TBH, I'm getting a POTC vibe from this:
Will = CJS. Everyone laughed at him when they saw images and trailer but he became iconic once people saw the actual performance. Buzz has been great about Will's so that's what. I'm sure that his look will mash well with his take on the character
Jasmine = Elizabeth. Big break for Keira and big break for Naomi
Aladdin = Will. The blandest and least popular. The actor (Bloom) became more famous for dating models and singers than acting. This one should disappear faster.
I don't like Aladdin actor cause he looks like a douche. I'm getting Amazing Spiderman vibe from him.
But Naomi looks great and Will is Will. Looks fun and I don't know why people expected a CGI blue Genie. we were told Will will look like Will no?
Hobbit is a bad example cause it received critical meh-ness, those numbers are inflated by 3D so it definitely made less than LOTR movies and fans shrugged them off (don't generate talk like The prequels). As @Elessar says, LOTR made him immortal. And I say, true, and Hobbit made him mortal.
But if he wins Documentary, that will be nice. What is his Documentary, BTW?
tell that to Kanjiclub Inarritu who won Best Director back to back or Cuaron who's also returning to Best Director race. Some people reach the peak and then reach it again or don't fall off the cliff so easily.
I do think that isolation from the industry is his main problem.
I think that his problem is his stubbornness to film everything in NZ exclusively (including recreating NYC there instead of filming on location, etc). That won't attract lots of top talent to his movies. Taika Waititi's gonna surpass him as NZ's greatest the way things look cause he's flexible, works everywhere.