Australia Australian Box Office | ....

[terrestrial]

43 minutes ago, George Parr said:

Bad weather usually drives business Germany though. It's the good weather you need to fear

 

Agree in general, but depends on where you live too.

Bad weather as in rainy... absolutely good for cinemas, black ice is not, but that is, as mentioned, only a regional thing and usually not lasting longer than a few to some hours (or even less).

But me personally? Living nearby the mountains, on the top of a hill. If we get snow in a big way (this year too warm...) than we might not be able to drive to a cinema or... for - depending how near to a village/city you live - a few days too. Very very seldomly happening, but for the time between mornings and midday to midday happening to me each winter with snow.

Don't take it too seriously I shouldn't have mentioned it, but my thoughts circled around that, as I have to pick up my son after yesterday's party ... in a couple of hours or so and some of his friends have to drive a very long way back to where they live (out of state)

Edited January 1, 2016 by terrestrial

[Ball Lightning]

3 hours ago, George Parr said:

 

Bad weather usually drives business in Germany though. It's the good weather you need to fear

 

Might be one of the reasons why German cinema has struggled a bit over the recent past. Hollywood throws out most of its big stuff in the summer-time, which is contrary to the movie-going ways of Germans, who prefer the winter, where your options to do other things are a bit limited. Nothing kills the market more efficiently (apart from a certain World Cup) than a big summer heatwave.

 

'Heatwave'  

 

It's similar here, though we get both extremes. The rain brings people in, but our 40-45C spells also drive people in for the air conditioning.

 

This week in Melbourne is basically continuous mid 20C's, the worst weather for cinemas here.

[terrestrial]

Not sure if anyone here is interested in such kind of articles too?

 

http://www.smh.com.au/entertainment/movies/christmas-box-office-star-wars-sinks-titanic-and-heads-for-avatar-20160101-glxbt3.html

[Ball Lightning]

NY Day was only $2.3m for Star Wars for a WTD total of $4.2m. 

 

From the busyness at my site we're looking around around a $2.7m total for Saturday. I would think Sunday wouldn't drop too much, so a $9.5m weekend roughly.. 

[Robertron]

So the $100m dream is gone ?

[Ball Lightning]

I think it'll drop well over the rest of the summer holidays as it'll still have a good screen count.

 

With a 3x multiplier from a $9m weekend that's another $21m after it's on $70m. So $90 is the absolute floor, with a good chance of $100m if it can get a 4x from this weekend.

 

 

[Infernus]

90m$ is really good in itself. Would still put it much higher than all other blockbusters except for Avatar. The country's highest-grossing list will start to look like the WW highest grossing list as it looked before 2015. To think the prequels grossed as low as 20m$ in their time.

Edited January 2, 2016 by Infernus

[DeeCee]

If this weekend is around $10m Avatar is safe. It needs $9,659,700 to best Avatar this weekend. 

Edited January 2, 2016 by DeeCee

[JJ-8]

100m isn't dead yet. I still think the range for this is 90m to 110m. I am beginning to think Avatar will be out of reach now though.

Of course I could be wrong and Star Wars goes mini avatanic on us from here...

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[Robertron]

12 minutes ago, JJ-8 said:

 

100m isn't dead yet. I still think the range for this is 90m to 110m. I am beginning to think Avatar will be out of reach now though.

Of course I could be wrong and Star Wars goes mini avatanic on us from here...

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

I hope you're wrong 

[Ball Lightning]

$2.5m Saturday for a WTD total of $6.7m. I'd expect around $2.3m for today for a $9m weekend.

