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Poseidon

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Everything posted by Poseidon

  1. A week after holidays is always a tricky time for Deadline-Estimtes. They may very well compare early numbers to last weeks boosted numbers.
  2. Compared to Frozen, it should fall just short, but it was following the first one quite close so far and with January being a disaster it really might have a chance.
  3. This one is having a tough round of marketing ahead to make this a big hit. So far, it doesn't seem like many people know it even exists.
  4. Isn't it a tradition now, that the Horror movie opening on the first WE in January is overperforming?
  5. TWOWS earned another $78m from here. Would give LW a finish of about $115m.
  6. Well, it didn't go too well from there. Cats is dropping like a rock and Kaninchen is doing mediocre at best. Let's hope they can recover, but this was a pretty sad christmas in terms of broad appeal at the german BO.
  7. Average TP in Germany is just ridiculous. There's been damage done, that, if ever, needs years to make up for. Forced 3D and those TP surpassing Inflation by huge margins are to blame for the horrible loss of admissions. Theaters made it incredibnly easy for Netflix and other streaming services. Growth for Av TP pretty much tripled inflation over here in the last 10 years.
  8. Whoever thought Cats might recover over the Holidays: Think again. This is going to have trouble reaching $25m. It's empty everywhere you look at.
  9. Christmas Day, as far as I remember, usually slows down going into the evening.
  10. Cats should open well into the 100ks. Very solid opening in Germany. Compared to some afternoon numbers of 2013, both Cats and Kaninchen should open to 200k+ over 5 days. We'll see how it goes from here.
  11. Every major theater you look at in NYC is already sold out all afternoon, even into the evening. Yeah, it's lacking capacities here and there, but this is going to be bigger than $6m.
  12. Walter Mitty did close to 8m in 2013. Even 47 Ronin scored 7m. CD is huge and LW has way more theaters to open in. Presales look very good, this is going to explode. Let's hope capacities are big enough next to SW.
  13. Those predictions for Little Women are obviously way off. I'm pretty positive, that it'll score at least $10m on OD alone. Also, Spies in Disguise doesn't look too bad, has quite some tickets sold already.
  14. I don't think so. We're now pretty much as high as it gets in terms of premium formats generating additional money. I feel like we're now at the ceiling of what audiences are willing to pay for a ticket.
  15. A lot of schools in Baden Württemberg are on holidays today, so thursday was like a friday here.
  16. So Deadline went from "about $1m" to $350k or Bombshell. Seriously, this is embarassing for a website focussed on this stuff. Either report something worth to be reported or just don't. This has nothing to do with journalism. Same for Cats, where they were off by 45% as well.
  17. https://deadline.com/2019/12/star-wars-rise-of-skywalker-opening-weekend-box-office-cats-bombshell-1202814594/ That would actually be huge for Bombshell. But well, probably the truth is not even half of that.
  18. There never was hype to be killed. SW has a huge base viewership, but this did not create any hype in terms of excitement like Endgame or other movies, that exploded in the last week before opening. This franchise would need a longer break to recover.
  19. About 300k according to Mark G. of Insidekino: http://forum.insidekino.de/viewtopic.php?f=11&p=71651#p71649 That's about 70% of TLJ. Of course keep in mind, that TLJ started on a regular thursday with midnights, while TROS opened on a full wednesday without midnights.
  20. I see it having trouble even reaching 5m. OD is pretty underwhelming, 5D-Opening should come in under Frozen. That's a shocker.
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