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Menor the Destroyer

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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer

  1. Menor the Destroyer
    Under 25 people are (reasonably) much less worried about Covid risks. Also it's a summer release. Edit: Actually summer may not affect things that much. Homecoming was 59% over 25 for the weekend (probably 62% for Friday) and the same for AMATW. Maybe just Covid or more older audiences (and parents) are opting for PA.
  2. Menor the Destroyer
    A good setup episode for what I assume will be one hell of a conflagration next week (unless this is a longer arc than just two, which would be nice). I liked seeing different viewpoints on the Imperial occupation. I do still feel like this show is missing a bit of emotional connection compared to TCW or Rebels so I hope next episode is more focused on the Bad Batch.
  3. Menor the Destroyer
    You seem to be really desperate to call this a disappointment. 100 was never the expectation from a 13.2 million Thursday.
  4. Menor the Destroyer
    Idk what to expect from What If or Ms. Marvel. Shang-Chi looks entertaining to me, but I have a gut feeling that it may have the same third act issues. Eternals is my hope to kick things back up to high gear. I actually did think that the flying castle was a good idea in this film. With a better storyline inside that fortress it would have worked out great. Maybe if the mind-control release worked, but some of the Widows still wanted to stay, and there ended up being a fight between the Widows who wanted to be free and those who wanted to stay. And there was no need to blow up the fortress. Should have stuck to the skydiving aspect and left out the explosions.
  5. Menor the Destroyer
    Recent trend in Phase 4 has been rushed endings. Happened in WV, Falcon, now this, and I suspect it will happen in Loki as well. I don't recall this ever being a problem in Phase 3, so I'm not really sure why it's cropped up now, but it really hampered this film. With the performances and the good chemistry between the "family", this should have been top-tier MCU.
  6. Menor the Destroyer
    I have a similar wide range on Spider-Man. Either could be very good or just a disastrous mess.
  7. Menor the Destroyer
    Counting Disney+
  8. Menor the Destroyer
    I think I had a higher opinion of the first two acts than you. For me those were top tier MCU.
  9. Menor the Destroyer
    I mean this is a movie where the best moments are all in the first two acts and third act is weaker. For example I think it was overall a better film than CM but CM had the stronger third act. So it makes sense that CM has a better Cinemascore.
  10. Menor the Destroyer
    Yeah I didn't understand that part either. It seemed like he was obviously lying but then why ask?
  11. Menor the Destroyer
    87 seems likely with 13.2-27-26-21.
  12. Menor the Destroyer
    Enjoyed this quite a bit, with a better third act it would have been top tier MCU, as of now mid tier. Still probably my favorite release of phase 4 so far.
  13. Menor the Destroyer
    Something must be off with my MTC2 numbers. From early afternoon it was looking way higher. Won't post those for future films until I figure it out.
  14. Menor the Destroyer
    I don't track MTC1. Based on this pace in MTC2 I would guess it goes to about 470k (33% ahead of F9).
  15. Menor the Destroyer
    I did an afternoon run on MTC2 and it was at 257805. The run is taking 3 hours so I can't put an exact timestamp on it. But I timed it to match an equivalent run for F9 and it's 68k tickets ahead at the same point. Should finish the day at 75-80k tickets ahead I guess (377-382k MTC2). That would be about 26-27% over F9.
  16. Menor the Destroyer
    Not sure about the age skew, but I was factoring in something of a pace ratio drop as we go into the night just based on the fact that BW has sold a lot more already. Obviously if it just really stalls out then it will go below what I said. But it didn't really do that yesterday so I don't think that will happen today. However, I think even if it falls below my expectations, it will still do pretty well. I don't see it dropping below 40 (26.8 True Friday) whatsoever and that will still be pretty good.
  17. Menor the Destroyer
    I think 470k at MTC1 and 380k at MTC2 is quite possible. F9 had 355k and 300k so that translates into about 29.5 million.
  18. Menor the Destroyer
    I was expecting 40 at the beginning of today but based on MTC numbers I think it's likely to go higher, like 42-43. But we are in early afternoon and the evening will tell the tale. Edit: Was trying to be cautious but I guess I can't resist being optimistic. I think 42-43 is likely based on some quick comparisons to F9.
  19. Menor the Destroyer
    Posted this in the tracking thread but I think they are being conservative. For F9 they said 29.5 million. For this they are giving the vague "40+" million. Maybe wishful thinking on my part, we'll see.
  20. Menor the Destroyer
    Phrasing is "40M+". Not sure if that means they are being conservative or if it's just inexact phrasing from Deadline, and the estimate is indeed 40 million on the dot. Neither would surprise me. Ok looking at F9 they said 29.5 million almost exactly. Fairly certain they are being conservative.
  21. Menor the Destroyer
    Went off of F9 numbers you posted for MTC1 (197k at 1:05 Central) and the numbers I had down for MTC2. Yeah we will know more come evening.
  22. Menor the Destroyer
    Summer (tends to depress preview multis), 5 PM preview start time (tends to depress preview multis), and PA (will probably affect FSS more than previews).
  23. Menor the Destroyer
    If I read this right it should be about a 95k lead over F9 at the same point in MTC1, and about a 60k lead in MTC2.
  24. Menor the Destroyer
    F9 did 300k yeah but at the start of the day it should have only been about 130k I think, BW is already at least 50k higher. I don't think it should lose ground from here even if it doesn't gain much. We will see how it goes.
  25. Menor the Destroyer
    F9 was about 170k at MTC1 at a similar point if I interpret your posts on that day correctly. If BW added an identical amount of tickets from this point onward until your 7 PM PT update then it will be at 434k which would be about 1.23x F9 (28 million). Could even go higher. We may be in for a nice Friday I guess, fingers crossed.
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