[Rthmessiah]

TFA wkend 741 scrs 9,001,962 -23% 69,949,237

[Rthmessiah]

Top engagements 31/12-3/1
all TFA
1-IMax sydney
2-Event Innaloo, Perth
3-Imax Melbourne
4-Event Marion 26, Adelaide
5-Event Chermside, Brisbane
6-Village Southland, Melbourne
7-Event Castle Hill sydney
8-Event George St, Sydney
9-Event Miranda, Sydney
10-Village casino, Melbourne
11-Village Fountain Gate, Melbourne
12-Village Doncaster, Melbourne

[JJ-8]

Top 20 : 31st December 2015 - 3rd January 2016

 

Star Wars obviously easily stayed on top (Will discuss that in the next post).  Daddy's Home is performing well and should finish well above 15m with a stretch target of 20m.  The Good Dinosaur is not far behind at this point and should play well over the holidays.  Point Break opened surprisingly stronger than i expected given all the bad publicity.  Nearly 2m opening isn't a bad start and should mean a total north of 5m here  (I think 10m would be stretching the friendship as it may fall steeply in the coming weeks).  Joy continued is reasonable to good run above 5m.  I must say that the Road Chip's hold was disappointing given it's a family film (see Daddy's Home and it's increase this weekend.)   Still it's banked above 5m already and on track for a 10m+ finish at this point.  The biggest dissappointment I must say of the weekend wasn't Point Break which is what i was expecting.  The Peanuts Movie just seemlingly didn't click as well as expected (I expected an opening near or just above 2m - ie. PB and TPM swapped essentially).

 

Oh and the 1 day beast that was Sherlock : the Abominable Bride (Special Episode from the TV Series).... nice average

 

TW	LW	Movie	Rating	Distributor	Weekend Gross	% Change	Screen Count / Change		Average	Total Gross	Week #
1	1	Star Wars: The Force Awakens	M	Walt Disney	$ 9,001,962	-23.7%	741	-91	$12,148	$ 69,949,237	3
2	2	Daddy's Home	PG	Paramount	$ 3,555,237	24.9%	251	18	$14,164	$ 9,887,287	2
3	3	The Good Dinosaur	PG	Walt Disney	$ 2,096,618	4.3%	380	-7	$5,517	$ 7,222,056	2
4	N	Point Break	M	Roadshow	$ 1,904,560	-	354	-	$5,380	$ 1,998,783	1
5	5	Joy	M	Fox	$ 1,766,670	26.4%	252	-23	$7,011	$ 5,080,475	2
6	4	Alvin and The Chipmunks: Road Chip	PG	Fox	$ 1,641,597	2.3%	301	-39	$5,454	$ 5,494,913	2
7	N	Snoopy and Charlie Brown: The Peanuts Movie	G	Fox	$ 1,246,509	-	281	-	$4,436	$ 1,979,934	1
8	N	Sherlock: The Abominable Bride	M	Sharmill	$ 773,895	-	21	-	$36,852	$ 773,895	1
9	6	Suffragette	M	Transmission	$ 688,211	42.4%	122	0	$5,641	$ 2,159,923	2
10	8	Spectre	M	Sony Pictures	$ 423,563	-10.2%	101	-92	$4,194	$ 34,723,318	8
11	7	The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 2	M	Roadshow	$ 369,663	-22.1%	164	-93	$2,254	$ 29,265,564	7
12	11	The Dressmaker	M	Universal	$ 344,527	60.2%	89	-70	$3,871	$ 18,853,584	10
13	9	Hotel Transylvania 2	PG	Sony Pictures	$ 308,668	-14.9%	188	-49	$1,642	$ 10,975,588	6
14	N	Mr. Six	MA15+	Chinalion Film	$ 290,154	-	15	-	$19,344	$ 314,046	1
15	15	Youth	MA15+	Studiocanal	$ 239,054	78.3%	36	0	$6,640	$ 638,991	2
16	16	The Belier Family	M	Palace	$ 233,368	86.9%	25	0	$9,335	$ 863,952	2
17	10	Bajirao Mastani	MA15+	Eros Australia	$ 96,900	-58.3%	16	-11	$6,056	$ 1,000,812	3
18	12	Creed	M	Warner Bros	$ 96,380	-50.4%	51	-113	$1,890	$ 6,855,620	6
19	N	Carol	M	Transmission	$ 95,246	-	14	-	$6,803	$ 95,246	PR
20	14	Mojin: The Lost Legend	M	Chinalion Film	$ 85,909	-51.9%	12	-4	$7,159	$ 740,389	3

[JJ-8]

All Time Films Showdown

 

(I've excluded Titanic due to it's longevity)

 

