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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Cooper Legion
    Come back to me in 7 weeks.
  2. Cooper Legion
    Posting to note I was on the 1 Billie train before it was cool.
  3. Cooper Legion
    Wow, Sat and Sun doing some heavy lifting, OW won’t be nearly as far behind SMH as I was thinking a couple days ago.
  4. Cooper Legion
    With previews included Jurassic Park opened to 50.16.
  5. Cooper Legion
    It’s interesting how the % growth needed goes down each time but the temporal gap hasn’t (yet) gotten any smaller. Should see 300M before 2023 imo, but not sure what movie it’d be if not Endgame.
  6. Cooper Legion
    Ugh, just realized that stupid daylight savings time will put me an hour further away from China numbers. At least there’s usually a pretty decent idea of where the day is headed by 15:00.
  7. Cooper Legion
    The PS to total multiplier will be really low for an 8.8. The PS were insane, so the total is still solid — but it looks like it may underperform in China relative to OS-C.
  8. Cooper Legion
    I like how the optimistic WW might be low by a double digit %
  9. Cooper Legion
    Can’t tell if you’ve got really poor reading comprehension or just like lying about my position
  10. Cooper Legion
    $430-480
  11. Cooper Legion
    “Less than 90” as in 89.5+ 😛 I still think it will beat that, low 90s. But anyway that was accounted for in my range, the OS-C gross overperformance more than compensates forChina coming in slightly below I hoped.
  12. Cooper Legion
    Hey! If you're going to subtweet Quigley and I, get the facts right at least. It’s 1B that was not that impressive anymore, not 1.1. I dunno how anybody can look at the 42+ Billie films we’ll have by end of year vs the 2 we had a decade ago and not realize that they’re becoming much less impressive (though still great and uncommon accomplishments).
  13. Cooper Legion
    Hard to see it below TDKR at this rate, or above I2.
  14. Cooper Legion
    Headed for the 4th highest MCU OW at best in Mexico, as I understand it. Should be 1st or 2nd best in the other countries I mentioned, which was my informal threshold for “what the hell is going on.”
  15. Cooper Legion
    Hopefully beats this by a good amount. If not is ¥605 wknd, just 8.3x final OD PS. Important to keep in mind if CM2 also opens Women’s Day
  16. Cooper Legion
    I know this is super early, but what range of legs seems reasonable considering similar movies, upcoming competition, and early indicators of reception?
  17. Cooper Legion
    Thursday previews will start Wednesday midnight and still get rolled into Friday. Search your feelings, you know it to be true.
  18. Cooper Legion
    ... WAT!? Guess I’ll add HK to Indonesia, India, Vietnam, and Brazil as a territory where CM is doing numbers I still can’t fully get myself to believe.
  19. Cooper Legion
    That over Catching Fire club will be tough after all. Needs a pretty strong Sat number.
  20. Cooper Legion
    We have no idea what the level of plot connection between AEG and FFH is, so no one can really answer your question for another 7 weeks. But FFH doesn’t have to bump much from SMH for a Billie, really quite realistic.
  21. Cooper Legion
    Quite likely now that the average phase 3 WW gross will be over Civil War. I’m not one of those “MCU will decline after Endgame and never recover” people, but the 2016-2019 run is something that could be difficult for it or any other franchise to replicate for a long, long time.
  22. Cooper Legion
    Hmm, this appears to be a classic case of 15+15=40. I’m sure we’ve all been there before Thanks for the catch, but the basic conclusion that it’s quite hard to fall below $90M still holds
  23. Cooper Legion
    Oh, for sure. 90USD only needs 605¥, already 230¥ so just 375 needed from Sat+Sun. A 225 Sat would get there even with a whopping 33.3% Sun drop.
  24. Cooper Legion
    139.3/41.3 Pure Frday:Pure FSS multiple would be about 3.37. A bit high seeming, but Saturday’s have been strong recently, might continue.
  25. Cooper Legion
    Hourly gain will be about 10% above the projection from 13:00, new projected total from the sheet likely mid-high 250s. Still early, large error bars in both directions but seems healthy enough to me. Edit: Yup, 259
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