it will finish below FFH? FFH has 8M admits
did you apply a better WOM factor and holiday weeks, school winter holiday factor into this projection yet? These things FFH didn't have back then
The number of death now is even lower than one month ago despite the rise in number of new cases. That's the most important thing people should look at.
In my country, majority of deaths and in serious condition are people who didn't fully vaccianted yet and people with lots of other illnesses already. All of them are 50+ years old, apparently not a single person who <50 years olds and fully vaccinated died yet.
Why not just require masks inside the cinema and only allow people who already fully vaccinated enter? Many countries are doing that. At worst, can apply the capacity restriction.
What is the point of 2 weeks lockdown? Most people already fully vaccinated. Most of people who died or in serious condition are the ones didn't fully vacinnated yet.
Lockdown to protect people who have not vaccinated/don't want to vacine?
If number of new cases rises but the deaths still the same level, then it's not dangerous. Vaccine is doing its work.