Star Wars is finally starting to come down to earth.  Avatar's 3rd weekend record remains intact after this weekend (going into it was expected to fall).  What this means for TFA is now a question of whether or not it can reach the 100m milestone and become only the 2nd film in Australia history to cross the barrier. To be honest TFA already has the honour of only the 2nd film to pass 60m in a single run. (Titanic's overall gross (all releases) is about 63m).  I guess you can say the chase is on.  So here are some comparison of legs and where TFA might end:

 

1. Harry Potter and Deathly Hallows Part 2 ~ similar legs would see TFA reach 83m.  This would be a terrible run and also DH2 did not school holidays supporting the film from this point on... this total is expected to be easily passed at this point.

2. Jurassic World ~ similar legs would see TFA reach 97m.  are much more realistic goal as the holiday support JW saw didn't happen till Weeks 3 and 4.  However after that it drop off quickly and TFA possibly has an additional week beyond that before the holidays end. (Australia Day Weekend)

3. Return of the King ~ (I've included this because of the similar timing)  Similar legs see TFA reach 104m which i guess is what we are hoping for as a minimum here.  But ROTK did benifet from Oscars buzz and a win.  TFA may be able to replicate that though, but the jury is still out whether TFA will get any nods in the major awards or not.

4. Avatar ~ including simply because it's fun.   Avatar legs from here on out puts this up at 167m.  This has come down from over 200m when TFA opened but still looks an impressive number.  It's also likely a very unlikely number at this point as TFA's legs are already showing to be slightly shorter than Avatar.  (I won't even attempt to compare to Titanic as the final total would be embarrassing. )

 

Week #	Avatar		Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2		Jurassic World		Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Released	17/12/2009		13/07/2011		11/06/2015		17/12/2015
(Weekend =  First Line)
Week 0	$931,125	$931,125	$7,029,487	$7,029,487
Week 1 (OW)	$11,962,308	$12,895,497	$18,368,621	$25,460,975	$16,063,693	$16,063,693	$27,254,820	$27,254,820
	$7,349,693	$20,245,190	$5,032,927	$30,493,902	$4,305,083	$20,368,776	$11,286,747	$38,541,567
W/E Screens/Ave	588	20,344	754	24,362	605	26,552	941	28,964
Opening Day			7,029,487		2,735,000		9,425,000
Single Day			7,029,487 (Wednesday)		5,400,000 (Saturday)		9,425,000 (Thursday)
Week 2	$8,749,099	$28,994,289	$7,994,127	$38,488,029	$9,870,007	$30,238,783	$11,800,884	$50,342,451
	$9,772,863	$38,767,152	$2,181,834	$40,669,863	$2,716,344	$32,955,127	$10,604,824	$60,947,275
W/E % Drop	-26.9%		-56.5%		-38.6%		-56.7%
Week 3	$9,659,700	$48,426,852	$3,821,864	$44,491,727	$5,138,426	$38,093,553	$9,001,962	$69,949,237
	$6,475,778	$54,902,630	$1,087,827	$45,579,554	$2,687,516	$40,781,069
Week 4	$8,338,365	$63,240,995	$2,263,723	$47,843,277	$3,599,657	$44,380,726
	$5,032,850	$68,273,845	$551,975	$48,395,252	$2,052,562	$46,433,288
Week 5	$7,002,454	$75,276,299	$1,290,573	$49,685,825	$2,742,799	$49,176,087
Week 6	$5,604,268	$84,804,886	$756,945	$50,871,843	$1,087,749	$51,072,113
Week 7	$4,548,004	$92,706,581	$444,594	$51,496,017	$588,156	$51,962,096
Week 8	$3,936,622	$98,374,262	$278,941	$51,887,115	$297,809	$52,440,054
Week 9	$2,850,321	$102,615,052	$176,046	$52,143,114	$107,902	$52,601,800
Week 10	$1,874,114	$105,454,142	$92,347	$52,399,104	$52,303	$52,687,047
Week 11	$1,709,239	$107,859,934	$74,512	$52,419,937	$33,750	$52,736,860
Week 12	$1,003,500	$109,539,127			$23,909	$52,767,785
Week 13	$780,998	$110,866,504			$22,892	$52,795,399
Week 14	$561,868	$111,653,739			$8,907	$52,808,171
Week 15	$323,301	$112,170,651			$1,283	$52,809,776
TOTAL:	$115,600,481		$52,611,276		$52,814,845		$69,949,237

[terrestrial]

The weekendchart in US $ is up at The-Numbers, for the ones who want to see the details in that currency

 

http://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/weekend/2016/01/01/Australia

[DeeCee]

Falls $650,000 behind Avatar's 3rd weekend.  

