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Valonqar

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Everything posted by Valonqar

  1. Now that's a seal of approval for me. I love Djimon and movies he's in. Always some epic stuff.
  2. Djimon is in this? Fuck yeah, now I know it's a great movie. Gladiator, GOTG, all classics. he's in CM too isn't he?
  3. Sony proved truly out of touch with this one. Right before the release, they literally forgot about Miles and made it all about Gwen. Gwen gets a spin-off. Gwen gets to be the co-lead in the sequel. This movie is adventures of Gwen and Miles (erm, no). Gwen, Gwen, Gwen. Then the movie opened and women and girls were nowhere to be found. Instead, single white men showed up. Does not bode well for Gwen toys. have a feeling Mary Poppins doll is gonna obliterate it in sales.
  4. Not yet. the final nail in the coffin's coming out next year unless it get pushed back again to 2020 - Holland/Ridley Blond Wigfest Chaos Walking. When that bombs, YA will be finished cause these 2 are at least household names thanks to their franchises. ME had no stars so that will be prescribed to flopping. But when Spidey and Rey bomb than Hollywood will know it's over.
  5. I was one of Spiderverse over-predictors so now I'll take a more cautious approach. I think we should take demo breakdown into consideration when trying to gauge legs because WOM doesn't work in a vacuum. It's very much tied to demos. For example, Spiderverse OW audience skewed way too male, white and older than 25. So a family with small children will not value a movie recommendation from a nerdy bachelor the same way they value recommendation from another family with small children. Spiderverse didn't attract families, women, African American audience, teenagers. Mary Poppins Returns will play well with families and women so I don't know how many of them will skip it in order to catch up with Spiderverse because reviews and single men say it's the best nerd comic book movie ever. Moreover, Aquaman is bound to be a classic 4 quadrant so men, women, families, minorities, teenagers. Again, how many will skip it in order to check out an animated version of the hero who has live action franchise, especially in the wake of another live action superhero opening? I can't speak for African American audience but maybe an African American hero whose idol is white and who is continuing that white idol's legacy including flirting with the white idol's white girlfriend from AU, is not exactly a hero that represents them? At least girls aren't represented by Gwen unlike BP where girls are plenty represented by Okoye, Shuri, Nakia, Dora Miljae, the Queen. I don't know. can't speak for this audience but I can see why BP was way better representation. Finally, the movie opened in under 4000 theaters and had under 10K PTA. That's not hot. Many 4000+ theater openers, manage at least north of 12K (Bohemian Rhapsody, for example). I may be wrong but I thought that there's some correlation between PTA and legs. maybe not. Like, PTA isn't terrible or anything and it may go up with actuals, just that it isn't fantastic especially since lower theater count should result in higher PTA.
  6. Aquaman is making more than other 3 combined.
  7. that's a super low African American % (even Widows mustered 22% which is still low compared to BP and Creed) but not surprising because aside an African American/Latino hero, the movie is pretty much white. The mentor is white, love interest is white, villain is white. It's really more a movie for whites than anyone else. Ethnicity of the lead doesn't necessarily make a movie for that ethnicity first. Not surprised by huge male appeal over female. My sisters loved it but they were almost only girls in the cinema and they told me they couldn't get their girlfriends excited about it even with all praise. They all want to see Aquaman cause "he's so hot".
  8. it still sucks that it had to share with MEga bomb. such waste of screens. I understand MPR and Aquaman getting them casue interest is huge and movies have epic scale, but ME was a bomb in making that one could see from miles away.
  9. it needs 30M to break even. It's doable. Like I said, it's made for awards so it only needs to appear successful before nominations.
  10. Expected, that kind of movie always has huge PTA in few theaters and it's Fizzle City from there. Arty slogs never expend really well beyond certain limited number of theaters. But it only needs to post big PTA from few during the holiday season to keep awards buzz hot. after that, who cares once nominations are out. it was never competing for wins anyway save King.
  11. Not really. the movie was charming and everyone was in love with Meghan. I remember guys couldn't stop talking about her.
  12. Is that good for Aquaman? Awful for the rest.
  13. I'm not worried about Spidey. Deadline always under-predicts Friday. 40M is the floor. The Mule seems like a good counter-programming.
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