Sunday/Wknd #'s, MU 23-24/82, WWZ 17-18/66, MoS 11.7-12.3/41.2, TITE 13, NYSM 7.8 BOM, RTH

[The Futurist]

You blind? My MOS number has been around for the past 3 hours. Go look.

[*]5:26pm I said 49.4/49.5 and said that the number would come +- 500K from 50 million. I also said 13.9 for today. 

[*]7:48pm I said 56-57% drop.

And the victories you claimed? 

[*]Transformers 2007

[*]ID4 2008

[*]ST 2009

[*]Avatar 2009

[*]Pirates 3 2007

[*]FF6 2013

There's one or two each year. Anyone can do that. I could throw darts at a board to determine where I think each film would end up and get about that many big films a year right. 

 

And no. I'm not hating on MOS. If you bothered to look, I actually gave it a 7.5/10 which is midway between Good to Great on my scale. I apply logic, statistical modelling, historical trends, and current numbers when I make predictions, and then mix in a little bit of gut based adjustment. I do not let my personal feelings take over my predicting. For example, I loathe SLP not only because it is a glorified rom-com with a tacked on fake and cheesy hollywood ending, but also because the Lawrence stole the most deserving Oscar performance of a lifetime (since Isabelle Huppert in La Pianiste and before that Probably Isabelle Adjani and Meryl Streep in the 80s). It made the Academy give a 20 odd year old girl who has a lifetime ahead of her a statue while passing over an octogenarian who out-acted lawrence in a much more challenging role and in her only chance to get the Oscar. After missing the mark the second week it went wide, I was closest in BOA predicting its drop the next week even though I hate the movie's guts. I applied simple logic, statistical reasoning, and sound math skills and derive my numbers. 

 

 

 

 

I drink your tears.

 

They are so tasty.

Yum, yum.

[baumer]

DL Numbers MU & WWZ well north of 29 & 24, MOS i'll be suprised if 13.2

 

 

I love you RTH.

 

[kayumanggi]

to high..just wait for offical est at this point

 

I don't really think that 0.7 M difference is too high. lol

[baumer]

really? Superman Returns? that 's 7 years ago,did this forum exist 7 years ago?( sorry to ask)

 

Yea come on guys, leave Supes alone (Kal).  We all have our bad calls.

[Hiccup]

I find it hysterical that WWZ could beat Star Trek Into Darkness OW. Who thought that would happen or that chance of it be possible?

[bballman24]

Thank goodness ED is still asleep

[John Marston]

Horrid for Man of Steel. I'm done

[teardropmina]

There are better ways to show him caring for Lois than peering into her house using x-ray vision from behind the bushes. It would be seen as creepy for any normal person let alone someone with x-ray vision.

 

a better way there might be; the one in the film I think it isn't inappropriate. Spies do it with surveillance tech (MIB on lover, and A Knight for a Day on parents), Spues would just use his superpower. I personally am not bothered and think it works fine in the context. I've heard this peeping tom complaints here and there all these years, and I'm not in agreement but fine with it.

[baumer]

To me, there is no spin for this.  60% drop for Supes is not good.  A reboot imo should not drop that hard.  That's Potteresque and that isn't good. 

[rickfox]

Thank goodness ED is still asleep

 

I think you missed some posts here ,he already received that "horrible"news

Edited June 22, 2013 by rickfox

[red]

a better way there might be; the one in the film I think it isn't inappropriate. Spies do it with surveillance tech (MIB on lover, and A Knight for a Day on parents), Spues would just use his superpower. I personally am not bothered and think it works fine in the context. I've heard this peeping tom complaints here and there all these years, and I'm not in agreement but fine with it.

We see it differently and that's ok.

[DAR]

If those 29 and 24 numbers are higher then for MU and WWZ then that's nearly 60m MOS competed with. Just about any movie would drop like it. It's still a massive success

[bballman24]

To me, there is no spin for this.  60% drop for Supes is not good.  A reboot imo should not drop that hard.  That's Potteresque and that isn't good.

The competition, especially from WWZ performing like a beast, is a valid reason IMO but even with that it's a bad drop

[aliadiere29]

To me, there is no spin for this.  60% drop for Supes is not good.  A reboot imo should not drop that hard.  That's Potteresque and that isn't good. 

 

It isn't great. I don't think anyone is going to disagree with you. But you have to factor in that the other 2 movies are overperforming. Man of Steel can't make 50m this weekend if WWZ is making close to 60m and MU is making 80m plus. I think the Man of Steel number is misleading.

Edited June 22, 2013 by aliadiere29

[baumer]

Lets be optimistic, I'm not, but let's try:

 

MOS: 

 

Fri

 

13

19 (Indy, IM3 kind of family Sat boost)

14.5

 

46.5 and that's being optimistic.

[baumer]

The competition, especially from WWZ performing like a beast, is a valid reason IMO but even with that it's a bad drop

 

 

MOS was supposed to be the competition for WWZ, not the other way around. 

[bballman24]

I think you missed some posts here ,he already received that "horrible"news

Oh gawwwd, so he's not sleeping... He passed out from the shock

[Sam]

To me, there is no spin for this. 60% drop for Supes is not good. A reboot imo should not drop that hard. That's Potteresque and that isn't good.

B, at least the drop is off of 116M, making it slightly over 60%, if it is off the 128M, that would be a disaster

[bballman24]

MOS was supposed to be the competition for WWZ, not the other way around.

Very true. These surprises are why I love following box office.Still amazed by WWZ's number

[baumer]

B, at least the drop is off of 116M, making it slightly over 60%, if it is off the 128M, that would be a disaster

 

I'm now beginning to see why they did not want to include that other 12 mill lol.