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MovieMan89

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Everything posted by MovieMan89

  1. And since TGS's run completely fascinates me, here's another nifty little TGS stat: it has gone from the 43rd worst saturated opening ever to the 48th biggest 6th weekend ever.
  2. This was probably TGS' last shot at a weekend in the top 3. So since it never happened, it should easily eclipse American Hustle ($150m) as the highest grosser never to hit the weekend top 3. Would love to see one more weekend for it over its OW next weekend. Would require no more than a 7.8% drop. Pretty hard, but certainly won't call it impossible for this movie, especially with Winchester being the only new release next weekend.
  3. It's ironic, normally horror stands next to no chance at scoring a BP nom, and normally films released in Jan/Feb stand next to no chance at scoring a BP nom. And yet two of the only horror films ever nominated for BP were released in Feb (Lambs and Get Out).
  4. Right? Panda has some weird obsession with the dialouge/taglines of this movie, when generic is about the worst you can possibly say for any of it.
  5. Even as someone who never thought he had any acting talent, even I feel sorry for him looking at his IMDB page. I mean his most notable role outside of Twilight is uncredited Frat Boy Andy in Grown Ups 2. That's just sad. He got literally one shot from Hollywood with Abduction and failed miserably and that was game over.
  6. It will easily hit 400+ WW if it does La La Land numbers in China and Japan. That's an extra $75m right there. Should have $50-70m left DOM. Plus probably another 40-50m left from the remaining markets. 450 wouldn't even be impossible with LLL performances in China/Japan.
  7. Jumaji will make it 40 days before it's first under 1m. TLJ and TGS both made it 33 days. TFA was 45. Avatar and E.T. were 80. Titanic 101 (though came dangerously close to missing both its 69th and 76th days).
  8. If TGS hits 20x, then I'm pretty sure there is no wide release to do that since the 80's besides Titanic. If it goes over Titanic's 21x multi, then it's a multi we haven't seen since the 80's.
  9. TGS is definitely the most surprising now. Everyone was calling for a huge bomb pre-release, and it even seemed like we were all right at first. No one could have ever predicted its run in the slightest. Most impressive is really hard to nail down. On one hand, TGS is going to end up with an absurd multi we haven't seen for a non-limited release since like the 80's, but on the other hand Jumanji is going to have a multi around half of TGS but with twice the gross. So both are kind of equally impressive. Then of course IT had admissions no horror film has come close to since 20 years ago. Though outside of that OW, its run isn't particularly impressive and Jumanji is going to fly past its total gross. So I'd go with either Jumanji or TGS. Both equally impressive in different ways.
  10. For as huge as Jumanji is, it's also kind of crazy how big NATM was too. 340m adjusted without 3D or any PLF. Not quite as big in admissions as Jumanji will end up, but not far off either.
  11. The biggest hurdle there is that NATM inexplicably dropped only 10% the weekend before VD weekend. J definitely won't be doing that, especially since 50 Shades, Peter Rabbit, and the 15:17 to Paris open that weekend so there will actually be some appealing new releases.
  12. A couple weeks ago I said my pipe dream would be J hitting 400 and TGS hitting 200. What if it's not such a pipe dream after all?
  13. I will be seriously pissed if they go through with that date. They're literally costing themselves millions at the box office.
  14. They have been smart in the sense to not really advertise this in any way as a sequel. All of the first film's audience will be far too old to want anything to do with this, and lol at the first even being capable of generating "nostalgia." So yeah, they're smart to basically hide its sequel status in the marketing.
  15. It's gonna have to deliver on the WOM front now. A 2 and a half hour runtime will kill a movie like this if WOM is middling or poor.
  16. Happy SoW is finally getting a proper expansion. Should have gotten that TC a few weeks ago already. Gonna go with at least a 70m finish for it. 100 as a long shot if it wins both the big two on Oscar night.
  17. Saw Pads 2 with my little nephews and they showed the trailer, and when the movie was over they were obsessed with the big cardboard display of the poster in the lobby. Must have spent over 5 minutes studying it and looking at all the dogs, providing their commentary and opinions on each one, lol. Really gave me hope that this could have way more kid appeal than we may have initially thought. Kids love dogs.
  18. Liking this even more thinking about it the next day. Think I might have to make another trip to the theater for this one. Definitely think this is my second favorite movie of his.
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