Weekend Estimates: Thor TDW 86.1M, Ender 10.25, Free Birds 11.2, Grav 8.4, BG 11.3, Last Vegas 11.1

[Shawn Robbins]

Christmas was good to Mission: Impossible. Thinking Paramount may want to keep it there.

 

Very true. I just can't think of where they'll put it. Christmas is booked through 2018 (assuming Cameron sticks with his current plan).

[Jake Gittes]

I would imagine Inferno would have been shot summer 2014 for the previous December 18th release date, its possible that they simply move back a week to December 11th or December 23rd but I think either Summer 2015 or Spring 2016.

I think either Dec 25, 2015 or May '16. March '16 could work if they figure they could earn more money in a less competitive environment. Angels & Demons didn't fare as well as they'd hoped in May '09.

[Jonwo]

Very true. I just can't think of where they'll put it. Christmas is booked through 2018 (assuming Cameron sticks with his current plan).

 

I think Spring or Summer 2015, they're filming next year so Paramount must be aiming for a 2015 release.

 

 

I think either Dec 25, 2015 or May '16. March '16 could work if they figure they could earn more money in a less competitive environment. Angels & Demons didn't fare as well as they'd hoped in May '09.

 

 

Angels and Demons was never going to be as big as DaVinci Code simply because the book isn't as known whereas Inferno was a top seller, its interesting that they skipped The Lost Symbol but they were developing it. March 2016 only has animated films scheduled so far but I think if Warcraft moves to Spring 2016 then I think it'll either move to Summer or stay in December and just delay it by a week.

Edited November 9, 2013 by Jonwo

[Jake Gittes]

March 20 or April 3, 2015 could both work. So could early October if they're feeling adventurous enough. (Another huge, attention-grabbing set-piece or two shot in IMAX would really help as well). I don't really think there's a good spot left for it during Summer '15 unless Paramount decides to push Monster Trucks or Terminator 5 to a different part of the year.

[Jonwo]

March 20 or April 3, 2015 could both work. So could early October if they're feeling adventurous enough. (Another huge, attention-grabbing set-piece or two shot in IMAX would really help as well). I don't really think there's a good spot left for it during Summer '15 unless Paramount decides to push Monster Trucks or Terminator 5 to a different part of the year.

 

I think they'll more likely move Monster Trucks as Mission Impossible is a proven franchise. Spring is more likely than October, no way will Paramount put a $150m tentpole in October. 

[Shawn Robbins]

I'm definitely betting on a May 2015 release. Better to open three weeks after Avengers in summer than one week after Star Wars at Christmas.

 

Not to mention that Disney will fight to keep IMAX longer than one week for SW, a format Paramount won't want to lose for MI5.

Edited November 9, 2013 by ShawnMR

[CaptainJackSparrow]

Shawn, how much do you think Thor 2 will decrease next weekend percentage wise?

[John Marston]

Bourne 5 might also release in 2015. I wonder if Renner is planning to be in all three of these movies. (Avengers, Bourne, MI) 

Edited November 9, 2013 by John Marston

[Jonwo]

I'm definitely betting on a May 2015 release. Better to open three weeks after Avengers in summer than one week after Star Wars at Christmas.

 

Not to mention that Disney will fight to keep IMAX longer than one week for SW, a format Paramount won't want to lose for MI5.

 

I agree, MIB3 opened well considering it was coming out a less well received previous film ten years previous so Mission Impossible 5 coming off the well received previous film and only 3 and a half years later should do better business on Memorial Day 2015.

 

Bourne 5 might also release in 2015. I wonder if Renner is planning to be in all three of these movies. (Avengers, Bourne, MI) 

 

Think Bourne will likely be August 2015 like the previous film.

Edited November 9, 2013 by Jonwo

[Lordmandeep]

Looking at the release date I still don't see TA2 to drop off a rock. 

 

I think IM3 did well on the weekend due to kids and TA2 will have that way way more. 

 

Should do well to Memorial day. 

[John Marston]

I agree, MIB3 opened well considering it was coming out a less well received previous film ten years previous so Mission Impossible 5 coming off the well received previous film and only 3 and a half years later should do better business on Memorial Day 2015.

 

 

Think Bourne will likely be August 2015 like the previous film.

 

 

yeah so since Renner will likely be in Avengers and Bourne I can't see him reprising his role in Mission Impossible

[Lordmandeep]

anyways going to go watch Thor with 6 of my friends.

 

I dont think it will be great but hope its fun like IM3 at least. 

[Impact]

I think Thor 3 will be in 2016.

Pretty interested to where it will go next.

[CaptainJackSparrow]

I think Thor 3 will be in 2016.Pretty interested to where it will go next.

To development Hell.

[Sam]

Aw, I'm late, just caught up on the numbers. That's a bit disappointing for TDW, I was hoping it could push past 90M after yesterday's first estimate. 

 

Still couldn't find time to watch it yet 

[Shawn Robbins]

Shawn, how much do you think Thor 2 will decrease next weekend percentage wise?

 

Waiting to see how this weekend plays out first, but I'd imagine 58-60% is likely.

[CaptainJackSparrow]

Waiting to see how this weekend plays out first, but I'd imagine 58-60% is likely.

That's what I was also thinking. Great minds think alike.

[Lordmandeep]

I say sub 55..This time of year allows for better legs

[Shawn Robbins]

Lack of competition will definitely help, but I'm assuming Sunday will be a bit inflated due to Veterans' Day (whereas IM3 didn't have an inflated 1st Sunday and dropped over 58% next wknd).

[Lordmandeep]

I want to know how sat is..