Woman. A 44.6% drop from a $100+ million opening weekend in June! No matter how you slice it, this is an exceptionally strong hold. And this is the second best drop ever for a comic book film that opened to $70+ million. Only Spider-Man bests it (way back in 2002). 2nd Weekends & Drops for Comic Book Movies that Opened to $70+ million Title (Year) — 2nd Weekend Gross (Drop from Opening Weekend) Marvel’s The Avengers (2012) — 103.1 million (-50.3%) Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015) — 77.7 million (-59.4%) The Dark Knight (2008) — 75.2 million (-52.5%) Captain America: Civil War (2016) — 72.6 million (-59.5%) Iron Man 3 (2013) — 72.5 million (-58.4%) Spider-Man (2002) — 71.4 million (-37.8%) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (2017) — 65.3 million (-55.5%) The Dark Knight Rises (2012) — 62.1 million (-61.4%) Spider-Man 3 (2007) — 58.2 million (-61.5%) Wonder Woman (2017) — 57.2 million (-44.6%) Deadpool (2016) — 56.5 million (-57.4%) Iron Man 2 (2010) — 52.0 million (-59.4%) Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice (2016) — 51.3 million (-69.1%) Iron Man (2008) — 51.2 million (-48.1%) Spider-Man 2 (2004) — 45.2 million (-48.7%)* Suicide Squad (2016) — 43.5 million (-67.4%) Doctor Strange (2016) — 43.0 million (-49.5%) Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) — 42.1 million (-55.3%) Captain America: The Winter Soldier (2014) — 41.3 million (-56.6%) Man of Steel (2013) — 41.3 million (-64.6%)** X2: X-Men United (2003) — 40.0 million (-53.2%) Logan (2017) — 38.1 million (-56.9%) Thor: The Dark World (2013) — 36.6 million (-57.3%) The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (2014) — 35.5 million (-61.2%) X-Men: The Last Stand (2006) — 34.0 million (-66.9%)^ X-Men: Days of Future Past (2014) — 32.6 million (-64.2%)^ X-Men Origins: Wolverine (2009) — 26.4 million (-69.0%) *Opened on a Wednesday **Opened on Father’s Day Weekend ^Opened on Memorial Day Weekend Peace, Mike

Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days 1 (1) Wonder Woman Warner Bros. $15,800,000 +73% 4,165 $3,794 $163,622,503 8 2 new The Mummy Universal $12,028,000 4,035 $2,981 $12,028,000 1 3 (3) Captain Underpants: The Fir… 20th Century Fox $3,500,000 +87% 3,529 $992 $35,762,512 8 4 (2) Pirates of the Caribbean: D… Walt Disney $3,014,000 +52% 3,679 $819 $128,140,294 15 5 new It Comes at Night A24 $2,457,000 2,533 $970 $2,457,000 1 6 (4) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 Walt Disney $1,689,000 +68% 2,911 $580 $361,808,172 36 7 (5) Baywatch Paramount Pictures $1,300,000 +50% 2,832 $459 $47,765,135 16 8 new Megan Leavey Bleecker Street $1,200,000 1,956 $613 $1,200,000 1 9 (7) Everything, Everything Warner Bros. $530,000 +53% 1,546 $343 $30,641,952 22 10 (6) Alien: Covenant 20th Century Fox $479,000 +28% 1,814 $264 $69,891,212 22 11 new My Cousin Rachel Fox Searchlight $277,000 523 $530 $277,000 1 - (12) Beauty and the Beast Walt Disney $114,000 +50% 316 $361 $502,604,446 85

Yes, if $15 million ends up being accurate for the Friday, it is going to be a close one it looks like. Looks like you made a really good club from that perspective - could be a really close over/under. Regardless, $50-51 million at least is looking pretty realistic if the $15 million Friday projection is accurate. It's hard to know, because it is so early, but if this holds, certainly a great drop and second weekend for Wonder Woman. Peace, Mike

