MovieMan89

1b is far from off the table yet either, so it's not like we're saying goodbye to that. We will need a nasty tumble next weekend for that to happen.

People that ever thought that low for OW were trolling or simply not thinking. But yes, 90-95m is still insane for a third weekend.

Sound about right. T2 Aliens Avatar Titanic The Abyss True Lies The Terminator Piranha 2

Great for TFA. Hopefully Rth will give update later with like a 36 number and a chance at 100 for the weekend. Daddy's Home is gonna soar past 150 now. That's kind of a terrible hold for Joy considering the weekend and all the other holds.

The TFA bonus questions are practically gonna be YES across the board, save for a couple.

Damn, I did really want 29 at least because now TFA will probably miss JW's calendar gross by like 1-2m. Thursday would have to drop 17% or less from Wednesday now to beat it.

Sorry for the short notice to answer these, won't happen again. (hopefully) Usual terms and conditions apply 1. Will Hateful 8 finish in the top 2? NO 2. Will Daddy's Home make more than $20M? 3000 YES 3. Will Sisters stay above $10M? YES 4. Will point Break drop more than 47%? 2000 NO 5. Will Hunger Games have a $1M day? YES 6. Will Star Wars gross more than $80M? YES 7. Will Star Wars gross more than $100M? YES 8. Will Star Wars pass Avatar by the end of the Weekend? 3000 NO 9. Will Star Wars pass $1.5B by the end of the Weekend? YES 10. Will Danish Girl enter the top 12? 2000 NO 11. Will Good Dinosaur pass $110M? YES 12. Will Revenant's PTA stay above $35k? 3000 YES 13. Will Alvin stay above the Big Short? YES 14. Will more than 2 films finish above Krampus and have a higher percentage drop than Krampus? 2000 NO 15. Will you be drunk ywhen answering these? Not yet 10/15 2000 11/15 3000 12/15 5000 13/15 7000 14/15 9000 15/15 12000 Part 2 1. What will be the difference in domestic gross between Star Wars and Avatar after this weekend? 5000 4.025M 2. What will Hateful 8's Percentage increase be? 5000 3. What will Creed's Sunday be? 5000 Part 3 2. Daddy's Home 4. Joy 6. Alvin 9. Point Break 12. The Good Dinosaur 15. Carol 3/6 2000 4/6 5000 5/6 8000 6/6 12000

Or at least certainly one of the silliest. It's kinda like Rocky: The Cartoon.

Thanks for doing this! I was one of the ones who read it as asking which would have the better drop (so the lowest), but later decided it must be "bigger" because of the wording at the top and changed it accordingly. Good to know you did intend better all along though.

Great number, but bummed it's so close but so far from staying over 30.

Enter Suicide Squad. Not that I think it will do anywhere near TA, but I do think it is going to easily steal the spotlight from BvS and Civil War for CBM of the year. It is something really different for the genre. About as different as we've seen attempted.

I'm only calling it "Son of Avatar" from now on.

Been busy today, congrats CAL on winning our bet. Will be making my donation to the forum soon.

Great, thanks! Wouldn't re-releasing the next day technically just be a theater expansion? Basically it was popular enough to expand again, so yeah I would definitely say that should all count as the initial run.

Not to fuel Kal's deluded fire, but isn't the 307 number from re-releases shortly after the initial run? That movie's run is confusing to me, I always seem to see conflicting reports.

TGD is a disaster. It may only have a 3x multi from its OW, and it opened on a Wednesday in November! I can't believe not even a slight increase this weekend after that freefall drop last weekend. Man was I wrong on that movie.

That moment when you realize Kal still somehow believes TFA could miss Avatar DOM.

You do have to hand it to Kal for basically resuscitating this thread back from the dead lately.

You mean the month where TFA has to face 3-5 big openers (33 Hours, Revenant, H8ful Eight, KFP3, and Ride Along 2) vs The Book of Eli for Avatar?

So JW and Titanic are toast on Thursday, hopefully Avatar on Sunday.

I highly doubt it would have dropped from the original estimate much though w/o the weather. Every number it has pulled so far has been insane though.

How about that the second Monday beats every first Monday besides its own by 6m+?

NYE could end up higher than Xmas eve in that case. Probably not by much, but maybe a few k.

Looks like the 15 days over 30m I brought up last week could actually happen. This will be day 10, and Tuesday, Wednesday, Friday, and Saturday are nearly locked now. Again, the old record was 5 days. God I love this run!

Yep, I think a little weather was still in play or it would have gone sub 20% today. But 22-23% is still fucking fantastic!!!