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Everything posted by KP1025
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COCO | 597.4 M overseas ● 807.1 M worldwide
KP1025 replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
A very longshot but not impossible given the nature of Japan. $125 million would be 50% of Frozen's gross in Japan. -
The score and musical numbers were also a very big draw to people nostalgic for the original animated film. I don't see many people wanting to check out WB's take even if the dark and gritty take had been more unique. Without seeing a trailer, I'm guessing this will do Legend of Tarzan numbers at best.
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Frozen 2 opens on a Wednesday though, so it's likely the 3-day will fall short. Among Wednesday openers, I think only Shrek 2 has an adjusted 3-day OW higher than the November record (Shrek 2's 3-day adjusts to almost $160 million). Wonder Woman 2 could do it, but it definitely won't be easy. I agree about Grinch being more a leggy run- it doesn't seem like the type of hyped film that would attract a large opening.
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BLACK PANTHER | 646.8 M overseas ● 1346.9 M worldwide
KP1025 replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
Even South Africa is not a big market. Ultron only made around $3 million there for example. -
Even with the Jurassic Park brand behind it, I remember people were quite pessimistic when projecting its run (likely due to the mediocre reception of JP3). I think the average prediction was like 1/3 of what Jurassic World actually ended up earning.
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
KP1025 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
Japan can be a huge market ($100+ million) for the right films, but unfortunately CBMs are not the ones. $10 million would be decent for Black Panther since it would be on par with GotG2, Wonder Woman, and Ragnarok.- 24,124 replies
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I actually think Toy Story 4 might decrease from the 3rd film. The hook sounds nowhere near as interesting as Toy Story 3, which was sold as the final adventure/goodbye. Frozen has a better chance of increasing because it seems the cultural impact has remained steady or even continued to grow after the film's theatrical release (there are quite a few people who were introduced to Frozen via home media that would go see the sequel).
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http://www.slate.com/articles/arts/movies/2009/12/here_come_the_cats_with_human_boobs.html That's the closest I can find to an official projection of the film's potential.
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
KP1025 replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
According to Corpse, somewhere in the $20+ million range seems achievable.- 24,124 replies
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China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26
KP1025 replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
I would be very surprised if Mowgli came anywhere near Jungle Book's gross. The interest and curiosity factor is going to be much lower now despite WB marketing it as a completely unrelated version from the Disney film. Reading reviews, a lot of Jungle Book's praise came from its visuals and charm. Mowgli is supposed to be a darker and grittier story, and I'm not sure it will get anywhere near the same critical reception and WOM. I think it's much more likely to make Legend of Tarzan numbers in China or around $45-50 million. -
China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26
KP1025 replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
Black Panther faces Tomb Raider one week after and then Pacific Rim 2 the week after that. It looks like a very tight competition for screens, especially if those two films break-out. I'm unsure how Tomb Raider will do in China, but Pacific Rim 2 should be very big. -
China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26
KP1025 replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
IW and JW2 should be locked for over $150 million. Looking at this year's releases, I think these also have a shot. -Pacific Rim 2 (the first film made $112 million in 2013) -Rampage (monster movie starring the Rock, could approach Skull Island numbers) -Skyscraper (takes place in China, also starring the Rock) -MI6 (MI5 earned $136 million) -Dark Phoenix (Apocalypse made $121 million) -Bumblebee (probably a 2019 release in China though) -
TGS hit #3 for the 4-day weekend but not sure if that counts. Date (click to view chart) Rank Weekend Gross % Change Theaters Change / Avg. Gross-to-Date Week # Jan 5–7 4 $13,770,951 -11.3% 3,342 +26 $4,121 $76,875,323 3 Jan 12–14 4 $12,467,471 -9.5% 2,938 -404 $4,244 $95,221,339 4 Jan 12–15 3 $16,177,587 +17.5% 2,938 -404 $5,506 $98,931,455 4