charlie Jatinder

Demon Slayer Worldwide till 29 Nov 2020 Japan - $262.85mn Taiwan - $17.65mn Hong Kong - $3.35mn Total - $284.35mn Approx

China will go for $20mn weekend, $50-60mn fill run can be expected.

Ok let's start Asia: $190-215mn China could perhaps be looking at $125mn or so. Japan should go on to enjoy holidays, $15-20mn I guess. Saudi Arabia could clear $10mn, UAE/GCC can easily outscore Mulan which did like $2.4mn in UAE, so overall Middle East perhaps $15mn. Taiwan can go upto $10-15mn easily. Korea November releases grossed $30mn, WW84 perhaps $10-15mn depending on piracy. India piracy will kill it, $5mn best case scenario IMO. Rest perhaps another $10-20mn. Oceania ANZ should have been a big market but with HBO release donno how piracy will impact. Europe Europe did really well for TENET grossing $140mn Approx but after COVID 2nd wave and direct HBO release, not sure what to expect really. May be another $50-90mn with strong Nordic Europe. Latin America DC is huge there but cinema reopening is very slow. Original WW did $77mn here, which would be around $50mn adjusted for exchange rates. May be $10mn or so can be done. All this gives about $265-340mn Approx.

At 10:30 quite good numbers for Croods 2. May be 45mn ($7mn) Saturday. Weekend can be 105mn ($16mn) range.

I think A$16-17mn can be done with XMAS coming but Digital release will halt.

Felt pretty averagish to me but I guess I needed context to many things. Also, "Baby Yoda" FTW.

So spectators are back in ground. 100 from Smithy. loved to see Maxi going.

Excellent 4th weekend with NT$47.2mn, dropping just 37.6%. The total till Sunday was NT$456.65mn or $15.99mn. Monday hold also brilliant, just 25% down weekly. This is seriously pushing toward NT$600mn with the Christmas and New Year boost later in the run.

Demon Slayer Worldwide till 23 Nov 2020 Japan - $247.53mn Taiwan - $16.18mn Hong Kong - $3.15mn Total - $267.3mn Approx

The way Asian countries are back at normal without vaccine I think rest of world will too. On that note, Civil War which was said to be Avengers 2.5, did about 80% of Age of Ultron. Now 80% of Endgame is really a big number but I think 80% of Infinity War could be do-able for Thor 4. Breaking it out, 80% Domestically will mean around $540mn bit high but doable. (Civil War ratio $620mn adjusted for ER) 80% in China will mean $300mn (totally doable) may be even more. (Civil War ratio $318mn) 80% in OS-C will be $795mn. Far From Home did about $540mn while Captain Marvel did around $546mn. For $795mn, it will need roughly 40% growth + a new massive market Saudi Arabia which can $30-40mn range. (Civil War ratio $795mn not adjusted for ER, perhaps $850mn) $1635mn (Civil War ratio $1790mn) That said, let's go $1.5Bn.

I hope Soul does better but ofcourse the dumb Disney releasing HD print day and date isn't helping.

Demon Slayer Projection Demon Slayer Date Weekly % +/- LW To Date Week Oct 10-16 ¥1,268,725,000 ¥1,268,725,000 0 Oct 17-23 ¥6,444,058,000 407.92% ¥7,712,783,000 1 Oct 24-30 ¥5,588,449,000 -13.28% ¥13,301,232,000 2 Oct 31-Nov 06 ¥5,409,454,000 -3.20% ¥18,710,686,000 3 Nov 07-13 ¥3,116,948,000 -42.38% ¥21,827,634,000 4 Nov 14-20 ¥2,550,000,000 -18.19% ¥24,377,634,000 5 Nov 21-27 ¥2,200,000,000 -13.73% ¥26,577,634,000 6 Nov 28-Dec 04 ¥1,650,000,000 -25.00% ¥28,227,634,000 7 Dec 05-11 ¥1,072,500,000 -35.00% ¥29,300,134,000 8 Dec 12-18 ¥858,000,000 -20.00% ¥30,158,134,000 9 Dec 19-25 ¥1,072,500,000 25.00% ¥31,230,634,000 10 Dec 26-Jan 01 ¥1,287,000,000 20.00% ¥32,517,634,000 11 Jan 02-08 ¥1,158,300,000 -10.00% ¥33,675,934,000 12 Jan 09-15 ¥579,150,000 -50.00% ¥34,255,084,000 13 Jan 16-22 ¥347,490,000 -40.00% ¥34,602,574,000 14 Jan 23-29 ¥260,617,500 -25.00% ¥34,863,191,500 15 Jan 30-Feb 05 ¥182,432,250 -30.00% ¥35,045,623,750 16 ETA Spirited Away unless theaters are closed or something, Dec 27th or Dec 28th.

This is legit funny.

I think its sequel.

Indians who know English would be around 200mn range, not entire country know English.

@Jamiem I mean generally like piracy in India means your film is done. Almot 30-50% of business is written off, may be more. Is it same in Australia. There is no home media market in India, but I believe the country where home media market exist, piracy will be lower threat to box office. Also I have a hard time believing Australia will be even close to USA, India and China in terms of absolute traffic. There are some absolute stats for S07, Australia is way behind. https://www.statista.com/statistics/707063/game-of-thrones-piracy-countries/ But here's another in which India is way ahead of China and US. https://www.digit.in/news/entertainment/game-of-thrones-season-8-premiere-pirated-55-million-times-in-24-hours-18-of-illegal-views-originate-47570.html And the extent will be even bigger because a lot of spread of piracy is from one source who download and then share to multiple persons offline, though that must have reduced since 2016 as now everyone has like 2 GB 4G data each day.

Frankly speaking, keep it standalone out of MCU. why complicate things? and of course they will joke about it in the film. Even I feel that DP3 will fall domestically, OS may grow in Asia.

@Gavin Feng anything on Demon Slayer yet? Also how much do you think COVID is still impacting the business? or its completely normal.

FWIW trequel can claim a jump of perhaps 300%.

Ok not looking like $16mn 3 days, more like $13mn.

I am thinking $16mn too, which will take it to $249.5mn.

For an origin film, it did well overseas. In India, Iirc it did some $4mn, would have done $12mn range without HBO piracy. I would have said COVID, but when restrauant are back to their normal I wonder why theater won't.

TENET opened $10mn Approx ($50-60mn in normalcy perhaps). WW84 should have done $150mn easily on that date in normalcy. So WW84 was perhaps looking at something like $25mn but now I believe $10mn would be about right due to HBO.

I believe then piracy is no threat in Australia. or we will have to use some *.