Cheddar Please
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Everything posted by Cheddar Please
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Positive, not raving. It's well received enough to be doing conventionally well, but anyone hoping for A1 or TGM level reception or legs should be seriously worried at the signs atm -
I will actually say I feel like his comments negatively affected interest in the film. I remember during Top Gun's press tour the focus was on hying up Cruise's long awaited return and the cool stunts. The media attention felt hype. Whereas with A2 I couldn't go a day on my news feed without seeing some sort of arrogant comment from Cameron. That doesn't make people want to go see a film, in fact I have friends who said those articles made them actively lose interest in seeing it
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Avatar: The Way of Water Second Weekend Guesspalooza! CLOSED!
Cheddar Please replied to Deep Wang's topic in The Speakeasy
$67M (ironically my initial TGM 2nd wknd prediction as well) -
Then how come the original didn't suffer from this. At what point do we admit it's the movie that's the issue
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Well, if they're wrong at least we'll have something to laugh at in the morning (My over RO locked prediction already seems to be aging like milk...)
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Congratulations you're a prophet
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Agreed, I feel like this comment from the r/boxoffice thread sums it up quite nicely BTW 34% of the subreddit predicted >20m
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I agree that it's definitely a bit too early to tell, given that TGM was comping almost equally against Finding Dory for most of the first week, but given that people here were projecting $18m, and I expected it to take the over on RO, this is somewhat concerning for 4x to say the least
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Meltdown alert!
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Also I will say seeing A2 fail to take off but being far from a bomb and just doing ok is exactly what I expected lol
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Been lurking for the last week, kinda lost interest after our lord and savior Top Gun, 4x seems reasonable, rn I'd say guidance is 550-650m (I feel like over RO's 532m seems pretty assured given reception), I will say though I don't think A2 will pass TGM by that much overseas, in fact I'm gonna take the under on TGM WW-C atm, currently projecting 1.5-1.6B WW, 630m DOM
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Cheddar Please replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Tbf at that point wouldn't theaters just put Top Gun back up themselves if it has the highest PTA by then -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Cheddar Please replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Out of curiosity I checked all the theaters in NYC, and it looks like NONE of them have even a single IMAX screening for Top Gun this weekend (albeit a decent amount of other PLF formats). You'd think that's the first place they would have put screenings... -
If it hadn't lost PLF it would have done like 65m+ on the third weekend where it dropped hard against Dominion. There's a chance it could have finished within <40m of NWH itself
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All the legs are going to Top Gun this weekend
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So much for Top Gun taking a hit in the face of direct competition, $700 million should be secure if it keeps this up
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Frozen had a limited release on it's opening weekend, so you have to take it's 12th weekend if adjusting for wide openings
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Do you really think it'll drop that hard? that's a 35% drop from Monday, and I doubt Bullet Train will have nearly as great of an impact on this movie as Thor or JWD, especially given that it's already lost all of its PLFs and large screens.
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Numbers for TG?
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So I've been lurking/inactive for about a week now because unlike some people, BO numbers aren't the entirety of my existence, but what I can say is that the real tragedy of the past week has been Top Gun probably missing 700m
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Deadline just confirmed this number with actuals
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4.8m (tentative) to 4.71m? Technically if the estimates hold it's an increase, even if I expect them to go down
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The fact that TGM is flat from last tuesday would suggest more of the former imo