Summer RT Watch Update: Like last summer movie season, I'm tracking films' critical reception via Rotten Tomatoes. So far, ‘It Comes at Night’ is one of the better reviewed films of the summer, and ‘The Mummy’ is one of the worst reviewed films of the summer. 2017 Summer Films RT Watch (Wide-Release — May/June/July/August) Wonder Woman — 92% — 7.6 rating It Comes At Night — 85% — 7.3 rating Captain Underpants — 84% — 6.8 rating Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 — 81% — 7.1 rating Megan Leavey — 78% - 6.5 rating Alien: Covenant — 71% — 6.4 rating The Dinner — 51% — 5.6 rating Everything, Everything — 46% — 5.4 rating Snatched — 36% — 5.1 rating Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales — 29% — 4.7 rating King Arthur: Legend of the Sword — 28% — 4.6 rating Baywatch — 20% — 4.0 rating The Mummy — 18% — 4.2 rating Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul — 17% — 4.2 rating Last summer half of the 42 wide-release films tracked were “rotten” on RT, and only 10 of the films had an 80+%. This summer isn’t off to a great start either. Peace, Mike

I agree - this is what I was thinking as well. Even with the 35% Wednesday drop, people's projections in this thread are still showing between a ~52-55% drop this weekend to about $46-50 million. That would be a genuinely strong drop for a $100+ million opening CBM in June, I would think. Peace, Mike

This Monday (June 5th) is the first Monday of June and the first Monday following the Memorial Day long weekend. Except for the year 2016 you have above, all of the other Mondays you have linked are the second Mondays of June. The first Mondays of June (and the first Mondays post Memorial Day long weekend) were June 3rd, 2nd, and 1st, respectively, for 2013, 2014, and 2015. Those, I would say, are the appropriate Mondays to compare to in terms of calendar year. The first Mondays of June have distinctly larger drops than as we proceed through June (and more kids are out of school). Though I suppose we'll know more once we know the Monday numbers for all films today. Peace, Mike

It seems that Wonder Woman maybe made around $12 million on Monday, with one of our gods suggesting so through hints and our other god liking a few posts mentioning $11.9/12 million. Anywhere $11-12 million would be really impressive to me. Peace, Mike

Wonder Woman actually needs a 66.3% drop or less to hit $10 million on Monday. I hesitate to call this is a "guarantee" or say that it will "easily" cross $10 million, even if likely to happen. But I acknowledge that words like "guarantee", "lock", "easily" get my spidey-sense tingling, because I find people use them quite liberally. Heh. Peace, Mike

Also props to baumer, Tele and others who were insistent that Wonder Woman's Sunday drop was being overestimated and that it's overall weekend gross would be closer to $103 million. I didn't think it would end up dropping this superbly on the Sunday. Well done. Peace, Mike

Using Gitesh's reported numbers for Wonder Woman's weekend: Thu Previews: $11 million Friday: $27.2 million Saturday: $35.2 million (+29.4%) Sunday: $29.7 million (-15.6%) ---------- TOTAL: $103.1 million Pretty terrific weekend, I must say. Showing signs of being pretty backloaded at this point. Will be fun to see what Monday's number looks like. Best Opening Weekends for Comic Book Films & Share from Previews Title / Opening Weekend Gross / Share of Opening Weekend from Previews/Midnights Marvel’s The Avengers — 207.4 million (9.0%) Avengers: Age of Ultron — 191.3 million (14.4%) Captain America: Civil War — 179.1 million (14.0%) Iron Man 3 — 174.1 million (9.0%) Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice — 166.0 million (16.7%) The Dark Knight Rises — 160.9 million (19.0%) The Dark Knight — 158.4 million (11.7%) Spider-Man 3 — 151.1 million (6.6%) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 — 146.4 million (11.6%) Suicide Squad — 133.7 million (15.3%) Deadpool — 132.4 million (9.6%) Iron Man 2 — 128.1 million (5.9%) Man of Steel — 116.6 million (7.7%) Spider-Man — 114.8 million (6.1%) Wonder Woman — 103.1 million (10.7%) X-Men: The Last Stand — 102.8 million (5.7%) Iron Man — 98.6 million (5.1%) Captain America: The Winter Soldier — 95.0 million (10.7%) Guardians of the Galaxy — 94.3 million (11.9%) The Amazing Spider-Man 2 — 91.6 million (9.5%) X-Men: Days of Future Past — 90.8 million (8.9%) Peace, Mike