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Everything posted by JB33
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I realize this comparison is probably useless, but the last November animation from Disney to open on a Friday - Big Hero 6 on November 7, 2014 - saw a 66.9% Saturday bump from true Friday. Again, I know it was 5 years ago and much smaller numbers but there's some basis for a huge Saturday increase for this kind of film.
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Terminator: Dark Fate | Nov 1 2019 | Estimated to lose 122.6M
JB33 replied to grim22's topic in Box Office Discussion
Don't give @IronJimbo any ideas! -
My thoughts almost exactly. The first act was the weakest. The pacing was off I felt. The film just jumped from scene to scene, seemingly just meandering until the meat of the story kicked in. I know what you mean about the singing too (in the beginning). Felt like the writers were chomping at the bit to get songs in. The last two acts were great, the last one being absolutely brilliant! I don't really need to go on more as you pretty much covered it. I agree with everything.
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21 Bridges | Nov 22 2019 | STX | Chadwick Boseman
JB33 replied to Box Office Hit's topic in Box Office Discussion
Oh, don't I know it. I'm just hoping it's GOOD enough that the quality can cancel out the lack of originality. Like I said, all for the sake of positive stories at the box office. I don't even care what they are (besides the obvious ones). -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
JB33 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
That's good to hear! I agree that a high multi (aka over 15) isn't very far-fetched. There's just so much demand to see this that won't be burned off on Thursday night. We're talking about a ton of families who are content to take their kids on Friday evening/Saturday/Sunday, rather than catch a Thursday preview. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
JB33 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Yep, makes sense. They're right back to the Wednesday release date with Raya and the Last Dragon next year so this was a one-off. It also helped that there wasn't a big tentpole opening on this date like there usually is on the pre-Thanksgiving weekend. 2018: Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (November 16) 2017: Justice League (November 17) 2016: Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them (November 18) 2015: The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 2 (November 20) 2014: The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1 (November 21) 2013: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (November 22) 2012: The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2 (November 16) 2011: The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 (November 18) 2010: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 1 (November 19) 2009: The Twilight Saga: New Moon (November 20) 2008: Twilight (November 21) That's a pretty long standing tradition on the movie calendar. Disney had a huge opportunity this year and they took it I guess. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
JB33 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I wonder if it was the sheer size of this movie that made Disney break with tradition and release it over the pre-Thanksgiving weekend, rather than midweek like they usually do with their Thanksgiving animations. Maybe they wanted the headlines that come with a big opening weekend. I also wonder what kind of an opening day this could have had if it was released on Wednesday the 27th. -
Thanks! I didn't see it on their twitter feed but didn't even think to check the website haha.
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Did anyone see an estimated location count for Queen & Slim reported anywhere?
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
JB33 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Yeah was just going to say that the hold next weekend will undoubtedly be really strong, compensating for the OW if in fact it's depressed in any way (which it very well could be because of the luxury many folks will have of seeing it during the week or following weekend). -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
JB33 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
In all seriousness (and this is probably not news to you or any of the other regular trackers in this thread), I'm having a lot of trouble finding a comp for this as far as multis go. Someone made a really good point earlier that no non-summer animation has ever opened over $70M, which never really occurred to me even if plain to see. This really is kind of uncharted territory. What muddies the waters even more is this is a Friday opener, whereas Disney has customarily opened their Thanksgiving animation films on Wednesday for awhile now. 14 is the multi I've seen thrown around a few times, which would result in a $129.5M OW based on $9.25M previews. Can't help but think the weekend can go higher than that based on F/S/S presales. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
JB33 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Hey @Porthos Would NOW be a good time to ask you your thoughts on the multi? -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
JB33 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I know Frozen II will do amazing business regardless, but I am pretty surprised most signs are pointing to below $10M in previews. Sales are really good throughout the whole weekend so obviously the multi is going to be really strong though. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
JB33 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
So the November record is.... out the window?