TStechnij

I got emotional at Uma's scene in Nymphomaniac tbh. The first volume of that was beyond decent, maybe even great! Why was the second half so bad? That being said, Uma would be in my top 5 supporting actress performances of last year. She is the MVP of that movie with one scene!

Is there any chance I'll love it? I've been the contrarian before and some of the reviews I read made it sound pretty damn interesting.

I am a huge movie crier. Up and Titanic always get me. Eternal Sunshine, Inside Out (saw it three times), Boyhood. Recently Room wrecked me and I've seen it twice.

Haven't seen. But I remember it being quite divisive. Roeper loved Gosling's performance. Maybe I am prematurely heralding Gosling, but I think his work with Cianfrance (especially Blue Valentine) is better than Leo's work with Scorsese. I also don't think that saying Gosling is one of the best working actors is too controversial.

It is a blind spot, I'll admit it. I could definitely see a case where it could be considered the best movie so far (of the Oscar bait, American prestige pictures) and I know it will get first place votes. But like I said, it doesn't have too stiff of competition: Steve Jobs, Inside Out, Mad Max, Carol and Brooklyn. With a DOR, QT and a really hyped Innaritu are still to come it seems very unsafe. I meant to mention that NBR are totally going to give Spotlight a lot of awards. I could also see it doing well with DFW and Denver too.

Sure it can, but usually these festival films need to hold on to it all year. This doesn't even account for the fact that I have a ton of reservations thinking anyone would consider Spotlight the best movie of the year. I don't think if has the narrative or is high enough quality to win BP tbh. It was spoken about because it was the best film at the time, but that won't even be the case. Plus it is Open Road Film. Can they produce a winning campaign? Can they get the necessary campaign to win BP?

I've seen it. The closest thing to compare it to is Argo which was far better received. There is no way it has the momentum to win this. It will probably win NBR and that is it.

That undermines DOR's whole filmography so much.

Unseen doesn't mean it isn't safe. I have it pretty low down for a reason. It is still in danger, but less so than Brooklyn. Besides, it screened and I've heard some raves. Youth has no buzz. I'm shocked how little Caine is being talked about and how much Fonda is. It kind of speaks for itself when people think Fonda is going to be the sole nom. Now with Joy contending with multiple ladies, I think Youth's chances are next to none unless it builds up record hype at AFI or gets a big push. And Hooper campaigns hard and has a big group of fans in the Academy. It is still very possible.

Completely mixed. Some really great caper elements, but mostly it is a jumbled, lazy mess. Agree with The Panda a lot. My full review: http://www.statepress.com/article/2015/10/joseph-gordon-levitt-stuns-by-somehow-being-even-more-punchable-than-previous-endeavors-in-039the-walk I gave it a D on the poll. I wish I could retract that and give t a fair C/C-

Exactly what I thought. This is why I think Carol, Brooklyn and The Danish Girl all have good-great chances.

I'm thinking this: Locks: The Revenant Joy Spotlight Carol Almost locks: Steve Jobs Inside Out Likely: The Hateful Eight Brooklyn Will show up despite a contingent hope not to: The Danish Girl So, I am think 8 or 9. But the last five are all quite susceptible. Outside looking in, somewhat in order: Room Beasts of No Nation Son of Saul Mad Max: Fury Road Bridge of Spies Youth Bridge of Spies Star Wars: The Force Awakens The Martian By the Sea (Weird gut feeling.)

Fox Searchlight and 2000 Fox are entirely different entities when it comes to campaigning. Can someone explain to me one more time how BP votes work? I know I understand it, but to say we are only getting 6 or 7 seems silly. There are a lot more passion picks this year over last. That's proven by Imitiation Game and The Theory of Everything getting in. Even Room and Spotlight are better and should gain more passion than those two movies. Apparently Spotlight has buzz, I know. I'm just not buying it for a second.

Yeah, I've predicted Joy since Silence started feeling like it wouldn't finish for 2015. Hell, I predicted Joy to beat Silence. Sticking to my guns and riding this out.

I am starting to feel like The Revenant and Joy are the only contenders. Maybe Hateful Eight? Maybe Brooklyn? Maybe Spotlight? Maybe maybe maybe Mad Max with a perfect storm, critical love and a huge campaign? But no. This seems like it is The Revenant and Joy.

Everything I'm hearing is raving this to death.

I liked it a lot but this isn't coming from that part of me. There is a legit path for it. I'm not saying it is happening, but we are like one weak campaign or flop film away. If I'm stanning for anything it is Son of Saul and Youth.

@awards_watch: Joy screening: Erin Brockovich meets Mildred Pierce. 100% Jennifer Lawrence's show. She could win the Oscar. #JoyMovie @awards_watch: Joy screening: David O. Russell's best film since Three Kings. #JoyMovie @awards_watch: Joy screening: Robert De Niro sole Supporting Actor contender, Bradley Cooper and Edward Ramirez non-factors. #JoyMovie @awards_watch: Joy screening: It's 100% a drama. No way it could be frauded into Comedy at the Golden Globes. #JoyMovie The sources should be reliable too.

JOY IS HAPPENING. Ramirez isn't lol.

It doesn't even need that hard of a push. It's probably going to get big critic awards. I can totally see a world were LAFCA goes fully behind it.

That is some how more Tarantino and less edgy.

I agree. It is risky, which isn't something I'd characterize Tarantino of after he found his audience who likes his intense style. Make me curious about the dynamic.

In the current edit of this there is a gay sex scene. It is Tarantino's first full blown sex scene too apparently. You've got my attention...

DiCaprio isn't even good in Titancis so your credibility sank immediately. Gosling, Fassbender and Phoenix haven't had bad performances in their careers. Can't say the same for DiCaprio.

Wouldn't be so sure. Mad Max is WB main push since OBIC is DOA and Black Mass didn't work. Besides, everyone votes and the tech (and directorial branch) are going to eat that shit up. It is on the outside but very much looking in. Everything is lining up for it. Joy could only lead the count if DOR pulls another 4 acting noms.