Barnack

It still did almost 100m, it is a good step above those 100m+ movie not reaching 50m WW.

Those were the days with reals bombs.... When was the last studio movie with a 100m budget doing Mars Needs Moms/The Adventures of Pluto Nash/The Alamo type of WW performance ?

This I remember clearly you saying you didn't like it (not that relevant on the box office message board) but that audience will ate that up (relevant). Third act is a bit of a mess, but the movie built up energy and good will (and the crowd energy around you) make you go through it imo (that the kind of third act that will not have passed for a movie less strong before it, like what happened to Tomorrowland)

Shape of water could win BP I guess: https://www.oddschecker.com/awards/oscars/best-picture

Not sure I would call it a bomb, a small budget mgm release with a 15% RT score projected to do almost the same as a Clint Eastwood/Liam Neeson action movie opening, I would think many expected a Sin city 2 OW one year ago for that title.

I was just thinking the other day that Del Toro love is monster so much that it made the villains just ridiculous over the top caricature.

Box office pro Rampage predictions do seem a bit strange no ? I imagine that it is a purely if it does not move scenario.

Yep is there a big difference from releasing 1 week before dom ? Am I missing something holiday wise or something like that ?

Kudos for someone to use the expression hot take for something that really few people in the world would agree with. P.S. Not sure how much luck someone that look like Chris need to succeed in life.

I could imagine them hard to moneytise those who do not get for your consideration campaign money. There is always like 50 free platform that all steal someone story the hours you write an article about anything (and people often do not click on the link of the source and sometime the first original article is 3-4 step down, they even share the stolen version online on twitter/message board)

Really match the role, but he would be 50+ on is first Bond movie if they want the possibility of a 12/13 year's run like Craig had he could be bit old , that said using my previous mention of the 65 year's old Liam Neeson reference to older action star, some people can sell action quite late in their career.

Or the age to start doing them !

No release date yet, would be surprising if it get released in that market: https://movie.douban.com/coming

There is not really any hard rules apply to all, from all the world release movie by Sony from 2006-2014, doubling your budget + participation bonus at the break even point was almost certain to make you break even, but it could be much lower than that (some movie break even at 1.6x time their budget) or much higher. It depend of were the money come from (market wise, different return by average bo), depend of the talent/producer deal, depend of the market that were pre-sold, year of release (movie released during the 2006-2010 dvd bubble peak could break even making 1.45 time their budget at the box office), world P&A expense relative to the budget, success on Home video (Den of Thieves/Jason Statham type of movie expect to make a larger proportion of their overall revenues after theatrical than the 3D must see in theater affair for example), etc... And from the studio point of view, the co-financier deal they had change that point quite a bit also (they often take bigger risk than the studio that pay itself first more, a bit like in that Blade Runner example). No really a strict rules and the rules of thumbs to use are still more complex than that, but yes many movie break even around double the budget, some take much more, when they have 90s actor/director used too and still getting first dollar gross point. Using 22 Jump street for a recent 70m net budget movie break even point example (budget up at 76m with the participation bonus at that point), in the Sony leaked accounting they expected to break even at 121m WW on 22 Jump Street, 1.75 time it's budget, 1.58 times it's budget + bonus, but with a very domestic heavy split of 74mdbo/47m intl), but I am sure I could find a 70m movie needing 150m with a different expected split/bonus structure. Each movie is a bit of is own story. For Allied (other recent spy movie with an expected 70m net budget), Sony thought that he needed to do: $167 WWBO ($67 DBO / $100M IBO) for the movie to make sense for them, with a $100M DBO / $130M IBO wished target.

Missing some market (China and probably Russia) make it not easy. With a 35 dbo/65 intl split, need to do around 60-65m domestic to achieve that number (target easy to miss if it open around 18m, considering the anti-crowd pleasing nature of the movie according to the reviews). Those Hungary production nice price tag give it a chance too (that what saved Inferno not so long ago).

Good money to be made (because he is not the favorite at all among odds maker/people placing bet at the moment) https://www.oddschecker.com/novelty/specials/james-bond/next-james-bond http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/en-gb/betting/e/1075072/Next-James-Bond-After-Daniel-Craig.html Has someone suspected by the press to be the next Bond ever got pick by the Broccoli's ?

Fair to assume Death Wish will be more walk in heavy too ? less seat designed screening ? Is Imax screen on pulse ? A bit older crowd, etc...

Extremely strong performance and fearless in that one, kind of perfectly cast for Fight Club.

Since is great 2011 output there isn't much there from him it is true, but it could be mostly because he act in what he produce and play the nicest hero guy to a point of ridicule (like that terrible ending of Fury), could be different in a QT movie.

In the top 3 most useful batteries format adjusted for inflation imo, even popular overseas.

At least no one saw the Cook Off movie last year and The Boss still opened.

Many movies called The Avengers already existed: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=avengers.htm http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0054518/?ref_=nv_sr_2 in the UK they changed the name even more to Marvel Avengers Assemble to distinguish it more from the 1998 Avengers movie with a terrible reputation maybe ? When it happen mojo like to use a distinguishing element if possible.

I thought the question was more partnership vs selling. You can decide to pay someone to distribute your movie either a fix fee like Mel Gibson was forced to do a one point because no one wanted to distribute is stuff or give a percentage and/or a mix, I think right ? Vs outright sell the market to someone that get all the profit (or the loss) from it.

Safe bet, at least in the pass they were even selling distribution rights of Hunger Game, but at the time of the first HG it was not even an option just in term of cash flow to be able to finance the production and domestic release cost. I think they still do it for the safer venture like Power Rangers. If fact do Liongates sometime partner type of deal for International rights instead of outright selling ? I kind of always assume that every Liongates production always sold the oversea markets.

Should wait monday to say that.... Could easily do 15-16m vs 16.7m for American Made, American Made was a very well received Tom Cruise movie with a very short an easy to explain high concept with a nice set piece in the trailer, with a much lower competition (no movie made 20m that weekend, Red Sparrow is like trying to open wide against a Ant-Man level MCU opening), it is never automatic for an "original" movie to beat that mark.