tawasal Posted December 4, 2011 Share Posted December 4, 2011 So the target is between 16-17m. Following NM: $5,500,000 $7,205,000 + 31,00% $4,250,950 - 41,00% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted December 4, 2011 Share Posted December 4, 2011 It's weird though because we had crowded weekends before that produced great numbers.Two years ago with Avatar, Alvin,and Sherlock. All 3 nearly broke 50M for the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tawasal Posted December 4, 2011 Share Posted December 4, 2011 My "early" prediction at BOM about BD1 was $280-310M, ending most likely in the lower end.290-295m is the target now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrWhoopee Posted December 4, 2011 Share Posted December 4, 2011 I think Dragon Tattoo will be the surprise of December. It has sold twice as many books in the US as the hunger games I believe. I also think quality will play in as well. At any rate it has a chance to be the 3rd biggest rated R film of the year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted December 4, 2011 Share Posted December 4, 2011 Ha,ha,ha,ha, I was right about $17 mio when stupid Variety posted $14-15 mio, lol! Passing DH1 is a lock, sorry Noctis, love ya but lets get real. You`ll get retaliation next year cause no way BD2 passes DH2. Not with the competition like 2012`s and no 3D though I doubt 3D would have pushed it over either. The comptition is just mindblowing as is the whole 2012. But it`ll pass Bond and TA. Anyway, $296 mio is a big reality and $300 mio is still an achievable goal for BD1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tawasal Posted December 4, 2011 Share Posted December 4, 2011 Ha,ha,ha,ha, I was right about $17 mio when stupid Variety posted $14-15 mio, lol! Passing DH1 is a lock, sorry Noctis, love ya but lets get real. You`ll get retaliation next year cause no way BD2 passes DH2. Not with the competition like 2012`s and no 3D though I doubt 3D would have pushed it over either. The comptition is just mindblowing as is the whole 2012. But it`ll pass Bond and TA. Anyway, $296 mio is a big reality and $300 mio is still an achievable goal for BD1.This franchise might not even have one over 300,531,000m movie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted December 4, 2011 Share Posted December 4, 2011 This franchise might not even have one over 300,531,000m movie.You people just don`t understand Twihards. Unlike Potheads who are the most highmaintenance fans out there, Twihards are just happy to see Edward and Bella smooch and Jacob flash his abs. So you give them that, they`ll flock to the movie kazillions of times. hence BD`1s great hold. Try the trick with Ringers, Potheads and Star Wars fans and see what happens. Or don`t considering the budget of those movies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted December 4, 2011 Share Posted December 4, 2011 This franchise might not even have one over 300,531,000m movie.BD2 has a great chance IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted December 4, 2011 Share Posted December 4, 2011 Certainly not a 'lock', but a possibility. I personally think it'll fall just short in the low 290s... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted December 4, 2011 Share Posted December 4, 2011 BD2 is nearly locked to pass that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tawasal Posted December 4, 2011 Share Posted December 4, 2011 You people just don`t understand Twihards. Unlike Potheads who are the most highmaintenance fans out there, Twihards are just happy to see Edward and Bella smooch and Jacob flash his abs. So you give them that, they`ll flock to the movie kazillions of times. hence BD`1s great hold. Try the trick with Ringers, Potheads and Star Wars fans and see what happens. Or don`t considering the budget of those movies. I am not saying it's bad thing, but the chance of jumping as high as DH2 is like out of this world for this franchise. 3 movies already are seperated by 4-5m. BD2 will likely make between 290-310m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tawasal Posted December 4, 2011 Share Posted December 4, 2011 BD2 has a great chance IMOIt does, but the consistency will hold it back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted December 4, 2011 Share Posted December 4, 2011 You people just don`t understand Twihards. Unlike Potheads who are the most highmaintenance fans out there, Twihards are just happy to see Edward and Bella smooch and Jacob flash his abs. So you give them that, they`ll flock to the movie kazillions of times. hence BD`1s great hold. Try the trick with Ringers, Potheads and Star Wars fans and see what happens. Or don`t considering the budget of those movies. Potheads? you mean Alien fans? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted December 4, 2011 Share Posted December 4, 2011 BD2 is nearly locked to pass that.Nope,sorry. It has to fend off holdover Skyfall and women do watch Bond so after the intitial OMG Out of This World opening repeat business may spread between different movies. Also, don`t forget that Jakesmee isn`t as popular as Bedward. Plus, Gravity a week later, Les Mis on Dec 7 and TH:AUJ on 14th. It`s much tougher competition than BD1 had and BD1 also had the part of the book fans were more interested to see. Nevertheless, it`s gonna win November and pass TA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted December 4, 2011 Share Posted December 4, 2011 Nope,sorry. It has to fend off holdover Skyfall and women do watch Bond so after the intitial OMG Out of This World opening repeat business may spread between different movies. Also, don`t forget that Jakesmee isn`t as popular as Bedward. Plus, Gravity a week later, Les Mis on Dec 7 and TH:AUJ on 14th. It`s much tougher competition than BD1 had and BD1 also had the part of the book fans were more interested to see. Nevertheless, it`s gonna win November and pass TA.Why the hate for TA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hiccup Posted December 4, 2011 Share Posted December 4, 2011 I like that 39% drop for Arthur Christmas! Great for BD1 and awful for the Muppets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FilmBuff Posted December 4, 2011 Share Posted December 4, 2011 (edited) Two years ago with Avatar, Alvin,and Sherlock. All 3 nearly broke 50M for the weekend.Yeah, that was a great weekend to follow the box office. Sadly, I don't think Sherlock and Alvin can match that again. And no, BD2 will not beat The Avengers. Edited December 4, 2011 by FilmBuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted December 4, 2011 Share Posted December 4, 2011 Why the hate for TA?Ovehyped but looks 100% generic. What`s not to hate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAR Posted December 4, 2011 Share Posted December 4, 2011 That Muppets number just makes me sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted December 4, 2011 Share Posted December 4, 2011 That Muppets number just makes me sad.100M will be very tough for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...