MovieMan89
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Everything posted by MovieMan89
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Ennui omg. Character design already looks epic too. Can’t believe they are actually selling me on this so far, I don’t even like 1 all that much
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You are correct in your points about none of us knowing for sure the breakeven point or other revenues, however I can assure you your last bit on how you look at it is completely meaningless to the studios. They care about whether or not they lost money on it, not how it’s doing vs similar movies, if it held well etc. It can have a 20x multi and if it still lost $50m, studio execs are gonna be pissed. And more importantly for us - impact their decisions for the franchise or other related greenlights.
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Agreed that there seems to be some amnesia going on with Hollywood musicals lately that they need to have… ya know… memorable music. Otherwise, of course it’s not helping your movie
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TCP will prob end up around 120m away from its breakeven point, so yeah that’s worse than anything besides Flash for WB last year. But if Oprah mostly funded it, WB themselves may not care that much if it wasn’t a direct loss of their money tbh.
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Highly doubt ABro can break even, but it’s not a spectacular bomb. So there’s that? 250 WW in the summer.
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Baffling indeed. DCEU was officially dead when WB managed to ruin even a wildly promising and beloved sub-franchise so quickly.
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Bad considering I’ve never heard anyone say they liked the movie. Especially since 1 was so liked, so that made the comedown even worse. Big 120-140 OW followed by disaster sub 2x multi was prob best case scenario.
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It really could be a 10 field like BP this year. If it were, I think it’d be: Heron AtSV TMNT Robot Dreams Elemental Suzume Mario Chicken Run Nimona Migration or The Peasants Im kinda at a loss to nail down the other 3 from that list at this point for the actual category, except it won’t be Migration or Peasants.
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I think people thought because it’s a very good movie it should do well, but the premise is heavy for Disney branded animation. Pixar did make “rat cooks your meals” work at the box office, but only because WOM was so good it saved the day. Thats what would have had to happen for Soul.
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TGS did have a wed opening so it seems pretty likely ABY would be beating TGS’ multi if not for that. I think 18x could happen, which is still pretty damn close to TGS 20x.
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These Pixar re-releases were thrown out to die, let’s be real. That was apparent as soon as the one month spacing was revealed, plus they barely bothered to push awareness they were happening at all. That said, Soul was always a doomed movie for box office no matter what. It’s just not a premise you can really market to kids very well, and even targeting an adult audience is kinda hard for it.
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Huh? I said it has to get great WOM, how is that writing it off? This franchise has a pretty hard cap for reach, so quality is imperative for them to do anything.
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Release doesn’t matter much here. This movie is relying on amazing WOM or else it has little chance to succeed.
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MG’s audience score being lower than the critic one shows how unnecessary and desperate this remake always was. I will maintain there is potential for an inspired script in the Mean Moms premise.
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The Disney Thread | Iger will be with us until 2026
MovieMan89 replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in Box Office Discussion
What If… George Lucas let an actual writer do the prequel screenplays, their biggest issue was fixed, and fans never turned on him back in the 00s? -
#3 DOM anime should be pretty locked now for Heron. I think it can go all the way to Demon Slayer if they give it a re-expansion like they should
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The good news is it still manages to be a small win for Illumination at a measly 70m budget. Should easily cross the 200 mark WW
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I think only the diehard MG stans are showing up to this for OW and legs would depend entirely on if they spread incredible WOM (doubt it). Given that, I think it could be insanely frontloaded
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Idk if MG and ABY are the same audience. MG is going to be exclusively gen z and millennials, whereas ABY is I think a bit more traditional rom com audience (30 and up).
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30s is better than I thought MG would even do tbh. Reunion sequel could have seriously gone 100+ OW. Likely 4 day increase for ABY over last weekend… already at the 10x multi after this weekend!!!
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I agree that it’s just too generic on the whole. The animation is absolutely stunning (I wish I had seen it in the theater for that alone) and the characters are likable. Those two things save it, but otherwise I expect a whole lot more from Pixar. It’s at the top of their “lesser” tier stuff, but way off from all the top tier stuff that built the brand.
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??? We were saying maybe none in a year (eg summer 23 to summer 24) Though I did posit no 300 grosser this year if about 3 movies get meh or worse WOM (DP3, Joker 2, IO2)
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Robot Dreams is starting to seem like it may be out of the picture though. I think it needed to maintain its awards momentum and it’s kinda fallen off in all the more recent award noms.
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All those Mario detractors: have yall just been outright ignoring how many high profile places it’s gotten into the 5 cat now? As I’ve been saying, it has a good chance to get in at the Oscars. It may even have the third best chance after the obvious two. I’m not calling any of spots 3-5 a lock though given there’s literally like 6 movies vying for them.
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Wish is not getting nommed in a 10 field animated cat this year, let alone a 5. And look, Suzume is nice and I’m all for more anime recognition, BUT I am rooting for the nomination snub bc I think it creates a high chance of vote splitting among the two animes and then Spidey swoops in when this should be Heron’s to lose. No Suzume please, this needs the Oscar.
