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Everything posted by Poseidon
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Why would this have any effect on future musical-adaptations? This is not a failure of the source material, this movie was DOA as soon as the trailer hit. I still can't believe that a bunch of pros didn't see this coming when greenlighting the film. There were no unfinished scripts, there were no problems at set. It was just a massive misjudgement of epic proportions. Let's see if it can still crawl to $200m+.
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It's tough to miss tbh. Spies in Disguise is not the kind of movie to do well in Germany and SW is a different audience. "Als Hitler das Rosa Kaninchen stahl" doesn't look to do great business either and Cats seems well, Cats... Looking at 2013 movies and looking at the 475k WE: If it follows: Frozen 1: 7m Catching Fire: 6,6m
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Poseidon replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
As for Black Christmas: Previews should be ignored. Business will concentrate on Fridy with it being the 13th. "Truth or dare" scored a $8,2m OD after 750k previews, so even 500k could mean $12-$13m for the movie. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Poseidon replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Wasn't that one quite in line with other SW Movies? Preview to OD for recent SW Movies: Solo 6,0 (Sunday boosted. With a normal Sunday would have been more like 5,5) TLJ 4,9 Rogue One 5,3 TFA 4,4 -
None with a fitting and comaparable opening date, though. Thei were either opening on TG or opened earlier. Grinch obviously died after christmas.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Poseidon replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
It's not THAT easy, though. You don't create a 400m movie by filling a gap and pointing a middle finger to SW. Said SW movie earned $620m next to it. While this certainly was a big step back from the enormous EP7, it still was one of the biggest movies of all time. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Poseidon replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Shazam is, first of all, a comic adaptation. It's the same ballpark as Spider Man. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Poseidon replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Jumanji is a comedy AND a kids movie. Pretty much the 2 least pre-sold genres out there. The weeks after TG are usually pretty slow at the BO. I wouldn't write this off, not at all. It's really hard to see them coming in december and we should really have a look if presales might be lower that time of the year for future comparisons. There was one thing in favour of the first Jumanji: It had huge trailer clicks. Jumanji 2 doubled them... I still think this could go anywhere between 150m and 350m+ -
Why don't you stop giving those few and very loud internet trolls a voice? When will people learn, that Twitter is not the real world, but a microuniverse of excentric people, that live off the attention they won't get in real life. When did we start caring, what a random person had to say in their living room?
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So if Frozen really is looking at that $25m-number for Wednesday, it sure is writing its own history, as this is pretty much against all the drop patterns of previous movies. Let's just hope, thistrend continues and doesn't end up in a big drop for TG and a muted jump for Black Friday. It's pretty exciting though. To be fair, results from the rest of the world hinted, that that 130m-opening was a bit low in comparison, so a huge rebound over the holiday weekend kind of was expected.
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To answer that question: It depends. Germany is very dependant on weather and as most big animation movies open in summer, there is a huge variety. Pets 2 for example had a ridiculous multiplier of 12,5!!! On the other hand, a winter opener HTTYD3 only had a multiplier of 3,6 in february, because weekend #2 and #3 were hit hard with perfect spring weather, that put the multiplier down and the movie never recovered. Frozen should be fine in terms of weather, unless there's a snow chaos. Another enemy of the cinemas. In the End, I would expect a multiplier between 3 and 4. It should play well into the holidays, though, as Jumanji and Spies in Disguise won't play too well here I guess.
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Those are huge jumps. This might re-write the whole structure we were used to on this Holiday weekend. Will this be the first year a kids movie drops 10%+ on wednesday before TG?
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