chasmmi Posted July 25, 2014 Share Posted July 25, 2014 It is so tense waiting for these new positions... Everyone wants to be 13th Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Empire Posted July 25, 2014 Share Posted July 25, 2014 It is so tense waiting for these new positions... Everyone wants to be 13th I just want to move up from 35th place. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted July 25, 2014 Share Posted July 25, 2014 I just want to move up from 35th place. Maybe ask Baumer for a similar 'steal 25k' question system for those ranked 24th-36th Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 Putting Lucy and HErcules in my top 15 actually wasn't as ridiculous as it seemed 10 weeks ago. Yay 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 my "outside the top 15" picks for this year: 16. The Purge Anarchy - $99M17. Hercules - $95M18. Sex Tape - $94M19. Lucy - $90M20. A Million Ways To Die In The West - $85M21. Blended - $75M Glad we're not being graded on those (since I'm too low on Lucy and too high on the other 5), but I'm glad I didn't completely underestimate Hercules and Purge, like many here seemingly did. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 my "outside the top 15" picks for this year: Glad we're not being graded on those (since I'm too low on Lucy and too high on the other 5), but I'm glad I didn't completely underestimate Hercules and Purge, like many here seemingly did. Lucy moving to July killed my top 15. I had it doing 90M or so with a second week of August release, but if it had been July, I would have said 105-115M and put it in my top 15. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Films Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 Lucy moving to July killed my top 15. I had it doing 90M or so with a second week of August release, but if it had been July, I would have said 105-115M and put it in my top 15.Same with me. Had it at 85M with August and would have been 115M and ahead of A MILLION WAYS TO DIE IN THE WEST OR DELIVER US FROM EVIL. SO ANNOYED 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted July 26, 2014 Share Posted July 26, 2014 Lucy moving to July killed my top 15. I had it doing 90M or so with a second week of August release, but if it had been July, I would have said 105-115M and put it in my top 15. Suffice it to say, it wouldn't have a 42M ow if it was going up against TMNT and the second weekend of GOTG. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted July 27, 2014 Share Posted July 27, 2014 The suspense of the new rankings is killing me . What's left to score? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted July 27, 2014 Share Posted July 27, 2014 So, simple question: Lucy and Hercules gonna be in the top 15? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Empire Posted July 27, 2014 Share Posted July 27, 2014 So, simple question: Lucy and Hercules gonna be in the top 15? I don't think either will, but Lucy has a chance to make it in there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted July 27, 2014 Share Posted July 27, 2014 So, simple question: Lucy and Hercules gonna be in the top 15? Lucy will probably make it there. It only needs a 2X multiplier to make it I think. Hercules probably not. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mattrek Posted July 27, 2014 Share Posted July 27, 2014 Same with me. Had it at 85M with August and would have been 115M and ahead of A MILLION WAYS TO DIE IN THE WEST OR DELIVER US FROM EVIL. SO ANNOYEDAdd me to that list. Didn't think it had enough time to make the top 15. Had it at 85m though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJ-8 Posted July 27, 2014 Share Posted July 27, 2014 I'm quite liking the fact I put Lucy in my top 15. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted July 27, 2014 Share Posted July 27, 2014 For the top 15 TF4 Male Xmen Apes TASM2 Godzilla 22JS Neighbours Dragon Fault are all locked in, Guardians will of course make it too which means there are 4 spots up in the air. Edge is the front runner with 98M Tammy is next with a likely 90M ish finish So i'd say breaking 100M guarantees a top 15 finish, but beating Tammy may also manage it. Lucy is look pretty set to beat EOT which will be enough. Hercules will need a 3-3.2 multiplier I think to overtake Tammy which would mean it comes down to whether there are 2 other films yet to be released that can break 90M. For me I only see Turtles doing it. (Although things like Get on Up and Expendables have a shot.) But overall I see the top 15 turning out like (not in this order: TF4 Male Xmen Apes TASM2 Godzilla 22JS Neighbours Dragon Fault Guardians EOT Lucy Turtles Tammy/Hercules Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 27, 2014 Author Share Posted July 27, 2014 The new rankings will include this weeks answers. Im waiting till the actual are out. Then the standings will be done. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted July 27, 2014 Share Posted July 27, 2014 Btw Japanese godzilla opening pretty much guarantees it to beat spiderman over there so sotm 6 May be done. Assume all the grosses from uruguay and Bulgaria are in Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 27, 2014 Author Share Posted July 27, 2014 Thanks Chas....I have enough scoring to do...lol...Ill get to that one soon. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted July 27, 2014 Share Posted July 27, 2014 1) Will any film make more than 25 mill? YES (Lucy needs to drop 20m for NO) 2) Will Hercules make more than RIPD (OW)? YES (Needs to drop about 17M for no) 3) Will Fluffy movie break into the top 15? NO (needs 260k swing for YES) 4) What will have the best per theater average out of these four films: Happy Christmas, Magic in The Moonlight, A Most Wanted Man, Very Good Girls. MWM 7k, MITM 25k other two not estimated 5) Will And So It goes make more opening weekend than Lucy does OD? NO (needs 12.5M swing for YES) 6) Will Hercules drop on Saturday? YES (needs 7.3% swing for NO) 7) Will Transformers fall more than 40%? YES (needs 13.3% drop for NO) 8) Will Apes make more than 20 mill? NO (needs 3.6 increase for YES) 9) Will Sex Tape drop more than 53%? YES (needs 6.1% drop for yes) 10) Will Planes have a Saturday increase of more than 57%? NO (needs 23% change for yes) 11) Will Purge fall more than 63%? YES (needs 2.8% drop for NO) 12) Will Maleficent make more than HTTYD2? NO (needs 420k swing for YES) 10/12 3000 11/12 5000 12/12 7000 What finishes in spots 4 PURGE 9 TAMMY 12 DRAGON 14 BOYHOOD 16 FLUFFY 2000 each bonus of 4000 if all correct Bonus 1: What will Transformers be at WW? 5000 ??? Bonus 2: What will Apes be at WW? 5000 ??? Bonus 3: What will the combined weekend gross be for 22JS, HTTYD2 and Tammy? 5000 8.1m Tele individuals: Will Hercules make more than 1.8 mill in peviews? YES Will Transformers increase more than 46.5% on Saturday? NO (42.3 est) Will any film increase on Thurs? NO Olive: Will Lucy make more than 1.5 mill in previews? yes Will any film increase more than 79% on Friday? no 66.2 highest est Will Sex Tape increase more than 22.5% on Saturday? yes 24.2 est Numbers: Will Apes increase more than 39% on Saturday? yes 41.1 est Will Hercules fall more than 25% on Sunday? no 24.7 est Will And So It Goes increase more than 10% on Saturday? yes 38.9 est Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted July 27, 2014 Share Posted July 27, 2014 (edited) Looks like Universal will push Neighbors over 150m in the end, although it probably won't reach 150.394. Edited July 27, 2014 by Jake Gittes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
