MovieMan89

Speaking of Jumanji, will pass GotG2 today for #4 2017 and the highest grossing film for all 4 of its leads.

Yeah, which is a shame because it looks like that may cause it to miss Spider-man after all. And the same goes for TGS and its 20x multi.

Seriously though, the theater losses for holdovers next weekend will be brutal given having to make room for 11k+ new screens. And then again 2 weeks from now when they will need to make room for 11k+ new ones again. Freed, 15:17, Every Day, and the Oscar movies besides the BP winner are definitely in the most danger. Freed could easily lose well over 1k.

You didn't read the post. If you do, you'll understand why they may not be able to, and why it may only be getting to around $98m on its own. PR is now my bigger concern, which also looks likely now to get to around $98m on its own, and Sony is a bigger concern when it comes to fudging. It would also be more feasible to fudge PR than it will be for Freed. However, $2m in fudge still isn't exactly easy. Sony had to literally bend over backwards in as desperate of maneuvers as it gets in order to fudge Spectre to 200 when it only needed less than $250k in fudge to get there. It's not always as easy as you guys think.

More confident in it not making it after this Friday bump. See my most recent post here:

#crumbling Below BatB DOM?

Uh oh, @Chewy has angered our god. Now he is enforcing his wrath by withholding numbers. It’s all fun and games to you Chewy, but don’t you know Gitesh depends on Rths updates to make a living?

A $60-63m initial projection should mean we get 70m+ if it goes up the way it has the last two weekends.

Something like a 45/110 run incoming if this doesn't move, imo.

It can't possibly be hitting 1500 screens this weekend. If so, could this dethrone Proud American for worst wide opening ever? That was playing in only half as many theaters, however there has not been a single shred of marketing for this, who on earth knows it exists? Literally the only people who will show up to this are the parents who can't be bothered to put 1+1 together and think this is Sherlock Gnomes.

Fri: 18 (+157%) Sat: 30 (+66%) Sun: 23 (-23%) 71m (-36%)

This is a super simple fix. Just movie it up a week and it's in the exact same position it was before with IW. Force one of those many 4/13 flops to switch with it.

Remember when animated sequels used to be relegated exclusively to direct to video hell? Pixar had no idea what they were starting with TS2 lol, which ironically was nearly DTV itself.

The problem with why he will never be able to get hits outside of Thor is the dude looks ridiculous and has actual talent and charisma too. I mean let's be honest, no guy wants to see that, it's just too much. He can get away with it in Thor because he's literally playing a god, but otherwise seeing him in a movie is just like GTFO of here with those impossible standards for any of us mere mortal men.

Lol, what the hell?

Satan.

The first adjusts to $216m, which will be a little higher by November prices. Would have to imagine this will at least hit that after the trailer.

Grinch will probably hold on unusually well for an early November release over the Xmas-New Year's stretch considering it's a Christmas themed movie.

Moana and Sing coexisted pretty well. Hopefully will be the same case here and both will do 250+. I can actually see this hurting Grinch more than the other way around now. Especially since it comes later so it gets more of an advantage from the holiday boosts. Before I was thinking 300 or so for Grinch and 200 for this, but now I think they might both be in the 250-270 range ala Moana and Sing. We'll see what The Grinch trailer looks like.

It's really a shame this couldn't have gotten the Zootopia March slot. November and December are so overstuffed with family blockbusters this year, meanwhile our Spring slate looks like death. Could have probably done near Zootopia numbers releasing in a few weeks in place of the Gnome bullshit.

Ok, the last bit of the trailer is the biggest lol in real life moment I've gotten from any trailer in ages. Pretty hyped for this, and no longer concerned about it only having a marginal increase over the first. Think it's gonna go 250+, that trailer and last bit alone sells the hell out of this for the GA.

I can see a bomb of epic proportions for this DOM. Something like 14/33.

I'm sure their own Mars Needs Moms being one of the biggest bombs ever the year prior certainly played a part in that decision. Plus they had Mission to Mars in 2000 which was also a big budget bomb for them, and their Roving Mars IMAX feature did poorly as far as those films go. So basically Disney should stay the hell away from Mars related anything.

$15-19m tracking? Geez that's rough. This could fail to hit 40 DOM.

Disney's brand name has built in family appeal. Obviously they can use that to their advantage if all else fails as far as who a movie is for. Maybe TL's script originally wasn't intended for a younger audience at all, and they demanded some reworks, thereby resulting in a film that feels like it was made for no one. All I know is the movie definitely doesn't seem like it knows who it was made for. Even the marketing wasn't effective at appealing to families.