Jake Gittes

Well I won The Other Woman bonus (predicted 14.385, actual is 14.407). Spaghetti was insanely close with his 14.375 prediction

I'd expect one or two August 29 releases to get pushed back.

So someone predicted that Sin City 2 is gonna make $103m in eleven days.

Transformers 4, if I'm not mistaken, is the first film shot (though not fully) on such a camera.

Deliver Us from Evil could hit 75 methinks.

I'd also bet on Winter Sleep at this point. It's in the best position to take it providing it's good enough. Godard seems too uncompromising these days, he's clearly doing his own thing and not giving a fuck about awards, so unless he puts out a late-career masterpiece I don't see it. I could see Best Director or Grand Prix, but not the big one. I could also see Mr. Turner or even Foxcatcher winning, they'll also probably be neck-and-neck for Best Actor. (Hopefully there isn't a tie, I can't fucking stand those).

Star Wars will be shot on 35mm, not IMAX film.

Trying not to get too cocky, but I'm looking forward to some of dem points after those estimates.

Just watched the third episode of this season and it was stunning. A whole new level for this show, I mean it was as hilarious as ever, but it also managed to be genuinely dramatic, nuanced, sharp as fuck and amazingly cringe-worthy all within a space of 27 minutes. Emmys to everyone.

Ocean's Thirteen was pretty good too.

Makes me remember how I watched Pirates 3's trailer about 50 times. Good times, even if the movie ended up a total disappointment.

"That dog is an asshole!" - Joe

Interstellar, Apes, Hobbit, Godzilla, and either Jupiter or Exodus.

And I'm sure glad I did.

Well I just realized I already failed the horror/thriller question. I'm pretty sure Deliver Us From Evil will do $30m for the 5-day, but I was thinking of 3-day when I answered NO. Oh well.

Well fuck I'm exhausted. Posted it all on the first page. Here's the first half of it. Top 15 Domestic 1. How to Train Your Dragon 2 - $319.5 million 2. Transformers: Age of Extinction - $289.9 million 3. Godzilla - $288.1 million 4. The Amazing Spider-Man 2 - $238 million 5. X-Men: Days of Future Past - $235.8 million 6. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes - $232.8 million 7. 22 Jump Street - $205 million 8. Maleficent - $173 million 9. The Fault in Our Stars - $170 million 10. Guardians of the Galaxy - $167.5 million 11. Neighbors - $157.2 million 12. Tammy - $118.2 million 13. Million Dollar Arm - $115.7 million 14. Jupiter Ascending - $115.6 million 15. Think Like a Man Too - $112.8 million 16. (backup #1) Blended - $112.7 million 17. (backup #2) Edge of Tomorrow - $107.2 million Top 10 Worldwide 1. Transformers: Age of Extinction - $1046 million 2. How to Train Your Dragon 2 - $897 million 3. Godzilla - $812 million 4. The Amazing Spider-Man 2 - $707 million 5. X-Men: Days of Future Past - $700 million 6. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes - $645 million 7. Maleficent - $445 million 8. 22 Jump Street - $389 million 9. Guardians of the Galaxy - $369 million 10. Edge of Tomorrow - $344 million Top 5 Worldwide Weekends 1. Transformers: Age of Extinction - $316 million 2. Godzilla - $180 million 3. How to Train Your Dragon 2 - $179 million 4. X-Men: Days of Future Past - $178 million 5. The Amazing Spider-Man 2 - $139 million Top 7 Domestic Opening Weekends 1. Transformers: Age of Extinction - $96.4 million 2. The Amazing Spider-Man 2 - $92.3 million 3. How to Train Your Dragon 2 - $86.7 million 4. X-Men: Days of Future Past - $83.6 million 5. Godzilla - $77.9 million 6. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes - $76.2 million 7. 22 Jump Street - $64.4 million

