MovieMan89

Exactly. If it's a movie you don't know you for sure wnat to see, why spend all that money on something only 15 out of 200 critics liked? Odds are much more in favor of you not liking it either, because it's like putting a sample size of 200 people in a room and getting their opinion. Critics are still just people. Only a few of them are stuck up film snobs or attention seekers.

1. Will Spectre open to more than 75M? YES 2. Will Spectre open to more than 85M? 2000 NO 3. Will Spectre open to more than 95M? NO 4. Will Spectre opening weekend be higher than the rest of the top 10 combined? 3000 YES 5. Will Peanuts open to more than 37.5M? YES 6. Will Peanuts open to more than 47.5M? 2000 NO 7. Will Spectre and Peanuts combine to more than 55M on Friday? NO 8. Will Bridge of Spies finish within 500k of Goosebumps? 3000 NO 9. Will the Last Witch Hunter finish above Burnt? NO 10. Will the Intern stay in the top 11 this weekend? YES 11. Will Scout's guide drop more than 72.5% this weekend? 2000 YES 12. Will Trumbo have a PTA above $20,000? NO 13. Will at least one of Rock the Kasbah or Jem and the Holograms have a weekend PTA below $100? YES 14. Will Our Brand is Crisis have a larger percentage drop than Paranormal Activity? YES 15. Will Hotel Transylvannia have a $1M Sunday? NO 16. Will The Martian cross $195M? 3000 NO 17. Will Crimson Peak increase less than 40% on Saturday? YES 18. Name any film that drops less than 35% this weekend (or choose none for none)? 2000 Bridge of Spies 19. Will Sicario have a weekend above $1M? NO 20. Will Crimson Peak stay above $1000 PTA? YES 21. Will this weekend ever be able to live up to the epicness of the previous two? 15/21 2000 bonus 16/21 3000 bonus 17/21 5000 bonus 18/21 7000 bonus 19/21 10000 bonus 20/21 12000 bonus 21/21 15000 bonus Part 2. (5000 each) 1. What will be the difference in 3 day gross between Spectre and Peanuts? 39.020 2. What will be the combined percentage drop of Burnt, Crisis and Scout's Guide (eg 44+21+15= 80% total)? 3. What will The Martian and Bridge of Spies' combined Saturday gross be? 4. What will the highest percentage drop in the top 20 be? (No need to pick a film, just a number) 5. What will the PTA of Jem be this weekend? Part 3. 3. The Martian 7. Burnt 9. The Intern 10. Crimson Peak 12. Crisis 15. Sicario 2000 each correct answer 3000 bonus for 4 correct 5000 bonus for 5 correct 8000 bonus for all 6. Good Luck

Woah, I'm third for the week? Here I thought I did bad.

Obviously you shouldn't let critics change your own opinion on something. I just think RT has become a very good indicator of how movies do these days. Aside from a few franchises that are critic proof, RT has been very aligned with box office performance the last couple years. Blockbusters that get panned tend to underperform/bomb and the ones that get raved tend to break out. Reviews seem to even be affecting WOM on movies before they come out these days (i.e., Mad Max, F4, Pixels, etc).

Hathaway was better than HBC. She was by far the most interesting thing in the movie, and she needs to do more eccentric stuff like that.

That would be pretty bad OS after Skyfall's performance.

Pretty much everyone went low on SW though (compared to what I suspect it will actually do). Besides me I think there's only a couple other that went over Avatar. I know I even saw a few sub 500 ones.

Spectre: 75m Peanuts: 42m

Damn, that 4/10 average rating is awfully disturbing. Yes I know it's because only one review has a score so far, but even still that's a terrible sign that there's already a review that bad for it.

Yes, 350m is definitely safe I'd say. It will open at least 30m higher than MoS on OW, which gets to 350 with even worse legs than that film. I just don't agree with any of the 175+ OW or 500+ total predictions. Iron Man 3 performance is the best case scenario I see happening.

Ha, $10m. That may as well be $1b where this film is concerned.

And then a slew of Xmas and January releases after. Thing is going to have no legs, so it better be pulling at least 30m OW to be any kind of hit.

The new additions to add to 2015's huge roster of record low OW's: Burnt: 4th all time in 3000+ Crisis: 43rd all time in 2000+ Almost miraculously, Scouts managed to avoid one of the top 100 worst wide releases.