 

Most Popular Films For Period Weekend, Dec 31 – Jan 3, 2016 WIR = Weeks In Release
No	WIR	Title	$	%	Total $
1	3	STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS (M), WALT DISNEY [741/ $12,148]	9,001,962	-24%	69,949,237
2	2	DADDY`S HOME (PG), PARAMOUNT [251/ $14,164]	3,555,237	24%	9,887,287
3	2	THE GOOD DINOSAUR (PG), WALT DISNEY [380/ $5,517]	2,096,618	4%	7,222,056
4	1	POINT BREAK (M), ROADSHOW [354/ $5,380]	1,904,560	N/A	1,998,783
5	2	JOY (M), FOX [252/ $7,011]	1,766,670	26%	5,080,475
6	2	ALVIN AND THE CHIPMUNKS: ROAD CHIP (PG), FOX [301/ $5,454]	1,641,597	1%	5,494,913
7	1	SNOOPY AND CHARLIE BROWN: THE PEANUTS MOVIE (G), FOX [281/ $4,436]	1,246,509	N/A	1,979,934
8	1	SHERLOCK: THE ABOMINABLE BRIDE (M), SHARMILL [21/ $36,852]	773,895	N/A	773,895
9	2	SUFFRAGETTE (M), TRANSMISSION [122/ $5,641]	688,211	42%	2,159,923
10	8	SPECTRE (M), SONY PICTURES [101/ $4,194]	423,563	-10%	34,723,318
11	7	THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY PART 2 (M), ROADSHOW [164/ $2,254]	369,663	-23%	29,265,564
12	10	THE DRESSMAKER (M), UNIVERSAL [89/ $3,871]	344,527	60%	18,853,584
13	6	HOTEL TRANSYLVANIA 2 (PG), SONY PICTURES [188/ $1,642]	308,668	-15%	10,975,588
14	1	MR. SIX (MA15+), CHINALION FILM [15/ $19,344]	290,154	N/A	314,046
15	2	YOUTH (MA15+), STUDIOCANAL [36/ $6,640]	239,054	78%	638,991
16	2	THE BELIER FAMILY (M), PALACE [25/ $9,335]	233,368	87%	863,952
17	3	BAJIRAO MASTANI (MA15+), EROS AUSTRALIA [16/ $6,056]	96,900	-58%	1,000,812
18	6	CREED (M), WARNER BROS [51/ $1,890]	96,380	-51%	6,855,620
19	PR	CAROL (M), TRANSMISSION [14/ $6,803]	95,246	N/A	95,246
20	3	MOJIN: THE LOST LEGEND (M), CHINALION FILM [12/ $7,159]	85,909	-52%	740,389

[terrestrial]

Is there an own New Zealand thread? If yes, I seem to not find it. If included here

 

The Numbers ‏@MovieNumbers

The Numbers - Weekend New Zealand Box Office Chart for January 1st, 2016 (USD) http://www.the-numbers.com/weekend-box-office-chart/New-Zealand … via @MovieNumbers

[JJ-8]

Is there an own New Zealand thread? If yes, I seem to not find it. If included here

 

The Numbers ‏@MovieNumbers

The Numbers - Weekend New Zealand Box Office Chart for January 1st, 2016 (USD) http://www.the-numbers.com/weekend-box-office-chart/New-Zealand … via @MovieNumbers

There is a seperate NZ thread here but I'm not sure how often it's updated.

There's a link in the guideline and archives thread (stickied to the top of this sub forum)

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[Robertron]

SW7 probs did crazy good in Syd over the last few days.. Rain rain rain rain rain