Legion Again

Yeah, those estimates had a wacky low Sunday, I was pretty sure we were getting a less than 25% drop. This does not mean that 700 is looking that great everyone, it still needs to make almost exactly 4x this weekend. I think if IW has a positive impact on it 700 will happen, but otherwise still heading for the 690s. Edit: Also good for a top 10 8th weekend, just missing 9th place. First weekend below Jumanji.

Harrelson: yes Glover: yes Emilia Clarke: yes Chewie: yes Han? Ehhhhhhh

Really looks like it’ll pass Deathly Hallows to me with 1.345+. Might pass Hallows slower than Infinity War though, in which case it would never actually be at #8. Edit: corrected figure

Only need a 2.2 Sunday (44% drop) to pass Sixth Sense and get a 10th best 8th wknd. A good Sunday hold gets it past There’s Something about Mary’s 8.8 for 9th best.

A Quiet Place doing great, but that’s also a nice Saturday number for BP. 8.8+ for the weekend is very possible with 2.33 Fri and 3.9 Sat.

MCU coming for that 5/10 WW top 10 spots. It’ll probably happen next May/June unless JW2 can clear Panther. Edit: Unlikely to last very long of course, with Lion King, SWIX, Avatar 2, etc.

40M including this weekend, grey ghost said. And that sounds closer to me than 40M after this weekend. Would be a 697 total. At that point a little under 640 OS passes TLJ (looks good to me) and it only takes about 645 OS to pass DH2 (more dicey).

8.2 would basically preserve the 690-700 range we’ve had for a while, really hope we can wring a few hundred thousand more out of the actuals.

Takes some pretty bad % numbers for Fri, Sat, Sun to miss 9M from here.

Less than 3 weeks til the party starts.

Cross posting from the BP thread: BP has had another unexpectedly strong week, and the question on everyone’s mind is still “can BP hit 700.” So for this installment we’re doing something a little different. Rather than projecting BP’s final gross based on the 8th weekend multiplier of the ensemble movies, we’re going to see what 8th weekend figure BP would need to hit 700 exactly with a comparable multiplier. TFA 8M TA 9.6M BATB 10.2M Jungle Book 9.2M Jurassic World 6.8M TDK 8.85M WW 7M Jumanji2 8.95M Zootopia 9M SM:H 6.7M We’re entering a period for some movies (JW in particular) where a substantial portion of their remaining movie is from a Labor Day reexpansion, which complicates things a bit. BP of course will not get a Labor Day reexpansion, but it may have a somewhat similar effect from IW. I am personally expecting a weekend in the 9s, which keeps things a nailbiter. This is the first time in about a month that I would give BP better than even odds of making it though.

BP has never had a Thursday drop of more than 6%, so we should be looking at a 1.3-1.5M Thursday to get to 657. Can’t miss Titanic on Friday at that point.

What in the world!? 16% drop off a very respectable Tuesday. 9M+ weekend looking very possible still. Good shot to beat Titanic on Friday now too.

Absolutely fantastic resources, thank you. Looks like Ragnarok finished with 7.07, so 7.3 might even be in reach for Panther.

Looks like Peter Rabbit is doing pretty well. Now that BP has dropped out of the top 4 you can’t get the nice visual rectangle summary for it, right? How’s it going compared to the other high-performing MCU movies at a similar point in their run?

Actually pretty decent I’d say. Maybe 35% or so.

2.5+4.3+2.8 is 9.6 Those daily numbers look look pretty good to me though. I guess my forecast would be something like: 1.2 1.2 2.5 4 2.7 which would still be 9.2.

BP and Frozen are both better than TDKR, so nice to see that both will beat it OS in addition to WW.

Wow, really sad to see that Black Panther has only made $2,018 unadjusted. Just benefitting from some really crazy inflation, I guess.

Not sure this will really happen before BP’s run is essentially over. Also, I wonder if BP can snag the number 2 spot on Tuesday.

Ahh, I see. Rather annoying that BOM market specific numbers and total international figure are totally desynced like that, but I guess I can see how it would be a bother for them to keep everything updated and in correspondence.

The 780 is with an outdated japan figure though, right? BOM currently shows 780 with 15.9 from Japan, so the actual figure after this weekend should be 790 and only 10 more needed.

Well, yeah. Picked it precisely to make a stark comparison, weakest in recent history. Still crazy to me that the same amount of money can be 3rd vs 13th so close to each other.

It only needs 36M or so from Japan to pass 800, right? Seem quite likely. That would give 2017 11 movies at 800+, clobbering the previous record (2016, with 8). Funny that just 3 years earlier GotG made worldwide top 3 with 773, and in 2017 that would only get you 13th O.O

Poppins+Wreck-it 2 are literally more likely to do 3x Aquaman than fall below Aquaman.