Agreed. It's not like there isn't potential left for Wonderland based films. They provide a great IP for zany creativity to flourish. That little teaser we just got is exactly what I'm talking about. That just wasn't really utilized in the 2010 movie unfortunately.

Seems like this is definitely still an Oscar contender with those gleaming reviews.

This would be bigger than SW if the whole world shared the UK's inclinations.

Aha, that explains why I've seen zero marketing for it. It's all been focused on the ESPN set. Smart I guess, but they really should be trying to go for broader appeal/awareness.

Yeah, none of that helps. The marketing in particular really did make it look as generic as possible. People like Boyle and Sorkin's name mean absolutely nothing to the GA. They needed to really sell it.

It's the oversaturation thing. We had about a dozen adult drama that should've been fairly appealing in Sep/Oct, but as a result practically none were. Except the one that dominated (The Martian). Sicario is maybe the most impressive one though. Managed to beat all its competition except The Martian and BoS, despite being the lowest profile, lowest budget of all the Sep/Oct adult dramas.

People clearly don't care one iota about watching a movie about Steve Jobs. What else can it be at this point? But yeah, pretty shocking it may end up a mere 2m or so ahead of Jobs in the end.

Should do around 80 DOM, so it only needs to do 30m or so OS to be ok. Home video will make up for whatever small loss they may take from the box office. Sequel is up in the air, but I'd guess could happen with a 15m-ish smaller price tag.

Lmao at all 5 of last week's openers dropping 56-79% this weekend. Maybe one of this week's crop can go over 80% next weekend. At least all this bombage is making an otherwise completely uninteresting October box office mildly interesting.

DHD update. All three openers revised down from earlier, top 4 likely to be holdovers: 1). The Martian (FOX), 3,218 theaters (-286) / $3.2M to $3.4M Fri. / 3-day cume:$10.6M to $10.8M / Total cume: $182.3M / Wk 5 2). Goosebumps (SONY), 3,618 theaters (+117) / $2.9M Fri. / 3-day cume: $8.5Mto $8.7M / Total cume: $55.5M / Wk 3 3). Bridge Of Spies (DIS), 2,873 theaters (+62) / $2.4M Fri. / 3-day cume:$7.6M / Total cume: $44.8M / Wk 3 4). Burnt (TWC), 3,003 theaters / $1.8M to $2M Fri. / 3-day cume: $5M to $5.5M / Wk 1 5). Hotel Transylvania 2 (SONY), 2,962 theaters (-192) / $1.7M Fri. / 3-day cume: $5.2M / Total cume: $155.4M / Wk 6 6). The Last Witch Hunter (LGF), 3,082 theaters (0) / $1.4M to $1.6M Fri. / 3-day cume: $3.6M to $4.6M (-62%) / Total cume: 18M+ /Wk 2 7). Our Brand Is Crisis (WB), 2,202 theaters / $1M to $1.2M Fri. / 3-day cume: $3M to $3.5M / Wk 1 8/9). Paranormal Activity: The Ghost Dimension (PAR), 1,530 theaters (-126) / $1.15M Fri. / 3-day cume: $3M (-63%) / Wk 2 9). Crimson Peak (UNI), 2,112 theaters (-879) / $1.15M Fri. / 3-day cume: $3M / Total cume: 27.1M / Wk 3 10). Steve Jobs (UNI), 2,493 theaters (0) / $884K Fri. / 3-day cume: $2.6M / Total cume: $14.6M / Wk 4 12). Scouts Guide To The Zombie Apocalypse (PAR), 1,509 theaters / $635M to $750K Fri. / 3-day cume: $1.5M to $1.8M / Wk 1 18). Jem And The Holograms (UNI), 2,417 theaters (+4) / $161K Fri. / 3-day cume: $489K (-64%) / Total cume: $2.1M / Wk 2 20). Rock The Kasbah (OPEN), 2,012 theaters (0) / $107K Fri. / 3-day cume:$337K (-77%) / Total cume: $2.4M / Wk 2

All of January is nuts for competition. Lots of things could underperform.

Yeah, thanks for bringing Wahlberg up. His acting in that film is ridiculously bad and out of proper context. Probably what I remember most about the movie.