1) Will ASM2 make more than 35 mill OD? 5000 - Yes 2) Will ASM2 make less than 30 mill OD? 3000 - No 3) Will ASM2 make more than 37.5 M OD mill OD? 3000 - No 4) Will ASM2 make more than 15 7M OW in Brazil? 2000 - Yes 5) Will ASM2 make more than 90 mill OW? 2000 - Yes 6) Will ASM2 make more than 100 mill OW? 2000 - No 7) Will ASM2 have a Saturday drop of more than 8%? - Yes 8) Will ASM2 make more than 10 mill at midnight/thurs? - No 9) Will ASM2 make more than 10 mill at IMAX domestically? - No 10) Will ASM2 have a per theater average of more than $23,200? - No 11) Will ASM2 have a cinemascore of A or better? - No 12) Will ASM2 fall less than 33% on Sunday? - Yes 13) Will ASM2 make at least 60 mill more than positions 2 and 3 combined? - Yes 14) Will ASM2 have a world wide weekend of more than 200 mill? - No 15) Will the top 10 films combine to make more than 130 million? - Yes 16 Will Captain2 drop less than 50.5%? - Yes 17) Will Captain2 have a Friday increase of more than 125%? - Yes 18) Will The Other Woman drop more than 41%? - Yes 19) Will Nikki or Deadline's posting about ASM2 contain the phrase "NOT A RECORD" anywhere in the post at any time on the weekend? - No 20) Will the first posted "projection" about ASM2 be higher than the number reported with official Friday estimates? 3000 - Yes 21) Will The Quiet Ones drop less than 55%? - No 22) Will HIFR drop less than 45%? - Yes 23) Will any film in the top 12 drop less than 35%? - Yes 24) Will Walk of Shame have a per theater average of more than $3000? - No 25) Will Transcendence stay in the top 15? - Yes 26) Will Transcendence drop more than 70%? - Yes 27) Will any film have a Saturday increase of more than 85%? - Yes 28) Will Rio 2 have a Friday increase of more than 75%? - Yes 29) Will Draft Day stay in the top 13? - Yes 30) Will Divergent increase more than 40% on Saturday? - Yes 25/30 3000 26/30 4000 27/30 7,000 28/30 10,000 29/30 12,000 30/30 24,000 Bonus 1: What will ASM2 weekend gross be? 5000 - $92,372,421 Bonus 2: What will TOW's weekend gross be? 5000 - $14,385,770 Bonus 3: What will Brick Mansion's weekend gross be? 5000 - $3,568,821 Bonus 4: What will the combined gross be for The Quiet Ones, Oculus and Transcendence? 5000 - $3,821,455 Bonus 5: What finishes in spots: 4 Captain America 5 Rio 2 10 God's Not Dead 11 The Grand Budapest Hotel 13 Draft Day

Why you losing your shit?

The Desolation of Smaug. Which really should be every movie's subtitle.

I'm very much looking forward to binge-watching most of Mike Leigh's filmography sometime later this year.

As usual, it looks like I'll be done about 2 minutes before the deadline.

The sequel, The Look of Silence, will be finished in a few weeks and should be ready for fall festivals: http://thedissolve.com/news/2110-joshua-oppenheimers-the-act-of-killing-sequel-is-a/

Fight Club, The Matrix, Election, Bringing Out the Dead, Beau Travail, Pola X are six of my all-time favorites, and there was plenty more greatness in '99. Definitely one of the greatest years for cinema ever, only 2007 has come close since then.

It's strange. I saw it for the first time when I was like 14 and thought it was incredible. Saw it for the second time this past January and, to my own shock, was bored out of my skull. The first 30 minutes or so were still great, but after that I quickly lost all connection with it. Just did not care... at all. I don't even know. I'll obviously see it again sometime down the line, but it's not looking good.

I'm almost fascinated by your intense hatred of Punch-Drunk Love. I mean it really touched a raw nerve there. And to think that such a charming movie would ever do that...